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"blast radius seems extremely small" - I agree, couple days ago there was an article that such occurence may cause full blown recession in USA

It will but not because of companies going down but because the bubble is casting a giant shadow over the real economical deficits we have atm.

The S&P500 is largely held up by a small number of tech companies. If they go down, there is no hiding what's really going on in Trumps economy.

E: getting some downvotes, feel free to elaborate where you disagree.

Not the one downvoting but I'd guess they have a bag full of these stocks

It would likely cause a technical recession at the very least, but would probably not result in the sort of contagion that some market crashes do.