Thing is, though, verification is knowledge itself. And if we can get to a point where the important questions have answers, we can surely have the verifiers explain those to us in ways we can understand them.
Thing is, though, verification is knowledge itself. And if we can get to a point where the important questions have answers, we can surely have the verifiers explain those to us in ways we can understand them.
This is not obvious to me at all. LLMs are capable of amazing feats of reverse engineering but are terrible at explaining and abstracting things well.
I think this is an artefact of how we train them, and they could be trained to be better at this if we focused on it, but at the same time, it shows its possible for these things to be able to do things they cant explain to us (granted, they can't explain them well - you can bash your way to understanding with them anyway but they aren't good at it)
It's amazing to me that language models are still such poor writers and communicators. The mathematics community wrestled with this recently, when many solutions dropped into their laps but were not explained very well...
Thing is, (1) generic LLMs will improve, and (2) their lack of ability in this area has a lot to do with the rhetorical and structural habits they pick up during RLHF/instruction-tuning, which trained them for general-purpose comms. Zero-training base models can presumably be trained specifically to communicate scientific concepts. Interesting times.
(Edited to add: With respect to (1), compare Opus 5 to 5.5. 5 was a terrible communicator, even of software/coding concepts, whereas 5.5 is excellent and leaves very little to be desired.)
Hm, that may have to do with (faking) confidence. I've often enough with 5.5 still run into cases where it confidently explained something, at the surface it kinda made sense, but the more I dug and verified, the more it became apparent that it was entirely wrong with the most crucial core concepts. It has gotten to a point where you really need a domain expert though to realize this, which makes it tough for using it in areas where you are not an expert and don't have easy access to one either.
Verification isn't knowledge. Far from it. You can verify statements without knowing why they're true. Variants of that concept are e.g. used in cryptology.
You need humans to truly understand (to know the context) in order to make correct judgements. Without actually knowing the context, you have no way to compare.
The same goes for our own time. A powerful AI can tell us things at the edge of what we can grasp -- or beyond what we can grasp -- and it would nevertheless be knowledge that we possess. We can work to verify it, we can have it explained to us as though we were schoolchildren, or we can simply accept it as a static fact of the natural world.
In truth, we're going to have to learn to coexist with minds that are more powerful than ours. At least in some respects, if not in all respects. The good scenario is that they share information with us, and we receive it however we can. "Head in the sand" and "mutual disdain" are bad outcomes.
You might want to look up the actual definition of knowledge. It's a pretty interesting topic in epistemology really, far from your simplistic take.
You already live in coexistence with minds more powerful than yours. Society works in a way that you never need to notice that, those minds taking care of things beyond your grasp for you.
The downside of that "convenience" is you developing an over-simplified bubble-view of the world, rendering you prone to arbitrarily hazardous misjudgements.
Here, you align foolishly with interests that cannot possibly be your own. Namely, exploiting scientific knowledge for personalized monetary gain on an unsustainable scale.
When a tiny group of people hogs essentially all scientific knowledge, that renders you what?
Your idea of being graciously provided with some "basic income" or whatever is blind copium. You would live as livestock at best, to be discarded as useless whenever your masters see fit.
Merely claimed "descriptions of reality" lack the crucial property of truth. The description has to actually fit reality, or it's mere fantasy. It has to be exhaustive, or it remains a facade, leaving you blind to what lies beneath.
When you don't actually know whether it does any of that, you're merely a believer, entirely dependent on your "oracle" and its slave in effect.
Not caring about nuance leaves you open to exploitation, among other things.
But I understand what you mean. Suppose I am Archimedes in there. I don't have access to the axiom, so I don't know if what the oracle told me is true until I can verify it myself. So verify I will. This is what is being done with AI-written proofs IRL. Humans may not be able to internalize the proofs, but we can internalize the programs which verify the proofs. So we do know the proofs are correct, or rather, as correct as the verifier programs.
He's wrong because the epistemological formula is the justified true belief. The infallible oracle simply gave Archimedes a true belief, the needed justification, sensors that can actually give meaning to the precise number, would take hundreds of years to develop. Archimedes would have to sit there with the oracle and develop modern physics together before the oracle can be said to have given him knowledge.
And AI won't have given us any actual knowledge until it can fit its findings into the mathematical establishment. I forget who it was that said that society doesn't know anything until you can teach it to a room-full of undergrads, but that's about right.
And you will have to actually show your intellectual work before your arguing here will actually accomplish your goal of sounding smart.
The rest of your post is excessively emotional and off-target.
How does random data differ from "information you gained by study"? Let alone from "what you're being told"? How do you possibly notice?
Other people cannot force you to gain true knowledge. It has to be earned by putting in the necessary effort. Its value is manifold, starting with not gullibly falling prey to other's interests.
As far as I know labs try to train the other way, else we'd have monstrously long and useless outputs, but its hard to overcome these natural biases for length
Like a superposition of all kinds of writing styles, all perspectives on every topic and all kinds of ways to do things right and wrong.
In post-training (and of course already by sensibly curating the input data in the first place), people try to select useful submanifolds from that.
Ideally, you get a combination of all the extant strengths of people combined into one model. Self-improvement then leaves the sphere of human capability for good.
