Esp. considering how they've always got someone to blame for the issues that they cause. It's an ancient playbook

1. Identity a problem

2. Blame $group of people for the issue and rally citizens to you

3. Oust previous administration/rulers with rallied citizens

And then to stay in power

1. Create or identity a problem

2. Blame $group of people for the problem

3. Rally citizens to ostracize the new group of ppl

4. Back to 1

The issues never need to be resolved, as long as the citizens blame someone and feel empowered to lash out against someone (the people getting blamed).

> How can you even remotely be sure of that given the results of the 2016 and 2024 elections?

No one can be sure of anything, but the specific years you picked happen to have possibly two of the least electable candidates on the ballot.

Biden was not even a particularly good candidate in 2020, but he was able to win. I think that’s indicative of how low the bar is.