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MarkusAllen

75 karma · joined April 30, 2018

Building Founderstowne — the world's first tuition-free college for young entrepreneurs (ages 13+). 100% founder-funded, zero tuition forever.

Lancaster County, PA USA

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MarkusAllen··on Capital One to acquire Brex for $5.15B
Most people at Brex will lose on this.

Let's talk about “Liquidation preference”.

Means investors get paid before founders during an exit.

The basic math: investors get their money back first, then everyone else splits what’s left.

Usually 1 times.

Sometimes 2 times or 3 times.

Occasionally, “participating preferred”... get money back PLUS percentage of remaining proceeds.

This means founders can build a $100 million company and get nothing when it’s acquired if venture capitalists structured it right.

Here’s how it works in a typical acquihire:

The startup raised $10 million. Gets “acquired” for $15 million. Sounds like a win.

The liquidation waterfall:

Venture capitalists get their liquidation preference first: $10 million.

Legal fees and transaction costs: $2 million.

Retention bonuses for engineers: $2.5 million.

Founder compensation: $500,000 vesting over 3 years.

Early employees who built everything: $0.

The $15 million exit becomes:

Investors made whole.

Lawyers paid.

The acquirer got talent locked for 4 years.

The founder got $500K spread over 3 years.

Employees got nothing.

In a real exit, liquidation preferences get worse with multiple rounds.

Series A investors: 1 times preference on $5 million.

Series B investors: 1.5 times preference on $15 million.

Series C investors: 2 times participating preferred on $40 million.

The company sells for $100 million.

Series C gets $80 million for their preference. Plus 30% of the remaining $20 million. Total: $86 million.

Series B wants $22.5 million. But only $14 million remains after Series C.

Series A gets $0.

Founders get $0.

Employees get $0.

The company sold for $100 million.

Late investors took it all.

That’s liquidation preferences.

The structure venture capitalists use to ensure they extract regardless of the outcome.

Build a $50 million company?

Liquidation preferences eat it.

Build a $100 million company?

Liquidation preferences eat it.

Build a $500 million company?

Finally, maybe founders see something.

But most companies never reach $500 million.

So most founders never see anything.

The preference isn’t protection.

It’s extraction by design.

Real-world example: Brex.

On January 22, 2026, Capital One announced the acquisition of Brex for $5.15 billion.

Brex was last valued at $12.3 billion in 2022.

58% down round.

$7.15 billion vanished.

But the real damage happens in distribution.

Brex raised hundreds of millions across multiple rounds.

Late-stage investors who invested at the peak $12.3 billion valuation have senior liquidation preferences.

The waterfall likely looks like:

Series D/E investors: 1 to 2 times preference on $300+ million.

Series C investors: 1 times preference on prior rounds.

Series A/B investors: 1 times preference on early rounds.

Total preferences could easily exceed $3 to 4 billion.

Leaving $1 to 2 billion for common stockholders.

Founders and employees hold common stock.

After 8 years building a company “worth” $12.3 billion that sold for $5.15 billion, the founders might walk away with a fraction of what they expected.

Or nothing at all.

Meanwhile:

Pedro Franceschi, co-founder and CEO, gets to keep working... for Capital One now.

Venture capitalists get their preferences paid.

Capital One gets the business.

Build a $12 billion company. Sell for $5 billion. Watch preferences eat everything.

The founders who built it get whatever’s left after investors take their cut.

That’s liquidation preferences in the real world.

Not hypothetical.

Happening right now.

But wait...

Won’t founder Pedro be fine?

Probably better than employees, yes.

Here’s the extraction hierarchy:

Capital One negotiates a management retention pool.

Pedro gets carved out before liquidation preferences hit.

Part of his payout comes as a retention bonus, not equity distribution.

He likely sold shares during secondary markets at peak valuation.

Translation: Pedro probably walks away with low 8-figures plus a retention package.

Not zero.

But nowhere near “co-founder of $12 billion company” money.

Who gets destroyed:

Early employees with common stock options: $0.

Mid-stage employees who joined at $5 to 8 billion valuation: $0.

Late employees who joined at $12.3 billion valuation: negative. Underwater options.

Engineers who turned down Google... $300K salary plus $500K stock.

For Brex... $180K plus equity “worth millions”.

Just lost everything.

The real extraction:

Pedro built an independent fintech company.

Raised billions.

Hired hundreds.

Served thousands of customers.

Now he’s a Capital One employee for the next 3 to 5 years.

Can’t leave. Retention package clawback.

Can’t compete. Non-compete clause.

Can’t build independently. Golden handcuffs locked.

He traded “founder of Brex” for “division president at Capital One.”

The money he gets is real. The freedom he loses is worth more.

The pyramid:

Top: Late-stage investors. Get preferences, exit clean.

Middle: Founder/CEO. Gets some payout, loses independence.

Bottom: Employees. Get nothing, lose jobs, or become Capital One workers.

Liquidation preferences don’t just determine money.

They determine who keeps their freedom.

Investors: always free to move to the next deal.

Founder: locked into the acquirer for years.

Employees: lucky to have a job offer.

Pedro won’t starve.

But he’s not independent anymore.

That’s the extraction that doesn’t show up in the press release.

MarkusAllen··on Cloudflare acquires Astro
[flagged]
MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
I see an empty post.
MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
I name names. (Mostly.)

When I get sued (and I will), I'll employ "roman a clef" and slightly fictionalize the names.

By the way, VCs are not exactly any better than PE firms.

I've tried to reach out Marc Andreesen to see if he can 100% pivot to building instead of extracting. I'm encouraged by his latest fund.

MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
Wish I had your knowledge before writing...

Pages in my book related to how private-equity screwed over the vet industry: 250. 442. 1001.

