Now maybe 4? It's hard to say.
PS: I'm not criticizing them for it nor do I really care if they cheat as long as prices go down. I'm just observing and pointing out what other posters are saying. For me if China cheating means the GenAI bubble pops, I'm all for it. Plus no actor is really clean in this game, starting with OAI practically stealing all human content without asking for building their models.
I fail to see how that is any different than any other training data scraped from the web. If someone shares a big dump of outputs from OpenAI models and I train my model on that then I'm not violating OpenAI's terms of service because I haven't agreed to them (so I'm not violating contract law), and everyone in the space (including OpenAI themselves) has already collectively decided that training on All Rights Reserved data is fair use (so I'm not violating copyright law either).
Looks like it didn’t work though.
The Chinese gov spent a lot of money trying to support chip manufacturing but kept failing from 2000 to 2020.
Every company preferred to buy chips from the US or outsource manufacturing to TSMC. Local semiconductor companies, especially in manufacturing, moved super slowly, even freezing up at times.
Then, when the chip ban happened, all local companies were forced to buy and manufacture chips locally. Those struggling semiconductor companies suddenly got all the resources and market overnight.