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DebtDeflation

6,954 karma · joined December 27, 2018

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DebtDeflation··on AT&T follows Amazon with a 5-days-in-office mandate
More and more companies now abandoning even hybrid working in favor of 5 day per week RTO.
DebtDeflation··on Cultural Evolution of Cooperation Among LLM Agents
Because the data those models were trained on included many examples of human conversations that ended that way. There's no "cultural evolution" or emergent cooperation between models happening.
DebtDeflation··on Humans are unreliable models of mouse disease
I'm not a medical professional, but my understanding is that at least for the anti Alzheimer effect, it is due to the caffeine, specifically the effect it has on dilating capillaries in the brain.
DebtDeflation··on Humans are unreliable models of mouse disease
At a high enough dose, sure. But study after study over the last decade has shown coffee to have a positive effect on everything from diabetes to Alzheimers.
DebtDeflation··on Intel executives say a manufacturing spinoff is possible
>Michelle Johnston Holthaus and David Zinsner - who were tapped as co-CEOs after the ouster of former CEO Pat Gelsinger last week - were asked if the company's continued combination of manufacturing and design was tied to the success of a new chipmaking technology called 18A due next year.

>"Pragmatically, do I think it makes sense that they're completely separated and there's no tie?" Holthaus said of the company's product and manufacturing divisions. "I don't think so. But someone will decide that."

The "Co-CEOs" are already inspiring confidence with their vision, decisiveness, and accountability.

DebtDeflation··on Mysterious New Jersey drone sightings prompt call for 'state of emergency'
I've been following the story and this has been discussed on the local Reddit subs. They are almost certainly PteroDynamics XP-4 drones flying from and to the military bases in question for testing purposes. There literally was a public demo of them on the USNS Burlington in Philadelphia a year ago.
DebtDeflation··on Intel's Death and Potential Revival
>The fundamental flaw with Pat Gelsinger’s 2020 return to Intel and his IDM 2.0 plan is that it was a decade too late.

Correct, but if a decade ago was the right time to do it, then 2020 was the second best, and now is the third best.

>Gelsinger’s plan was to become a foundry, with Intel as its first-best customer.

The only real alternative to this is to split Intel into two companies - a Foundry and a Products company - and effectively achieve the same thing via contracts rather than ownership.

I have a feeling that in 18-24 months we're going to be reading articles about how the best time to split the company was 2 years ago and now it's too late.

DebtDeflation··on What we know about CEO shooting suspect
If he ditched the gun, fake IDs and any other evidence he had tying him to the crime and just gave the cops his real id and denied being in NYC recently, it would have made it much harder to prosecute. Without any physical evidence, he just looked like the shooter.
DebtDeflation··on What we know about CEO shooting suspect
https://www.linkedin.com/in/luigi-mangione/

https://www.facebook.com/luigi.mangione.2

DebtDeflation··on Sora is here
Just need to add a hand with 6 fingers strumming it and it could be a meme.
DebtDeflation··on Willow, Our Quantum Chip
Does this not assume uncorrelated errors?
DebtDeflation··on Willow, Our Quantum Chip
>the more qubits we use in Willow, the more we reduce errors, and the more quantum the system becomes

That's an EXTRAORDINARY claim and one that contradicts the experience of pretty much all other research and development in quantum error correction over the course of the history of quantum computing.

DebtDeflation··on Pat Gelsinger was wrong for Intel
Absolutely correct. Intel has until the end of next year to get 18A shipping in volume (server and laptop) and external foundry customers on the node. If they do not then they will get chopped up and sold off around the middle of 2026.

Revenue:

2021 79.0B

2022 63.1B

2023 54.2B

TTM (2024) 54.2B

EBITDA

2021 34.1B

2022 21.3B

2023 11.2B

TTM (2024) 3.3B

Free Cash Flow

2021 9.1B

2022 -9.6B

2023 -14.3B

TTM (2024) -15.1B

Over the last 3 years, Revenue down 31.4% Operating Profit down 90.3% and utterly bleeding Cash.

DebtDeflation··on Pat Gelsinger was wrong for Intel
All sorts of strategic decisions (M&A, new product direction, entry to new markets, significant financing events, vendor purchases above a certain $ threshold, even the hire of new executives above a certain level) require the CEO to get board approval.
DebtDeflation··on Pat Gelsinger was wrong for Intel
For those who may not be aware of what you are talking about: 3 fund companies (BlackRock, State Street, Vanguard) are the largest shareholder in over 80% of SP500 companies and collectively own around 28% of the SP500 market cap.
DebtDeflation··on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson Fatally Shot in Manhattan
NYPD is calling it targeted. The assassin was waiting for him outside the hotel for awhile and had a bike stashed in a nearby alley to escape.
DebtDeflation··on Intel announces retirement of Pat Gelsinger
The original "5 Nodes in 4 Years" roadmap released in mid 2021 had 18A entering production 2H 2024. So it's already "delayed". The updated roadmap has it coming in Q3 2025 but I don't think anyone ever believed that. This after 20A was canceled, Intel 4 is only used for the Compute Tile in Meteor Lake, Intel 3 only ever made it into a couple of server chips, and Intel 7 was just renamed 10nm.
DebtDeflation··on Undergraduates with family income below $200k will be tuition-free at MIT
I'd also think you'd want to adjust by geography based on COL. A two earner family earning $200K in SF or NYC is different than one earning that in suburban Arkansas.
DebtDeflation··on Thomas E. Kurtz has died
My first exposure to computers was at the age of 9, summer of 1982, my parents signed me up for computer camp and we learned BASIC on a TRS-80 with a cassette drive

10 PRINT "Joe is cool"

20 GOTO 10

ENTER

<Raises hand> "Help me!"

