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Atropos

300 karma · joined July 21, 2011

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Atropos··on German state parliament bans laptops - Pirate party show up with typewriters
The real reason why they are banned: Because the majority of the parliament wanted it that way and voted for the rule. I don't get the outrage at all, why shouldn't the parliament get to decide how they run their own sessions?
Atropos··on German state parliament bans laptops - Pirate party show up with typewriters
The regions debt is 27 billion euros, spending or saving 100.000 euros on tablets doesnt make any real difference.

Incredible that I'm getting downvoted for this. So if you have 100,000 $ student debt, you should stop sending holiday cards and use email instead, to save 40 cents?

In large organizations some costs are just to minuscule to warrant any mindspace. In this case the spending doesn't even seem evidently frivolous, why shouldn't every parliamentarian have a tablet? In the Netherlands they replaced paper with tablets and even managed to achieve cost savings.

Atropos··on Leak shows EU's plans for large scale surveillance of all communications
I'm not judging CleanIT at all, I'm merely pointing out that their connection to the EU or its legislative agenda is practically nonexistent at the moment. The article headline is clearly FUD.
Atropos··on Leak shows EU's plans for large scale surveillance of all communications
Hyperbole bordering on propaganda again. The 27 EU countries elect their governments democratically. Then the council of these democratically elected governments appoints the EU commission for the specific time frame of 5 years and the appointment has to be confirmed by the democratically elected European Parliament. The commission only has the legislative initiative, but the proposals are voted on by the European Council and the Parliament, requiring at least a qualified majority, in many policy areas even requiring Unanimity...
Atropos··on Leak shows EU's plans for large scale surveillance of all communications
This is ridiculous and misinformed Anti-EU propaganda. If you look at the CleanIT website, you can see that this is just a project by the "Law Enforcement or Counter terrorism departments" of some European Countries. The project explicitly states that it has a "Non-legislative approach" and is seen as a "Public-Private-Partnership".

The only connection to the EU is that it received an EU financing in 2011. Clearly the content of the document is really troubling, but what would you expect from a document exclusively edited by some governments anti-terror departments? This reads more like a wishlist than anything having a remote chance of political survival.

Anyway there will be enough time to start worrying and outrage if these ideas actually appear in a legislative proposal by the EU commission. Even then it would likely take another 3-4 years to become law. Keep in mind that the current EU commission is only in place until the next EU elecions in 2014. It is very unlikely that a huge legislative project would be initiated before that.

Atropos··on Facial recognition will be turned off for Facebook users from Europe
Theoretically the EU privacy laws do not apply to you, the scope of the law concerns EU territory only. But of course I don't know how Facebook will handle its compliance, so maybe changing your country to an EU state might work.
Atropos··on Germany: Facebook must destroy its facial recognition database
The laws are "restrictive" in the sense that they don't like opt-out mechanisms. They place few if any restrictions what a company can do if the user actively opts in.

If the personal data price is such a small to pay, convincing your users of that shouldn't be too much of a problem?

Atropos··on Khan Academy: Computer Science
That is really incredible work! I bet Codecademy is happy they already received their $10m round...
Atropos··on Government: we can freeze Mega assets even if case is dismissed
The asset freecing is one thing, but trying to prosecute a company without an US address under US criminal law is much more troubling. If I have a personal blog, should it be possible to hold me accountable according to the criminal laws of every single country in the world? Obviously not, how could I possibly comply?

Now an internet company with customers around the world is different - but not so different that this should be possible under criminal law without a very clear pre-written law.

Atropos··on Google Files Bill of Costs for Oracle to Pay - $4,030,669
That is true but not because of the "lawyer monopoly" because of the bar requirement. Google has their own legal department and if required they could easily find a 50$/hour attorney to file everything they write in court...

In my opinion the real reason is that some areas of law like patent litigation require highly specialiced knowledge that is almost impossible to acquire outside of a few special firms. An unexperienced law school graduate trying to do patent litigation would be like a med school graduate trying to do brain surgery - it just isn't feasible without years of additional training by someone who is already an expert in the field. But while after medical school this is provided by the residency programs at hospitals, all that exists for lawyers is starting as an associate at specialized for-profit biglaw firms - who have no interest in "teaching" as many people as possible, but raher in maximizing their billing rates...

