618 karma · joined January 22, 2017
My follow up opinion is that Satya agrees with me, and that is why he has so much anxiety around AI.
“ We’re working on a number of different approaches for this, including a combination of heat pipes and radiators to cool the chips. So far, our team has tested the technology in a thermal vacuum chamber that simulates both the thermal and vacuum environment in space. We’ll see how our new TPU cooling system works in space and refine our designs as we learn more.”
Not a super insightful article. The AI jobs apocalypse may or may not be real, but this article doesn’t provide any compelling evidence for its thesis.
He says that when order breaks down, thoughtful moderates are treated as weak cowards, and that simple-minded but aggressive people make the first move and kill off thoughtful people who think they will be able to make compelling arguments.
I do see folks who look homeless using the computers, so I assume there must be a special accommodation for them.
But, if you’re just a regular middle class joe looking for anonymity on the internet, I don’t think the library is the place for you—it’s tied to your library card which knows your address, and anyway what would you want to be private that you would be ok to broadcast in an open library setting? Nobody watching corn or browsing whatever successor to Silk Road.
Usually the login screen says something about fairly restrictive terms of use, even for the WiFi on a personal device, and I don’t know if you can install software on the library computers.
When I look around at library patrons using the computers, it’s usually lower income folks applying to jobs or similar, and people playing chess.
Middle managers were not “waste”, they served a social function of creating stability and managing workloads.
I think the proposed “new model” probably doesn’t scale. Also probably a single human can’t comfortably do that many things.
We don’t build orgs to maximally squeeze every drop of productivity and leave behind an empty human husk. Orgs have grown as a negotiated balance between the desire of the capitalist at the top for high productivity, and the desire of the contributors at the bottom for stability. The layers of management in between provide an interface that makes this possible.
We’re going to see a couple years of companies crashing and burning trying this “AI native” thing.
Ah ok, wait until Anthropic sends you the bill.
Some snippets that display classic patterns:
“ Both of those things are true. That’s the part most benchmarks can’t see,”
“And it’s changing how I” (classic pattern found in a lot of LinkedIn AIslop)
“ I want to be careful here.”
“ The stats are the stats. The moments are the part I kept showing people. ”
So why is it that the bosses are the ones that are so enthusiastic about adoption?
In the long run, evolution will have to do the job properly and actually genetically make us want more kids.
The real reason we are having population shrinkage is because evolution did a crappy job. It didn’t tune us to want to have kids, it tuned us to want to have sex, and it linked to sex to reproduction.
As we got smarter, and eventually develop contraception, we are essentially reward hacking evolution’s crude hack.
What’s going to happen over the next few decades is that a few variants here and there are going to spread throughout the population that actually lead to more kids, not just through desire for sex. It will be a population crash, followed by a recovery.