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Octoth0rpe

2,456 karma · joined November 17, 2018

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Octoth0rpe··on Launch HN: Simantic (YC F26) – Firmware Simulation for AI Agents
I'd be quite worried about your name being too similar to Symantec (now part of broadcom, but the brand is apparently being preserved to some degree): https://sep.securitycloud.symantec.com/v2/landing

Firmware validation isn't particularly close to symantec's products from my perspective, but I'm sure a lawyer would be happy to disagree for the right retainer.

(congrats on your launch in any case)

Octoth0rpe··on Wikipedia's Cleanup of AI-Generated Content
A question mark? :)
Octoth0rpe··on Incident with Actions, Pull Requests and Issues
So I see an interesting side effect of all of this in your comment. The groupthink seems to conclude that the root of GH's issues are: - A dramatic increase in its traffic due to vibecoding - Azure just generally not being very reliable

Now, if you're not a paying customer, maybe you just ignore this and chalk it up to "I'm getting what I paid for". And if you're a paying customer, you migrate away. What happens to GH then? Well, you (and other paying customers) are probably only a small part of the first of the identified causes, and not at all a contributor to the second. So it's not like you moving away will make GH more reliable, but it does lessen MS's motivations for fixing things: GH as a business unit works by having a free tier and a premium tier and that's fine as long as the profit from the premium tier exceeds the cost of the free tier.

THat's long winded way of saying: I wonder if you/other paying customers leaving is the real start of a GH death spiral. Less paying customers == less MS investment == less paying customers == less MS investment, etc.

Octoth0rpe··on Why isn't the industry freaking out about DeepSeek 4.1 Flash?
> Obviously can’t use it at work

I do wonder how long it'll be before a us-hosted offering is available via bedrock, copilot, etc.

Octoth0rpe··on The Mathocalypse
> A human proof won't just be logically correct, it will be cognitively distilled and coherent. It may still take years to understand it, but the logical flow will be straightforward, not obfuscated.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inter-universal_Teichmüller_th... seems like a counterpoint, but IANAM. (I am likely cherrypicking the far end of the bell curve re: straightforward here)

Octoth0rpe··on Meta’s Muse is an adorable privacy and security dumpster fire
Man, I wonder how many facebook marketplace sales will be something like "In order to make sure you're a real person, before we can meet up so I can hand over this brand new macbook for $500 I need you to send me $10 electronically. It's really just to verify your commitment". With the right prompting, I'd be entirely unsurprised if Muse will just send over the $10, and of course the seller ghosts the buyer -_-
Octoth0rpe··on DeepSeek Harness Desktop for macOS and Windows
My version of this theory is that we already have AGI, but Altman/Amodei/Zuck keep asking it for an infinite money glitch and it keeps (correctly!) saying "no money, humanity is fucked given the trajectory, and you in particular will be fucked once the general public decides that you're the scapegoat". A/A/Z decides the AGI is wrong of course, so obviously dumping another billion into training or reinforcement or tagging or whatever is the next step.
Octoth0rpe··on Meta Uses A.I. Data Centers to Avoid Billions in Federal Taxes
The way I read that was that the chips cost thousands of dollars each, not the datacenter itself.
Octoth0rpe··on M5 Ultra Mac Studio Review
a) we don't actually know what the prices will look like yet, b) what about same weights + huge context? or, same weights that you'd run on 128gb/256gb, but multiple models running for different tasks?
Octoth0rpe··on M5 Ultra Mac Studio Review
> And tyeah... open weight models cant compete with likes of astra yet

I think this is true, but also misses that a lot of us are just doing basic flask apps with a react front end. We don't need astra; Something sonnet 4.6 level locally is perfectly sufficient 95% of the time, and maybe 99% of the time.

Octoth0rpe··on OpenAI bots knew about the RubyGems caching vulnerability
> There needs to be a single wringable neck.

Does there? Could be the whole c-suite/board.

Octoth0rpe··on Notes on gotchas while migrating 35kb preprompts from Opus to self-hosted Ollama
I think this is worth revisiting once we get some solid 3rd party numbers from the new mac studio ultras, which admittedly are a bit over $10k with a 2tb ssd + 256gb ram. I think I'd be seriously considering it if I had a $200/month subscription of some kind.
Octoth0rpe··on OpenAI's Sam Altman says it would be 'ill-advised' to go public in 2026
They are referencing xkcd 285: https://xkcd.com/285/

IE, please provide a citation for the claim.

Octoth0rpe··on iPhone Duo
What's particularly frustrating about the discontinuing of the Mini is that it really didn't sell badly, just below _expectations_. Compared to every other model of phone sold by other manufacturers, I suspect the Mini outsold all but the most popular models.

