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Assuming humans make it to Mars is already a leap, but assuming a government won’t form almost immediately, if somehow one doesn’t exist from the beginning of colonization, seems even less likely

You'd be entirely dependent on Musk City with its regulations for having resources to stay alive. At least on Earth you can go live in the woods or become a tax exile or some such.

If you understood TESCREAL, you wouldnt think this a good thing.