> Most of us confidently claimed even back in 2023 that, based on LLM architecture and training algorithms, LLMs would never be able to perform well on novel coding or mathematics tasks.

I feel like there are three groups of people:

1. Those who think that LLMs are stupid slop-generating machines which couldn't ever possibly be of any use to anybody, because there's some problem that is simple for humans but hard for LLMs, which makes them unintelligent by definition.

2. Those who think we have already achieved AGI and don't need human programmers any more.

3. Those who believe LLMs will destroy the world in the next 5 years.

I feel like the composition of these three groups is pretty much constant since the release of Chat GPT, and like with most political fights, evidence doesn't convince people either way.