Hacker News Reader

It's just a simple projection, it's not meant to be taken so seriously. I expect that it's extremely conservative. We are currently in the dark ages of medicine where we just shoot people up with random chemicals and see what happens. There is a lot of room for improvement. Not to mention the singularity.

View on HN

Exactly. We are simply molecular machines, and we can and will become masters of our molecular destiny, and I would be happy to make a Simon–Ehrlich type wager with anyone, executed by smart crypto-contract, that the average lifespan of a Female born in 2000 will be > than 100.

I would say that my heir(s) will collect the winnings, but I fully expect medical progress will let me outpace death for quite some time.

"And what do we say to death?"

"Not today!"

I would take that bet and not solely because you failed to exclude third world countries. I would probably hesitate on "in 2050, a 50 year old women has, on average, another 50 years of life" and definitely pass on "in 2075, a 75 year old women has, on average, another 25 years of life."

(not so confident there, someone here is just a doctor's appointment away from catastrophe, could be anyone, even you :-/)

Reply on news.ycombinator.com