Is there a physical law which will limit AI progress? I don't have a timeline in mind but I think that is the future.
Probably the same law that limits compute power wrt to space and energy.
Look at how much energy goes into training GPT 4.5 vs it’s improvements (on our own potentially bunk benchmarks, granted)
Also like… literally nothing in the universe advances exponentially forever.
Whether or not any of that is valid, I’d like an answer to my question.
Is the only reason you think that a blind belief that AI will advance exponentially in all domains?
I’m not sure any of that was relevant to what I was saying.
And you still didn’t answer my question.
If the improvement curve is linear, it would be prohibitively expensive as and if logarithmic, it’d be impossible.