I do think there's a very vocal group of folks terrified of basic biology. It fit's the "religious" aspects of the GoP where they don't want kids to even be taught about sex and so on.
You can also see this in the upcoming generation, which actually has declining acceptance, not growing acceptance.
There's a word for people who "support the LGBTQ community without the T," it's "terfs," or just "transphobes."
Supporting the T doesn’t mean doing everything the T wants, more than any other letter.
This is a transphobic point of view. You cannot support the transgender community while believing in biological gender imperatives.
I support their rights to maintain a general secular employment, protection under the law from undue discrimination, and protection from physical violence. I do not support them in forcing people who believe in biological genders to conform to their will; and I never will.
The NCAA president testified before Congress there are fewer than 10 transgender athletes in an organization that represents 510,000 college athletes.
I'm sure at the professional level it's even fewer.
How much time do right wing politicians spend on this topic? An inordinate amount. It's identity politics through and through, in my opinion a distraction to the fact that their economic positions like billionaire tax cuts are extremely unpopular.
But I'm skeptical this is an issue. In the same way that Joe Rogan and conservative media decided to start saying schools letting children use litter boxes in school was a big problem, which was also not true.
How many high schoolers currently identify as LGBTQ? About 25%.
Odds that at least one of your competitors in gym looks like a biological male? Very high.
How does that make you feel? Angry that this could even be possible.
(There's also the issue that many people disagree on principle - in other words, any number greater than 0, is an absurdity. It does not matter how low it is, and I have to agree with at least the ideological consistency of that position.)