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Climate change is already a pretty good precedent on this

That's too broad though, because there been specific issues we've (humanity) managed to come together to fix, like the "ozone hole" stuff being "solved" with regulations, protocols and public policy, while there are other issues we haven't quite been able to do the same with, all under the umbrella of "climate change".

If a study comes out, no. But I do not think the trajectory of LLMs is as determined as you may think

I mean, that question is really a question for yourself. You cannot control others, so assume others will do whatever is quickest, easiest and/or least resistance, outcomes be damned.

Of course nothing would immediately do a 180, but if there would be research put out that your brain slowly stops working to more you use LLMs, then you can at least make your own choice from there on out.