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Fluorescence

1,273 karma · joined August 16, 2023

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Fluorescence··on Close to 2k environmental activists killed over last decade
Idiot cops opening fire on mass and hitting another cop in the crossfire as has happened many times before.
Fluorescence··on What Silicon Valley “gets” about software engineers
Those are valid questions, you are describing the problem. It is a tension. It applies to immigration and any number of other social issues. What was wrong was to frame the flooding the market with new software developers as an entirely noble intent. It's like saying the abuse of h1b visas has also been noble and not about labour costs / control over staff.

The problem is that it is a fundamentally unfair game which requires some people to lose. If you want a solution then it's to remove desperation from the labour market. Remove the implicit threat of destitution and ruin if you don't take the work that is offered to you at the minimum cost an employer can get away with. This is what takes people to ideas of basic income and basic services.

Fluorescence··on Breakfast cereal is in long-term decline
If you ask for Cheerios in the UK, this is what you get. If you get an own-brand Cheerio knock off called "Hello Loops" or something, they will have also the same level of sugar.

Might explain some of the confusion in this thread.

Fluorescence··on Breakfast cereal is in long-term decline
I haven't seen a sugar-free variety in UK supermarkets. Standard Cheerios have always been sweet. I would call the "sweet" varieties things like Honeynut which have 22.4g of sugar per 100g.
Fluorescence··on What Silicon Valley “gets” about software engineers
It is so disingenuous to snip out the reason they gave and then pose a sanctimonious question as if it wasn't clear. They said it's to increase supply and lower labour costs.

You can argue with that or not but don't pretend you do not understand the capitalist ideal of an excess supply of labour so that salaries and benefits can be driven to legal minimums with desperate people still waiting to be hired no matter the indignity. Creating Labour surpluses to reduce Labour power and enable exploitation is not a "net benefit to humanity", it only benefits capital.

In our shitty world, you are only valued if you are in a position of more demand than the supply. You might get that by being lucky but most only get it by gatekeeping whether it's doctors or delivery drivers or companies buying up their competitors. If you stand idly by, the world will punish you.

Fluorescence··on Breakfast cereal is in long-term decline
Here are the UK figures for Cheerios multigrain and Quakers rolled oats. Cheerios have 17x the sugar. I think they used to be worse in the past before UK sugar regulations led to lots of changes to breakfast cereals.

I use 100g because they have different servings amounts. In the UK, the serving size is just 30g not 39g.

I would note that reducing such foods to tables can miss the point. They make me feel very different to eat. One is a very moreish sugary frankenfood that makes me lose control of my appetite. I can eat it by the box. The other is something that makes me feel good but if I make too much, I'm done and can't finish it. Eating an excess is physically hard.

                   +---------+----------+
                   | Oatmeal | Cheerios |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    | Serving size |    100g |     100g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    |     Calories |    374  |      378 |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    |          Fat |     8g  |     4.8g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    | Carbohydrate |    60g  |    69.1g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    |     (sugar)  |   1.1g  |    17.7g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    |     (fiber)  |     9g  |     9.6g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
    |      Protein |    11g  |     9.9g |
    +--------------+---------+----------+
Fluorescence··on The economic cost of populism
I'd be curious about what the data shows.

I would describe it as the "conventional wisdom" account of how populism functions e.g. the Great Depression is described as a necessary context for Hitler's popularism to be effective i.e. economic grievance fuels anti-establishment / anti-elite narratives. You get the Occupy Wallstreet movement after a crash/recession, not during a boom.

Fluorescence··on The economic cost of populism
Do they control for the fact that populists will have more electoral success during financial crises and such?

AEA is the economic establishment so hardly the people I would trust to fairly judge those that challenge the status quo.

Fluorescence··on Unity’s new pricing: A wake-up call on the importance of open source
I gave you the alternative: plug-ins that could be maintained by the community. They already have the module system but all the version sensitive .net features are in the core.

