Its almost weirdly a personality trait that a trained programmer just goes around believing everyone around him doesnt understand what way the wind blows.
Government installation for backups for a government ruled by a weird religious sect, have no offsite backups, it goes up in flames? Well clearly they were not smart enough to understand what an off-site backup is.
Its like wtf guys?
Now dont get me wrong, occams razor, they tried to save a few bucks, it all went Pete tong, but cmon, carelessness , chance, sure, but I doubt its all down to stupidity.