People do not realize that in some countries virtually all the citizen are carrying a Java SmartCard on them at all time (either an ID card or a medical security card). People do not realize that there are billions of devices running Java (like TV decoders) and that Java is even officially part of some specs (e.g. you cannot have a Blu-Ray player without having Java). In addition to basically power the entire banking infrastructure (it's damn near close to impossible to make an electronic payment without having Java involved in the process) and pretty much the entire corporate world, Java also powers a gigantic number of high-target websites (like eBay and FedEx).
And even in browsers, without needing applets, Java is also used to generate JavaScript (GWT and ClojureScript being to examples -- at this point ClojureScript still needs the JVM to compile to JavaScript).
And Android, of course.
Java is going to dwarf COBOL's legacy. Big times.
The real sadness here is that the writing was on the wall: any knowledgeable Java programmer knew, 15 years ago, that Java applets were an insecure piece of excremental technology.
You don't know how many time I've vomited on Java applet in Usenet's comp.lang.java.programmer years ago, saying how big of a mistake and loss of energy it was... Only to have the likes of Jon Skeet and Roedy Green defending Java applets tooth and nail.