From that perspective, the discontinuation feels more like an act of embarrassment by management than the result of a rational cost/benefit analysis. Given that reportedly the Air is selling substantially worse than the Minis, and I suspect the Duo will also fail to match its internal sales target because IMO Apple _usually_* overestimates the number of buyers willing to drop $2k+ for personal purchases (lots of corporations are willing to buy laptops for $2k+, but I suspect that almost all AVP/iPhone purchases are direct to consumer), I wonder if Ternus be willing to adopt a strategy that will keep profitable products around even if they don't meet their target. I suspect this is sort of an effect of the predictors being in some kind of high income bubble where _everyone_ they know has enough cash to drop $3500 to try out an AVP.

I had a Mini 12 and upgrade every 3 years, so I didn't bother with a mini 13. I ended up buying a base 15 and hoping that I wouldn't mind it, but my regret has only gotten stronger over time.

* Exception: they have dramatically underestimated the number of people wanting to buy high ram minis/studios for local AI.

Octoth0rpe··on Grok outage
Please review the above comments. I have not made a single statement that leads to exluding either of those. My comments did not seek to define art, or the artistic process, only to exclude a specific category of media.
Octoth0rpe··on Grok outage
>AI art is well-recognized

I disagree with this assertion. I don't think it's at all well-recognized, and in fact derided and shunned by the general public.

> Is someone selling their impressionist paintings today on a fair more an artist than someone who has put equivalent or more effort in creating prompts, references, final renders, image curation and postprocessing etc?

Emphatically, yes. Considering the latter is not an artist at all.

Octoth0rpe··on New York Times and The Athletic workers demand company scrap Kalshi deal
> a competent DOJ

The question answers itself.

Octoth0rpe··on Grok outage
I think there's a strong consensus that the idea of an "AI art scene" is a misnomer. There's an AI slop scene, and some of the prompters sure do call themselves artists.
Octoth0rpe··on Google Has Removed MV2 Extensions from the Chrome Web Store, Including UBO
> Alphabet needs to be broken up. Chrome, Search, Android need to be separate companies.

As well as youtube, and the combination of google drive/docs.

Octoth0rpe··on The Teaser Period: Why the AI Boom Is Hitting a Reset Wall
> The underlying product, the model keeps improving and therefore increases its value.

I think this is true, but a customer's willingness to spend is based on _perceieved_ value, not actual value. For many companies, the _perceived_ value of AI has been trending down as internal projects fail and cost skyrocket, even as models on paper improve.

Octoth0rpe··on New Mac mini, featuring M6 and M5 Pro
I think there's a valid argument for this pattern when you know most people are on 3-ish year upgrade cycles. Also, if you compare against the most recent generation, you risk creating buyer's remorse for recent purchases.
Octoth0rpe··on Grand jury declines to indict Ohio man charged with destroying Flock camera
Voting is where the rubber meets the road. If they don't vote like they care, then they don't care for all intents and purposes.
Octoth0rpe··on My friends all hate AI; I just joined an AI startup
> Either use it and shut up or don't use it.

Many people do not have a choice to not use it at their jobs due to internal mandates. Regardless of their own use, many people are subjected to externalized cost of AI proliferation (data centers, layoffs, electrical bills, etc).

One cannot choose to not be affected by it. But even if one were personally not at all affected by it, it is still reasonable for someone to push back against what they see as a negative effect on society, even if it's not hitting them personally. Climate change's effect on me personally is pretty minimal, and I still deeply care about it.

Octoth0rpe··on My friends all hate AI; I just joined an AI startup
> No saying you're wrong but how is it making their lives worse?

Data centers and their side effects (higher electricity prices, etc) and job layoffs attributed to AI; plus a bunch of industry specific objections (like say, how it's currently destroying the educational system).

> Most people know use AI for basic applications and seem to enjoy it

Not sure what crowd you're running with. Myself and coworkers use AI and are generally positive about its effect on our productivity. But I don't think they'd say they 'enjoy' it, and we're probably the _best_ case. Who in the world 'enjoys' using AI?

Octoth0rpe··on U of Michigan drops first-semester grades to ‘curb mental health crisis’
4 at UofM, Sept -> Dec.
Octoth0rpe··on 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows
Absolutely wrong
Octoth0rpe··on 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows
> Now they can hide behind being a tech enthusiast or a trend follower or even some kind of fashion thing and wear them right out in the open, allowing nefarious use to be hidden in plain sight.

They can try to 'hide' behind that, but if I see you wearing them, I 100% am assuming the worst case intent. I suspect I am not the only one.

Octoth0rpe··on 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows
more than creepy, they're deeply inauthentic.
Octoth0rpe··on 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows
> I would use them because the company that makes it can’t be trusted.

I think this gets at only half of the problem. Not only can meta not be trusted, even if I trust _you_ if you were friend, I wouldn't trust any _other_ random user of such a product. As such, better to not have such a product around.

Octoth0rpe··on 'Pervert glasses': Backlash against Meta's smart glasses grows
It's very hard to imagine this being a better photo than one taken on a modern phone.

Also, I really, really hope you take them off when using the shared bathrooms at such an event. And you know, keep them off. Permanently.

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