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Sol is supposed to be 5T according to rumour. The imminent Astra is allegedly 10

Rumors and allegations aren't worth much. Why don't they just tell us mere mortals?

Because that would reveal their edge to investors, or the lack thereof.

If Fable turns out to be a 10T or 20T model, there is little to boast vs Kimi at 3T. But the opposite is true: if Fable were to be e.g. a 500B model, that would show how far ahead they are from the open models. This isn't likely to be the case ...

I guess there's also the economic aspect. It would make it much easier for competitors to figure out your costs and margins if they know the model parameter sizes you operate.

Why would they? What the upside, for them?

Yeah, its not like this js some sort of Open AI company. That'd be ridiculous.

You think their name means releasing competitive details would be good for them?

I’ve got sone bad news about Federal Express.

Indeed, what is the upside of transparency?

For Linux? Assuring stakeholders that they can both control and observe development and how it works.

For a charity? Assuring donors that funds are being managed appropriately.

For Anthropic? No benefit at all.

Turns out "transparency" is like "weight" or "velocity" in that it has no intrinsic value, and can be positive or negative depending on context.

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