Atropos··on Where has all the money in the world gone?
I only used the word "socialism" because the other commenter used it - in the original meaning of the word it doesn't exist anywhere in Europe. What I meant is simply bad regulation. You are correct that some of the nordish countries have a more ,,left'' reputation and have things like high taxes, alot of redistribution etc... But if you look at the "Heritage Ranking of Economic Freedom" (http://www.heritage.org/index/ranking), you see: - Denmark (Rank 11), Finland (17), Sweden (21) - Spain(36), Portugal(68), Italy(92), Greece(119)
Atropos··on Where has all the money in the world gone?
At the moment only Greece (2,65% of eurozone gdp), Portugal (1,83%) and Ireland (1,82%) have received bailouts - which makes 6,3% not "half the Eurozone melting down". Spanish banks may get a €100b bankout aswell - big deal.

But I agree with you on the source of the problem - socialism or uneconomic regulation. That is visible in the doing business rankings of the world bank (http://www.doingbusiness.org/rankings). Ireland(rank 10), France(29),Portugal(30) will hopefully be fine. Spain at 44 is troubling; I'm only really worried about Italy (87) and Greece (100).

However Portugal+Spain+Greece have voted in conservative governments, Italy has an interim economist technocrat government. There is the European Fiscal Compact (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Fiscal_Compact). And Germany is pushing very hard for economic reforms in the bailout countries.

Overall it is just a problem with a few countries with bad governments/regulation, not a "Euro" problem and certainly not a European Union problem... And we seem to be taking more steps dealing with it then the US or UK with their problems!

I compared to the US$ because the import/export in USD or GBP is incredibly more significant than the few currencies the Euro has done badly against, like the Swiss Francs or Japanese Yen or Norwegian/Swedisch Krones etc...

Atropos··on Where has all the money in the world gone?
Yeah Europe is stupid, if only our leaders were as wise as a random blogger! But please explain me this: EUR/USD started at 1,17 at inception and it is still at 1,26 now. US 10 year bond yield is 1,67420 and Germany's is 1,58100. US debt/gdp is around 101% and Germany's is 81,2%. Moreover the US has a huge trade deficit and Germany has a huge trade surplus.

To me the eurocrisis seems primarily a US/UK media thing...

Atropos··on Butterfly Labs Announces Next Generation ASIC Lineup
Interesting company / "press release". So their CTO is named "Nasser G", their contact is named "Nick W". They have venture capital funding by an unnamed "private equity group". According to their website, they are based in Kansas City, Missouri but if you search the states business register there is no "Butterfly inc." The trademarks “Butterfly Labs” and “BitForce SC” do not exist in the USPTO database either...

Doesn't this seem a bit unusual for a company promising to deliver a $29,899 product?

Atropos··on How Depressives Surf the Web
I disagree with all the negative comments here, if I understand the article correctly, they found a correlation like "IF you are depressed, THEN you might anxiously check your emails all the time'' They arent saying this internet use pattern makes you more likely to be depressed (See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Modus_ponens#Justification_via_...)

In my personal case, I have bipolar depression and I have gone through several depressive episodes and have definately changed my internet usage during them as described in the article. So I believe this research has value and I will probably build a tool for self-tracking these variables...

What I disagree with is that there should be a central software to notify "counselors'' of this behavior. I believe there would be too many false positives and it would be a huge intrusion of privacy.

Maybe a system where users by the software get an automated "Need help?" email once where they can schedule an anonymous appointment with 1 click at the student health center or something would be fine. But it should really just be a relatively cheap way to screen for students who might be in trouble and contact them proactively, the internet usage itself shouldnt be logged or discussed as a problem ever...

Atropos··on Lessons from Sheryl Sandberg: Stop Working More Than 40 Hours a Week
Yeah the law really doesn't mean alot. I know for a fact that the usual suspects like bankers, lawyers, middle management work crazy hours like everywhere else. There was actually a high court decision not long ago, where a lawyer demanded overtime pay for a few years of 60-70 hour workweek. But since his base pay was around 7000€ / month the court decided he shouldnt get anything, all hours are included in the salary - which is of course a totally reasonable and expected decision, but it shows that the 40 hour limit isnt too meaningful.
Atropos··on What Amazon's ebook strategy really means
What would the world be like, if you could instantly buy every book as an ebook anywhere in the world, if ereaders were clearly more convenient to use than paperbooks and if they were so cheap, that everybody who now owns 1 book would own 1 ereader?