For Unreal, I don't think there is a solution to closed platforms if it requires a large/sophisticated team to maintain compatibility. We can only point out that any notion of "forever" is a fiction - you have got in bed with a commercial dependency you may come to regret if they choose to change the rules.

Fluorescence··on Unity’s new pricing: A wake-up call on the importance of open source
> use one version of their engine FOREVER

In an age of locked down mobile OSes and forever changing graphics drivers and such, I don't think "FOREVER" is very long any more.

It's like a perpetual license to a specific version of JetBrains Rider. It's sold as if I own a general purpose tool FOREVER and can opt out of an endless subscription but no, it doesn't mean much at all. It will not work with the next runtime update and past runtimes are obsoleted after a couple of years. They have managed to outsource their subscription lock-in as the release cycles of a third parties while pretending to be holier than thou. If they shipped the volatile parts as open source plug-ins, I would feel differently.

Fluorescence··on ‘Friends’ and ‘Seinfeld’ knew the cure for loneliness
They actually seem pretty accurate depictions of friend groups to me.

Friends: the friend group was defined by college room-mate, family and room-mates i.e. people thrust together as a unit and then socialising together. They went to Central Perk as this unit, and did not become friends through it.

Seinfeld: the friend group was defined by college room-mate, a neighbour and an ex-girlfriend. They didn't meet in third-places, they went to the diner as that unit. That Kramer was an outgoing weirdo using his proximity to basically force himself into a pre-existing relationship is familiar. The presence of Elaine is unusual but she was basically grafted-on to fix a sitcom rather than drawn from real life.

Cheers: this is more of the "people you know at a third place" but the running joke was that despite drinking every day with each other, they weren't really friends and didn't even like each other. This type of "regular acquaintance" is perhaps a familiar experience for a lonely adult struggling to find new friends. You can shoot the breeze with someone you see regularly but it's a constrained relationship.

It's unfortunate that the strangers who want to talk at third-places are only the Kramers and Cliffs of the world. A combination of bores and nutters that you have to actively avoid. Anyone vaguely normal has ear-buds in and head down. It would be nice to try and reverse that. At a minimum, normalise saying "hello" to strangers as a polite necessity instead of a red flag. For some reason it's common when hiking but not in a city. I'm more likely to chat to a stranger in the wilderness than a dense neighbourhood.

Fluorescence··on Chronic fatigue syndrome may have a post-viral infection origin
He talks about working two jobs but this was during Family Ties & Back to the Future, 6 years before his symptoms. He describes sleeping in the car but no mention of illness. At best it's "can't be good can it?" and "confused about which set I was on" but no mention of sickness. Were this to be a cause, and I don't there is any evidence to suggest it is but I feel the doc wishes to insinuate so, it would be a stress/sleep/overwork type risk factor.

I would note the irony that you bemoan people for not believing something when the evidence you cite isn't there - it suggests more caution is required! From my own reading, that sums up the topic: people are open to viral theories but the proof just isn't there yet so believing it is premature. Parkinson's remains poorly understood in both mechanism and cause. It is said to be "a combination of genetic and environmental factors which might include pesticides and head injury". I imagine post-viral consequences could fit within head-injury type risk factors but we are not at a position to make statements of fact about such things.

Fluorescence··on Chronic fatigue syndrome may have a post-viral infection origin
> It is briefly mentioned when he is talking about his “workaholism”

You'll have to timestamp or quote it because I don't see it. I have searched the subtitles. No relevant mention of sick, ill, flu, work etc.

Fluorescence··on Chronic fatigue syndrome may have a post-viral infection origin
> mentioned being sick in his documentary "Still"

I just saw this and he doesn't say that. He says that he was drinking with Woody Harrelson, had to be helped into his suite by a bodyguard and "I woke with a monster hangover" when he first noticed the auto-animated finger.

