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Comment by belter | Hacker News Reader

If we can't even predict inflation rates maybe we should hold off on explaining the birth of the entire universe, yeah?

Predicting inflation rates may be harder than discovering the birth of the universe actually, because it would require perfect knowledge of the present and by the time you compute it it's out of date.

We can claim to simulate the first femtoseconds of the universe...model nuclear detonations in software down to quantum effects....but 340 million citizens buying gas and groceries? That’s somehow beyond our grasp... :-)

Maybe the problem isn’t complexity, but that science gets arrogant when it drifts into realms where its claims can’t be falsified ;-)

The beginning of the universe is a start state we have theories about, that we can apply our system of physic to calculate once. A computer that calculates an economy might violate the halting problem because it would need to know when it itself is finished to calculate its own electricity costs, as well as every other algorithm in an economy.

>Maybe the problem isn’t complexity

It most certainly is. Each of those 340 million citizens is a unique person, with unique circumstances. You can't fit an equation to that.

>science gets arrogant where its claims can't be falsified

This article proposes testable predictions?

You’re fundamentally misunderstanding the difference between biology and physics.

The difference is clear: https://xkcd.com/435/

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