I might be wrong, but in my imagination this would be awesome, offering nearly limitless possibilities for disruption. For example the adoption of open-source textbooks in schools would be much easier, academic research in some countries would really benefit from easier access to materials.

I think there is no question that this will be technologically feasible at some point in the future. The question is, if it happens and when. I hope it happens as fast as possible and judging by the development of the ebook world from 1990-2007 and 2007-Now, Amazon is by far more beneficial than the traditional publishers in this regard.

Certainly a monopoly is never optimal, but let's worry about that once the future has arrived. There is always antitrust law. Until then, I hope Amazon (or Google or Apple or ...) achieves as much marketshare as possible and pushes the development onward.

Atropos··on Instagram is "worth" more than the New York Times
I always find it very hard to grasp the value of software companies intuitively. If Facebook is worth $100b right now, it is already bigger than Amazon or Siemens! Of course a huge part of the value is an x% chance bet on future growth / future ability to monetize and doesn't reflect the current status you can see - rationally I can believe the valuation is defensible but emotionally I always think "No way!"
Atropos··on $8M in Funding and a Lawsuit to Boot? Game on.
Page 15 of the complaint is fairly damming. Apparently "Campbells Biology" uses a bear eating a fish + running to explain thermodynamics and even this example appears in their version... It might possibly be legal, but I feel it shouldn't be.
Atropos··on Germany refuses to sign ACTA (for now)
The problem with ACTA is that many of the clauses are very much open to interpretation and often times only understandable if you have all the protocols - which are not available to the public.

However there is a petition by law professors against ACTA coordinated by Prof. Metzger of the University of Hanover and signed by practically all leading German professors in the field of IT law. (See: http://www.iri.uni-hannover.de/acta-1668.html)

Atropos··on Polish Prime Minister suspends the ACTA ratification
On the one hand this is a great result, congratulations to the Polish activists for acting and achieving this!

However I'm a bit sad the protests happened so late and only in Poland. ACTA had been negotiated since 2008, the final draft being leaked online in 2010... Since some members including USA signed already on 1 October 2011, realistically it already was to late to stop it.

Maybe if SOPA had happened 1 year earlier, the spillover activism could have stopped ACTA too? :/

Atropos··on It's Your Choice, Europe: Rebel Against the Banks or Accept Debt-Serfdom
I do understand the debt spiral argument. However if you look at eurostat public debt graphs (http://goo.gl/XX9f5) it seems to me that Italy,Spain,Finland "Debt to GDP" all went down from 1995 to 2008, of course then the financial crisis drove it way up. If I recall correctly it is always reported that Italy now has the highest borrowing costs since the introduction of the euro zone, but that it had even higher debt + interest rates in lira areas...

However Greece is a totally different graph, it seems that the Euro gave access to cheap credit for the first time and they took as much as they could get. Or some of the former numbers are fake, who knows.

I guess there are two problems: 1) Current interest rates are unsustainably high 2) Unsustainable public policies... Eurobonds would probably solve 1) but increase the danger that 2) doesn't get addressed.

Atropos··on It's Your Choice, Europe: Rebel Against the Banks or Accept Debt-Serfdom
I believe this "Cannot print their own money" argument is simply misdirection. I would guess 90% of all countries worldwide have their own currency and some are doing great and others are doing very badly.

If you look at the world banks doing business report + transparency internationals corruption report you get: - Iceland: Rank 9 / 13 - Ireland: Rank 10 / 19 - Italy: Rank 87 / 69 - Greece: Rank 100 / 80

No wonder that Ireland+Iceland are doing better, growing again. Even if you forgave Greece+Italy their entire debt, gave them their own currency back etc... I would bet in 20-30 years they would be in the exact same situation as now! I studied in Italy for 2 semesters and I love the country but every time I had to deal with the public bureaucracy I wanted to blow my brains out... I don't know how anyone could run a business in Italy and it is really astonishing how many great companies there are, which shows that a large part of the population has a very good education and work ethic...