> where other crew members also have Parkinsons

Michael J. Fox himself throws some cold water over this to avoid over-extrapolating:

"Believe it or not, from a scientific point of view, that's not significant."[4] Donald Calne, a Vancouver neurologist, said the incidence of Parkinson's in society is about 1 in 300, but that four of the 125 people on the Vancouver set of Leo and Me developed the disease. Calne said, "It could be coincidence. But it's intriguing, it might be something they were exposed to."

Fluorescence··on Let’s put a stake in the ‘great man’ biography – starting with Isaacson’s ‘Musk’
You don't hear Hitler described as great too often do you? Those that do tend to have troubling tattoos. Was 9/11 a great event? Sounds like a party we should all attend.

An unadorned "great" is a compliment with connotations of admiration. To scrub this from your meaning, you have to be more specific e.g. "great evil", "great nuisance", "great disaster" etc.

Fluorescence··on The End of Cheap Europe Flights? France Proposes EU-Wide Minimum Price
> 5-8 transfers by train

I don't think I needed that many transfers to travel by train from Shanghai to London.

Fluorescence··on California's plastic bag ban is failing
You've got to charge enough for it to be a disincentive.

In the UK, I did not change my behaviour at 5p a bag but at 30p a bag I did. I keep couple of foldable bags in my laptop bag and it works great - zero downsides. It was frustrating to begin with but now, if anything it's entirely positive - less hassle relying on a shop's bags and I like the continuity of using my own - so I give such schemes a thumbs up. The resistance is about habit changes rather than actual lifestyle impact.

Fluorescence··on Historians have an increasingly strong incentive to tell dramatic stories
> will only provide "broken clock" predictions

I think it's a bit more than a random prediction, it's more like a heuristic.

Imagine the tree of all possibilities and all subsequent possibilities below those etc. It's just too vast to explore. The ideologue is not random a path through the tree but biased in a very human way with pessimistic assumptions about human motivations and behaviour that are sometimes true. A heuristic can be valuable without achieving more truth than fiction, just better than random.

> ideologically motivated reasoning would be "The US is about to collapse because Biden/Trump is president"

What I have in mind is the ideological forecaster would start with a set of assumptions and try to justify them against the odds e.g. they assume "Biden/Trump is a monster", they adopt the specific mindset of this monster and interpret the known events, which seem entirely innocuous on the surface, as contributing to a larger nefarious strategy and work through a chain of consequences to arrive at a compelling theory that hangs together. It's like exploring many moves ahead in chess without an evidence based goal function justifying continuing down a specific path.

A reasonable individual might not presume others are monsters or pursue a line of reasoning so unjustified for so long. The heuristic works because sadly "X is a monster" and "innocuous actions are actually part of a nefarious plan" is sometimes true.

I'm essentially defending conspiratorial thinking as a good thing in an adversarial situation so long as it's integrated sanely and not allowed to rule the day alone. If you don't have ideologues of different flavours in your intelligence unit, you might need to create them.

Fluorescence··on Historians have an increasingly strong incentive to tell dramatic stories
It's interesting to try and define what good and bad forecasting is. When you consider the outsized calamity of black swans, it is practical to have some diversity of prediction, not unanimity around a single prediction.

You don't want to over-value predicting non-extreme events, you need that Israeli 10th man to persuade others of the improbable to ensure your plan is resilient. The insightful ideologue will be right about the intentions of a Hitler... but they also predict a few too many Hitlers.

Fluorescence··on Google preemptively banned hundreds of millions of 'pirate' URLs last year
Is there a way to get English results with Yandex when using a ddg !ya hashbang?
Fluorescence··on Google was founded 25 years ago today
Just judge them by their own supposed goals, organising information. They fail. And they fail not for inability, but for greed. You can quibble about what types of non-good behaviour constitutes evil, but first accept that "evil" was cute language.

They are a distorting middleman and their scale means the cultural damage is incalculable. They create a near monopoly search that offers no user control over it's behaviour and it functions to vanish small independent creators under commercial interests and adverts. Just look at one property - youtube - the inability to find title matched videos by search, the shovelling of shorts, the pruning of valuable user features etc. None of these have been about increasing user experience, user power or the access of information, it's about increasing Google's Smaug like horde of gold.

