Have terms been disclosed? Until they are, Redorb could be right. At least he described the parameters of his 'guesstimate' and put it on the record next to his name and history of contributions. Anonymous downvoters are just grunting, "no."

Define 'reputable guesser'.

It was a fair comment in the context of the thread. Predictions should be rewarded or punished based on whether they eventually pan out, not armchair snap-judgment popularity.

The fact that it's different from the pack of similar guesses makes it a more valuable contribution, to me, even if it winds up wrong.