Atropos··on Some Asians' college strategy: Don't check 'Asian'
I somewhat agree with you, however I do not know the US system very well. In Germany university admission is done by grades alone; however we don't really have elite universities like the ivies, but all universities are at a rather mediocre level.

For example I could have easily gone to med school with my grades, which is one of the majors with the higher grade cutoffs, but it is maybe open for the top 10-15%? At this level I don't believe parental involvement matters too much, everyone at age 18-19 is mature enough to know: OK, if I want to study medicine, I should try to get these grades etc...

But if admission is based in the 99,99% area, I don't know if a system based on merit alone is "fair". If I look at areas like competitive sports or piano competitions etc., I would believe at least 2/3 of the contestants at the national stage had "helicopter parents" relentlessly pushing them, often against their own will...

So having a "tiger mom" simply gives you a huge competitive advantage over "normal" kids/families. So if your system is based on ideas like affirmative action, where people from disadvantage backgrounds get a boost, it seems sensible to give people from advantageous backgrounds a detriment.

Atropos··on Poll: HN EU readers, should we start lobbying the EU?
Yes you are correct for company law, but not tax law, see the §§ 1, 2 of the german corporate income tax law. ("KStG" http://www.gesetze-im-internet.de/kstg_1977/BJNR025990976.ht...). Unfortunately there is no official english version, but the tax code is formulated in such a convoluted way that GoogleTranslate can't make it much worse ;)
Atropos··on Poll: HN EU readers, should we start lobbying the EU?
Regarding taxes the rule would probably be the same everywhere in Europe. However nothing would (legally) stop you to base your company in Ireland or Estonia etc...

The EU flexibility rather concerns other aspects. For example in Germany if you wanted to have a limited liability company (GmbH), you needed to have 20,000€ capital. The british limited had a lower requirement so lots of small german businesses incorporated as a Ltd. Now there is a new limited liability company in Germany called the "UG" without the minimum capital, which otherwise would never have happend or at least not as fast.

Atropos··on Poll: HN EU readers, should we start lobbying the EU?
Regarding payment gateways: The EU is already on it, see the SEPA project: http://www.ecb.europa.eu/paym/sepa/html/index.en.html

However like anything in the EU it moves very slow, I believe the target is to phase the first national systems out in 2013/2014, but delays are not unlikely...

Atropos··on Zuckerberg IPO Haul Could Top $24 Billion
It will be interesting to see how stricter data protection laws play out. The EU will make a new data protection directive in 2012/2013, and other new laws like in Singapore or HongKong are more influenced by the EU standard than by US standards - because otherwise they may not get outsourcing work from EU. But I still agree that the facebook data is likely to be very valuable...

One of the EU ideas is to give the user a right to "export" their personal data. If there was a functionality where it took you 1 click to recreate all your facebook-data on "SocialNetwork2.0" the switching costs would seem to be very low. I sometimes feel that network advantages are overestimated. Here in Germany we had the facebook clone "StudiVZ" a few years ago, and practically all students were members. Nowadays Facebook dominates here too and many new students don't bother joining "StudiVZ" anymore.

Atropos··on The euro zone: Is this really the end?
If you believe that currency market are somewhat efficient, the chances of a catastrophe happening are already priced in. For example, the Eur vs. Swiss Francs historically hovered around the 1,50 mark for a long time; now it's at 1,23. The swiss franc is considered clearly overvalued and there is speculation that their national bank wants to push it back up to 1,30.

Anyway if the Euro problems get solved, you would probably lose at least 10-15% of your assets. Of course maybe such an "insurance" is worth it, but it is by no means an easy decision.

Atropos··on The Euro falling into a recession?
The troubles are caused by overspending + bad policies. The Euro however makes the problem slightly worse, because they cant artificially devalue their currencies.

If you look at the rankings in "World Bank Ease of Doing Business" and "Heritage Economic Freedom" the picture is very clear:

"AAA Euro Countries": (Ranking WorldBank - Heritage) Finland: 11 // 17 Germany: 19 // 23 Netherlands 31 // 15 Austria 32 // 21 Luxembourg 50 // 13

Portugal: 30 // 69 Spain: 44 // 31 Italy: 87 // 87 Greece: 100 // 88

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