Fluorescence··on Google was founded 25 years ago today
I see it as a guilty conscience in anticipation of the inevitable.

Even the naive do not take long to realise that capitalism will fill the immoral corners of an opportunity like water. If you wanted a real commitment, you don't talk to yourself about sobriety as you walk into a bar, you have to tie yourself to the mast Odysseus-like. It needed a different form of governance, a non-profit that could have created sustainable non-evil. An IPO sells your soul not just your company.

Fluorescence··on Tesla, Rivian Put on Fake Show of Support for ‘Right to Repair’
Heh, of course, I'm just taking the mickey out of myself. It avoids the car things that make me I'm know out of my depth: carburettors, gearboxes, firing patterns and such. Those come from a mysterious world I have no experience with.

If imagining a kit car then you won't be worrying about the custom designed elements you highlight.

Fluorescence··on Tesla, Rivian Put on Fake Show of Support for ‘Right to Repair’
This might be a youtube thing... but as far as I can tell, I linked to the first video in the playlist and you have linked to the last. It looks like the playlist is in the reverse order? i.e. it will play newest to oldest. God I hate yt.
Fluorescence··on The worst programmer I know
Scale ruins everything but that's where you will find "very senior devs".

> Sometimes it is.

What's the worst case of the other times? These "one hour" estimates are the golden path, nothing goes wrong, minimum. It's not the average of horror shows or an amortisation all the related support work required to sustain efficient development over time. They are often too coding-focused and ignore the level of interpersonal work to agree and sign off features or to change code in collaboration with others. Talking through a demo can take more time than the code.

Fluorescence··on The worst programmer I know
Talking about flow state and estimates? The red flag just gets bigger. You are asking me to show you that Santa is not real.

A "very senior dev" will not be handing out "1 hour" estimates to a product team. An hour of what? Billable hours? Wall-clock time? It's just not the right framing. You will notice a good senior dev will be incredibly cautious about any commitment and not hand out "ego estimates" like one hour. They will make commitments that they can keep and it will be terms of releases.

They will have experienced a decade of "one hour jobs" that have exploded so they know that even the error bars on a slam dunk 1 hour of butt-in-seat time means it's not a 1 hour estimate. An hour of butt-in-seat coding time is not a 1 hour of employee time - they've got that training course, those interviews, they need to support that thing, oh the presentation, the intern to look after. That feature you are copying? What is it copy-paste or some refactor generalisation? Measure that shit in weeks. Oh and there are 6 feature branches overlapping that area already. You also have a policy to improve the tech debt of this crusty code. There is also the documentation, training material, translations, the test suite, code review, the issue tracker... But hey, you can do it, you are x10, you boot up your machine and... your IDE is crashing because of some security update. Doesn't count in that one hour eh?!

That's not even the main issue, odds are the first over the shoulder demo of this new feature will be just the start of eliciting the real requirements.

Fluorescence··on An unexpected uptick in cigarette smoking in Germany
Coffee breath!
Fluorescence··on An unexpected uptick in cigarette smoking in Germany
This is how I bought my first pack on holiday with family. It took some careful planning to gather the right coins, identify the location of a machine and then create the opportunity to dash to it, get the pack and not be rumbled. I was like 10 years old. I don't think I even learned how to inhale until a few years later, just puffed on them like a cigar... didn't matter, the transgressive act was thrilling enough to give me butterflies in my stomach.
Fluorescence··on An unexpected uptick in cigarette smoking in Germany
It used to be a great way to identify tribes and make friends. You could be at some stuffy conference and the gaggle of smokers would be the drinkers, musicians, poets and rebels. It offered a simple way to give, share and help a stranger that I can't invent in the modern world. I'm sure the non-smokers probably enjoyed our absence too!
Fluorescence··on The worst programmer I know
> Very senior dev: ... that should take about an hour.

Red flag!

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