I think people will be blown away that the company that makes M&Ms owns a ton of vets.

MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
Just updated. Thanks for the heads up.
MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
The direct link is: https://www.Founderstowne.com
MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
Can I post a direct link here... don't want to be accused of spam?

I expose just about everyone as a "roman a clef" (a work of "fiction":>).

I'm 58 years old. Entrepreneurial builder. Disgusted by VC/PE. Been writing this book since 1987.

MarkusAllen··on Private equity firms acquired more than 500 autism centers in past decade: study
Releasing an almost-3,000-page expose on private equity this week.

It's hard to argue against those who say private equity ruins everything. It's astonishing. And massively depressing.

You can download for free when you search the 'net for Founderstowne.

MarkusAllen··on My dad could still be alive, but he's not
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MarkusAllen··on Ask HN: Anyone a social entrepreneur, i.e. placing social impact above profit?
I am walking the talk...

Google this: Welcome to XClave by Markus Allen

MarkusAllen··on When Microsoft's eBook store closes, your books disappear too
I use the Seth Godin model of ebook selling...

I sell my ebook on Amazon AND I give away the same ebook on my website FREE.

I give people the choice. Most buy the book.

To see one of the examples, Google:

Compiled: 713 Tai Lopez best quotes and quips revealed!

MarkusAllen··on Artificial meat: UK scientists growing 'bacon' in labs
That NCBI study (which I am 100% was not scientific) was funded by the Winkler Family Foundation. Yep, the guy who produced the movie "Rocky" funded this. And the Winklers have direct ties to the evil Monsanto Corporation: https://usrtk.org/tag/winkler-family-foundation/ Monsanto (now Bayer) wants to eliminate meat eating. So, no thanks... I will pass your "tip."
MarkusAllen··on Artificial meat: UK scientists growing 'bacon' in labs
I admire you courage @amval... the "vegan police" have been notified and will be here shortly.

Here is a website that supports your position: that meat is actually VERY good for us... just look at all the case studies:

http://meatheals.com

MarkusAllen··on Consumption of a dark roast coffee blend reduces DNA damage in humans
If a YouTuber pulled off this study and vlogged it from start to end, they would make a shit ton of money.
MarkusAllen··on WordPress 5.0 marks a new era for the world’s most popular CMS
The WordPress 5.0 beta testers are giving it an average of 2.8 out of 5.0 - very slow editing and lots of broken plugins.

I recommend disabling automatic updates - get the "blocking code" here:

https://twitter.com/TheMarkusAllen/status/107070083941155225...

MarkusAllen··on Predatory lenders have co-opted New York’s court system
Everyone... I mean EVERYONE needs to master the laws of debt collection. Even if we think we are "responsible." Because all of us are a "situation" away from losing it all.

Here in the USA, there is a "statute of limitations on debt". If we fall onto bad times, the laws protect us from aggressive debt collectors. We simply stop paying all debts... and the law cleans our slate fresh after x amount of years (depending on each state). No bankruptcy needed.

MarkusAllen··on Why should I use DuckDuckGo instead of Google?
I am blown away that DuckDuckDuck.com continues to claim no tracking after being exposed for tracking here:

https://archive.is/qntuk

MarkusAllen··on India court legalises gay sex in landmark ruling
2 gay Indians go into a strip club with an orthodox Jew...
MarkusAllen··on Salt not as damaging to health as previously thought, says study
I understand the first thing emergency people do in the hospital is to give us a saline (salt) solution. If salt is so bad for us, why are we given a bag of salt water?
MarkusAllen··on Smoking around the world
Nevada, California - more than 20% opt out. Fascinating.

I would love to see hotspots of places where people have no religion - not even atheist... just none.

MarkusAllen··on Tesla Second Quarter 2018 Update
We are about a year away from the Byton Electric Car here in the good 'ol USA - way better than any Tesla:

https://www.byton.com

MarkusAllen··on How the Car Keeps Americans Apart
In a city, how do you handle buying a socket wrench to fix something in your house? (It sounds like a MAJOR hassle.)
MarkusAllen··on 2018 MacBook Pro Review
We can get a 256 GB USB-C stick for about $70 here: https://www.amazon.com/dp/B06XC1WGQR/ref=twister_B01IKC9ZW8?...

That is a heck of a lot less than purchasing for storage space when buying this laptop.

MarkusAllen··on Glycemia, starch, and sugar in context (2009)
Wow - Ray Peat here on HN. Never thought I would see the day.
MarkusAllen··on Luxury hotels are being inundated with requests from self-described influencers
It is currently $8,500.
MarkusAllen··on US government to use facial recognition technology at Mexico border crossing
Speaking of the no-fly list...

I got tickets at the airport last week (cool little trick to save some money on taxes vs. online)...

The ticket lady told me some customer was upset with her. So she called over TSA security and was able to put him on the no-fly list. She just thought it was great! That blew me away. Someone can ruin a person's life in seconds. Punchline: be a good, politically correct person at the airport. Even the hint of anger could get one on the no-fly list.

MarkusAllen··on The Musical Diversity of Pop Songs
Actually, pop songs follow the same basic chord progression formula... Elton John MASTERED it - revealed here: https://twitter.com/TheMarkusAllen/status/996830643949522944
MarkusAllen··on Medium tries to prevent people reading deleted articles on the Wayback Machine?
Archive.is is awesome. It just works.
MarkusAllen··on The aging mind: neuroplasticity in response to cognitive training (2013)
I find adding my task to my Google Calendar works like crazy. It is a mind trick that keeps me accountable.

Also, I am big on the "5-minute rule". I promise to do at least 5 minutes of a task. Again, this works like crazy.