The point I'm trying to make is that that the prediction is correct assuming "people" refers mostly to the people making the predictions. Or... people tend to project their ways of thinking, and likes and dislikes, onto other people.
2 - Apple had the entire MP3 market with their ipods not to mention an army of long-time fanboys. Translate to a strong consumer brand loyalty. Tesla doesn't have any of these.
This is false. Most car companies have been researching electric vehicles since the 60's or 70's when the first oil crises happened. And as for technology, Tesla is not actually ahead, in neither range nor charge up speed.
As an example, this is also a "Startup" thing. An electric bus, that gets better range (everything considered) and faster recharge times:
http://www.jaylenosgarage.com/video/proterra-ecoliner-electr...
Exactly. They've spent all those years and dollars, and they still have nothing compared to the Model S.