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I completely agree that there is very little chance AI research will succeed any time soon, but not because AI researchers haven't listened enough to Jeff Hawkins. The way to understand human intelligence is to build computational models that reproduce some of its properties.

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My statement isn't so much that we listen to Hawkins but rather that the point put forward by Hawkins (among others) in recent years is the point around which we should focus our efforts. You can't build a computational model if you have nothing that realistically reflects the requirements of the thing that you wish to model as instantiated in reality as we know it.

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