DebtDeflation··on OpenAI's new "Orion" model reportedly shows small gains over GPT-4
Huge difference between the original GPT-3 text-davinci released in 2020 and the 3.5 version that powered ChatGPT when it was released in late 2022.
DebtDeflation··on OpenAI's new "Orion" model reportedly shows small gains over GPT-4
It sure feels like everything after GPT-4 has just been an incremental improvement (putting aside multimodal capabilities and longer context windows) - GPT-4 Turbo, GPT-4o, o1.

GPT-3.5 with the ChatGPT front end was just such a massive improvement over everything that came before it, then 4 months later they release GPT-4 which was a significant improvement but more importantly gave the impression that progress was actually accelerating, then for the last 20 months we got incremental tweaks and new models that are a little better at certain tasks and a little worse at others.

DebtDeflation··on Section 230 Immunizes OnlyFans for User-Uploaded Video–DOE vs. Fenix
They were facing up to 93 years in prison for the rape and obscene content distribution charges and the prosecutor agreed to a plea deal of one year probation, 100 hours of community services, and an agreement to cease posting content to social media. People have gotten worse sentences for simple marijuana possession. Sometimes the criminal justice system makes absolutely no sense to me.
DebtDeflation··on Trump wins presidency for second time
Not sure why you're being downvoted, as this is spot on.

The Democratic part has completely lost touch with the working class. Harris struggled to articulate any sort of economic policy other than "we're going to ban price gouging, give money to people to start businesses, and help people make down payments on houses" with no details. Meanwhile, they latched onto some of the most fringe culture war issues like making sure that trans men can compete in women's sports.

I voted for her because another Trump presidency is literally an existential threat to the country, but I saw this coming from a mile away.

DebtDeflation··on Ghost jobs are wreaking havoc on tech workers
Many companies have policies requiring that all jobs have to be posted both internally and externally before being filled. The intent is to prevent Sam the VP from just slotting his buddy into the job. At the end of the day, Sam the VP is just going to slot his buddy into the job but now you made a whole bunch of people apply for a job that was never available to them.

Same thing happens with H1B/PERM, except now it's the law requiring it rather than company policy. The company already has someone doing the job today, but legally they have to post the job and interview a certain number of candidates to prove there is no US citizen that can do it.

Terrible situation for all involved.

DebtDeflation··on It might be possible to detect gravitons after all
Rather, the existence of black holes demonstrates that gravity is not renormalizable.

The last sentence in the paper:

"It seems that gravity is a low energy effective field theory description of something else that is not a quantum field theory."

QFTs like QED and QCD are renormalizable. This is a technique used to eliminate the infinities that arise in calculations from self-interaction. For a very long time, renormalization was viewed as hocus pocus (including by the person who discovered it). Later, mathematicians were able to provide a solid theoretical foundation for it.......but only as an effective field theory valid at particular size and energy scales.

Net net, the standard model is an approximation of something more fundamental. Gravity being nonrenormalizable shows that "something" is not a QFT.

DebtDeflation··on It might be possible to detect gravitons after all
The fact that QED and QCD are renormalizable while gravity is not is probably trying to tell us something deeper than we think.

Relevant paper:

https://arxiv.org/pdf/0709.3555

You can read the first two paragraphs of the Introduction and then skip to the last sentence of the Conclusion if you want to bypass all the math.

DebtDeflation··on Dropbox announces 20% global workforce reduction
Same thing that happens when there isn't enough money to pay their taxes. Or their debtors. Or their vendors. Or their payroll.
DebtDeflation··on Steve Ballmer was an underrated CEO
>For iPhone the killer app was making calls.

What?

Making calls was the killer app for Nokia brick phones in the late 1990s.

The killer app for the first generation of smartphones (Windows Mobile, Blackberry, etc.) was email and calendar.

The killer app for iPhone and Android was the capacitative touchscreen combined with the ability to run 3rd party apps (yes, I'm aware there was an extremely brief moment in the history of the original iPhone where Apple opposed this), and 3G mobile internet (yes, again, I realize this came a year after the initial iPhone release). Mobile web browsers and Maps/GPS got the party started.

DebtDeflation··on Plastic chemical phthalate causes DNA breakage, chromosome defects, study finds
The way we used to "recycle" plastic was to put it on a container ship along with glass and aluminum and send it to China. Once it arrived, they would recycle the glass and aluminum and bury or burn the plastic. We reduced the quantity of (valuable) aluminum and glass over time until China got mad and told us to stop shipping them just the garbage (plastic). That was largely the end of the show.
DebtDeflation··on Show HN: Agent.exe, a cross-platform app to let 3.5 Sonnet control your machine
Polarized receptacles were mandated in the US by the National Electric Code in 1962. I feel like during the 1990s every electronic device you bought had a polarized plug, but then with the advent of smartphones circa 2007-2008 and then the flood of aftermarket chargers a few years later, we suddenly went backwards to non-polarized plugs.
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