Many people don't like the style, probably by association with slop and fatigue more than the style being fundamentally wrong.
Being a good communicator is an entirely different thing, you can have terrible spelling and grammar and still be good at getting ideas across. It is a common situation when the communicator in question is not using his native language.
That LLMs are so good at writing and so bad at communicating is not surprizing. The key to good communication is getting into the other people's mind, LLMs can't do that, because they "think" in a way that is completely alien to us. We use words to express our thoughts, thoughts that are based on a physical world model: touch, movement, sound, light, etc... LLMs have no idea about how the physical world work, everything the see is just words, they have no intuitive idea of, say, objects falling down, just that "falling" and "down" go well together. And for explaining things, they will go "someone asks for an explanation, explanations usually use these words, I will be using the same kind of words".
And the abstractions do still matter, since in many cases it is an issue of tractability. Perhaps an LLM can force its way to a solution through 3 million mind numbingly boring and convoluted steps, but if the number of steps increases exponentially without the right abstraction that means it can only handle a slightly larger problem than a human with pen and paper.
I don't think you use them well if you think this.
What is your genius setup?
Obviously if you don't understand an idea you aren't really in a position to evaluate how good an explanation of it is. I have a background in Physics research and find models like Astra to be excellent at explaining concepts at a level for an advanced practitioner. It also has done very well, from what I can tell, for areas I am less knowledgable in. So I am confused by statements like yours that directly contradict my experience and the subjective experiences of many others.
Something I do dozens of times a day: "Please explain what this PR does, I haven't read it"
it will make me 20 pages of gibberish about caches, correctness checking, race conditions, github action runners, tradeoffs between a bunch of invented terminology internal to the PR without defining the terms- you'd have to have already read the code to know what it was referring to
without ya know, explaining it. I ask my colleague and he says something like "oh it deletes records from such-and-such a system when they aren't needed anymore after a merge" and I know exactly what he means. A single well composed sentence was all that was needed.
You can ask the agent for a single sentence explanation and it will write something like "linked candidate records are trimmed when canonical record determination window is passed", none of which is terminology any of us use, some of which is defined in the new PR and some of which is made up. I can't emphasise enough, I use these things EVERY DAY. it knows what I work on, it knows how I talk. There is no earthly reason it should be this bad given all the skills and advance and context it has. As mentioned, I constantly work to correct its shortcomings in this area but its like trying to hold water in a sieve, it just cannot do it.
"What does this PR do?"
LLM: "Oh, it specifies the kernel window over the cache candidate list to classify possible invalidated swap identifiers"
Colleague: "It removes duplicates in the target_uuid_cache table in the db"
The agent has full context of what systems the code talks to, our terminology sheet etc. It just pathologically cannot simplify things down. If you work with them enough you learn that there are some words it reaches for a lot in certain circumstances, like it loves "canonical" in relation to merging things. But this is more like learning to communicate with a deeply autistic person who struggles to adjust their speaking to be relevant to their audience rather than talking with a "good communicator"
Same for some methods I've since forgotten for solving polynomials. They were non-iterative algorithms that could work with any constants. They weren't faster than other methods, but you could fall back on them when you didn't have anything better.
That is what they were trying to teach me. General solutions that could work with anything. While, of course, it's valuable to be able to intuit shortcuts on the fly, if that's all you're capable of, there's a class of problems you simply can not solve. If they don't click in your head enough for you to come up with a specific shortcut, you wouldn't have a general one to fall back on.
I've always used computers, and didn't understand why my teacher got so upset when I programmed equations into my calculator. Like you'd think writing a program around a family of equations would develop experience with those equations, and I thought it was a good way to speed up the solving process. Needless to say, teacher did not agree, and quickly learned to ban my calculator on tests.
(technically, it was supposed to be banned anyway because it had a CAS... but I got it because 68k TI-BASIC was better than the Z80 TI-BASIC)
I still don't know the general solutions for most of the problems I work with nowadays, and I think that sucks. I think AI makes this way worse on a scale much greater than mathematics.
Sometimes I wish I could go back to school and catch up on all the basics I've been cheating around. I feel like my apparent intelligence is a mistake and I need to develop a better foundation.
Looks like I was the opposite to you in regards to calculators. I always preferred to do it the hard way and only used calculators for boring things that I knew by heart, but would take me longer to do by hand and be error prone.
But I didn't pursue a career where this type of stuff was any useful and forgot many of the things I could do easily in school, like integral and differential calculus.
As the saying goes, use it or lose it. No matter how foundational, you'll eventually forget all about it if you do not use it anymore. There are even cases of people that completely forgot their first language.
I'm optimistic about AI because it can have more knowledge than any given human in storage. Eventually we all kinda specialize around something. Even the generalists among mathematicians have little insight into medicine, rocket science or astrophysics. So we all become the hammers of the saying "if you are a hammer, everything looks like a nail". But when including AI we get a broader perspective.
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hierarchy_of_the_sciences
First math and CS, where formal logic dominate, and AI can check/verify its own answers very quickly. Then physics, downstream of math. Then materials science, which in some cases is practically a branch of physics. Then chemistry more generally. Then biology. Then various social sciences.
Math is really super suitable for quick iterations by a machine.