223 karma · joined October 7, 2015
Why? All of YC's companies are worth $30 billion, and it's the resounding success? How many deals that big does Wall Street do each week? How big are the biggest hedge funds in terms of AUM? What about average hedge fund size?
I don't think they're "successful jocks" at all, although I'm glad you have no experience there - I know you think all the best PHD's are going to SV but maybe rethink that.
If you can convince an owner to sell his company, and another company's management to buy it, all with a machine, well, then you've pretty much created superintelligent AI and it's not just Wall Street that would need to be worried at that points, it's literally everybody. You think a machine can convince a crusty CEO of a company to give up his empire building, spend more time with his kids, and hey, maybe accept a slightly lower multiple too? Or rather, a machine that calls Goldman Sachs at just the right time to offer them an emergency credit line on terms that haven't been offered before - only after convincing them that these terms are actually favorable to them and that your standing will be able to help hold them up? Perhaps they, too, can make the decision about storing oil for a storage trade - maybe they can vet the vessels, the captains, the port agents, the inspectors, the storage tanks, the insurance companies, the financing banks, and the counterparties, and maybe then they can build good working relationships with all of them in order to get them to fix all their mistakes when they inevitably happen? Will a computer go to a bank executive and actually persuade him that these activities should be profitable and safe, when it's not always such a sure thing they will be? Will a computer know not to blend gasoline to a certain spec because hey, there's a chance I might actually want to blend it with something else because this guy has a position and I think I can talk him into adding to it? What I'm getting at is, it's obvious you don't understand how Wall St works.
Nobody was talking about jocks. I'm talking about the people running hedge funds, private equity funds, investment banks, and trading houses. If you totally fail to see how most of these are social activities to their very core, with numbers there as support, then of course you think it can all be automated.
What you aren't factoring in is Wall Street is probably on the cutting edge of automating work - DE Shaw, where Jeff Bezos worked prior to Amazon, was implementing many of the same statistical methods that are just getting big now, all the way back in the 90's.
So I complained about PG specifically posting pseudoscience, and you come back saying "well how will jocks feel when they're automated." I just don't see this going far.
2. Fair
3. I disagree. I think looking at the ethics of companies who have historically picked fights with CPUC is quite telling, and cited an example.
My open resentment for them aside, I do wonder why he feels qualified to comment on the economics of income inequality. Just cause you were tangentially involved with something does not give you room to run roughshod over well established economic research.
This would be like Alan Greenspan telling you about which technology companies are solid bets. Or an electrician telling the architect that the building is actually designed how the electrician sees it, not the architect. Like wtf?
I would love an official YC response because I know many in the financial and economics community who see SV and PG specifically as kind of a joke would love a debate, rather than PGs masturbatory, illogical, pseudoscientific rants.
Let's think of the other companies that tried fucking with CPUC and evaluating their ethics as well. We can start with Enron. Travis is a smart guy but probably not as smart as those guys and even they got fucked. Even with their attachment to the hip to the federal government. Even with their company that was effectively many times bigger and more influential than a ride sharing app.
What kind of message do you send by only fining them a tiny portion of what they were only able to make by breaking your laws? I'm 24 and I know my peers already justify their potentially unethical business decisions by citing Uber. Really all I've taken away from this is to not really worry about state laws.
This happens a lot with commodity shipping at least.
My suggestion was merely that I would be balls paranoid about security if I was tied to a dispensary in the US, no matter how legal, not because of cash, but because once one person uses that strategy (violence) they all will, such as how cocaine dealing became significantly more violent permanently once there was a wave of violence in the late 70's / early 80's.
Furthermore, one industry in which violence will prove to be an asset but hasn't yet had an opportunity (like the guy below me claims) is profit recovery from legal dispensaries inside the US. Dispensaries and their owners have huge targets on their backs.
I kind of thought almost by definition that these things were more nuanced than that. Some of the thing that gives them so much meaning over the long run, in my opinion, is the variability in these relationships. Kids making good with their parents, old friends putting past qualms behind them, neighbors finally taking the time to talk to one another, etc.
You also assume that there is an alternative to having arbitrary subsets. We're dealing with the law, which is almost by definition an imperfect compromise that we put up with simply because it's better than the alternative.
Kind of like how some people are arbitrarily thrown in jail, under the same legal system. Without rambling, I feel like you are just assuming an impossible and nonexistent counterfactual.
Furthermore, in this case, we aren't talking about paying off the guy who set up the sewer system 100 years ago, we're talking about paying off the people who had a patent 7 years before you, and you decided to say "screw them" and use it anyways. As if Apple didn't know it was violating those patents? Come on. Why should companies be allowed to operate outside of the system we, as a society, set up?
From the article:
"By 2008, foreign currencies such as the U.S. dollar and the South African rand had become de facto currencies thanks to a booming black market. The following year, the government announced that it would officially allow businesses to use these currencies, effectively abandoning the Zimbabwean dollar.
The new agreement would add the yuan to the list of currencies used for public transactions, and the Zimbabwean government said it would encourage its use."
(obviously kidding)
If you don't know HOW to build a multi-billion dollar product without stealing prior work that isn't yours, WHY should you be able to sledgehammer your way into lots of money by preventing somebody else from getting paid for what they did?
Furthermore, a current lack of sufficient resources to pursue an idea does not mean that you never intend to do anything with it. The poster seems to think that the arbitrary amount of "a few years" discredits any prior work, as if it doesn't take people much longer periods of time to get their life in order and bring their life's work and ideas to fruition.
> then think this way: how that startup is going to attract talent from established companies (whose expertise are needed if that startup wants to become big).
THANK YOU so much for saying this