HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

OzyM

149 karma · joined July 2, 2021

submissionscomments
OzyM··on The magnificence of the bluefin tuna
https://yourveganfallacyis.com/en/animals-eat-animals

No, obviously vegans think arresting bears is dumb. This same "lions tho" argument has been made enough times to become a meme.

OzyM··on Senate Bill to Ban TikTok
And the ideal number of suicides is 0, and the ideal amount of spyware is 0, etc. All of these are targets, but an ideal doesn't give you further information on how to prioritize
OzyM··on Impacts of lack of sleep
My thoughts exactly. My overall takeaway from sleep research is that although there are some health risks with undersleeping, there are (possibly greater) health risks with oversleeping, plus the prevalence of sleep deprivation is greatly overestimated.
OzyM··on uBlacklist: Blocks specific sites from appearing in Google search results
Could someone explain why they're hated? I don't know much about E3, but used them a few times without issue
OzyM··on Don't Farm Bugs
Insofar as I can tell, thermostats have a 0% chance of feeling pain (or as close to 0 as is logically possible), so I see no need to afford them moral consideration. If we had evidence suggesting that AI who could suffer currently existed, and if there was any overlap between the suffering-relevant pieces of that AI and thermostats, I'd start to worry about "killing" thermostats. It still seems like the chance of insects subjectively suffering is orders of magnitude greater than the chance of modern thermostats suffering.

I really enjoyed the ACX article; thank you for the recommendation! I agreed with a lot of the general points he was making.

Not sure about the "dignity" of e.g. plants, as I think there are plenty of ways to harm plants and animals that is helpful to humans. It's an interesting idea, though, and I do like the attempt to make a practical argument instead of a moral one.

In any case, while (to some extent) I care about the possible suffering of insects who are farmed in the trillions, I'm not particularly morally concerned about thousands killed for greater scientific gain. Could I ask generally what work you're doing with them? I'd be interested in learning more about it

OzyM··on Don't Farm Bugs
I do think there's a big moral difference between species. I care about protecting a human from suffering much more than a dog, a dog more than a mouse, a mouse more than a cricket...

But I see no reason for some cutoff, where I arbitrarily decide to care for everything above a certain level of complexity, and decide not to care about anything below. "Vertebrates and octopuses" does not seem like a group that share any exclusive traits, i.e. any moral reason I have to care about an octopus seems like it would lead me to care about an insect, just maybe to a lesser extent.

Even if you value insect lives extremely lowly - if there's any moral value to them at all, mass farming them in the trillions or, possibly someday, quadrillions would be a moral travesty, even of their moral value is extremely small per individual, right?

I feel like "there seems to be a reasonable possibility that insects suffer" implies that we should have some level of interest in preventing their excess suffering, where practical.

OzyM··on Don't Farm Bugs
How would you make the argument for plants or AI?

It seems sensible to say - these creature with nocicepters and familiar aperture for feeling pain, who react to to bodily damage in ways that suggest that they can suffer, and for whom pain can obviously serve the same evolutionary benefit as it does in humans - they have a moderate to high chance of feeling pain and being conscious to some degree, so we should be careful.

Plants may release chemicals in response to physical threats, but they don't have the pieces of the nervous system we attribute pain to, don't seem to have any level of consciousness, and don't have an evolutionary benefit to subjective suffering. Therefore, morally, there's no reason to treat them as more than an inanimate object.

I feel like AI could theoretically someday have the potential to suffer, but that isn't really a current concern.

Based on all available evidence, the article's argument for at least being careful about insects' potential suffering seems sensible, but the plant argument strikes me as absurd.

OzyM··on U.S. Population Growth, an Economic Driver, Grinds to a Halt
Generally speaking, the highest birth rates aren't in the types of counties overrepresented on HN. Our best shot for reducing the global birth rate is improving education in developing nations (particularly women's education[0]), improving access to contraception, and reducing child mortality.

I agree socializing developed nations' economic systems isn't having a huge effect on the global population growth. Focusing on the real problem means investing in the health & development of those with the actual highest birthrates, not making U.S. colleges cheaper.

[0] https://wol.iza.org/uploads/articles/228/pdfs/female-educati...

OzyM··on Rimworld Ideology expansion released
Totally agree with this.

Rimworld itself is amazing and I highly recommend it, but I'm lukewarm on how much value I've gotten from the Royalty expansion. It's cool, but the mods are not only more in-depth but also more customizable to specific playstyles/interests.

OzyM··on Seychelles sells 'digital' endangered bird
It feels like profoundly missing the point to sell NFTs (with their associated heavy environmental costs) in the name of ecological preservation.

Besides that, I still fail to see the use case. If I download an image of the bird from the internet, that serves me the same amount as having the NFT; why would I need to prove that I "own" a copy of the image?

OzyM··on “Freedom Phone” is an overpriced smartphone that doesn’t free you from anything
If people are really willing to pay for crappy phones that come installed with political apps and news feeds meant to flatter their ego instead of providing any actual news, I'd say commemorative coins and etc are only scratching the surface of what you could potentially market to them.

People paying money for a physical echo chamber could probably as financially beneficial as politically beneficial, since you now have a platform with lots of access to a decently-sized market with known interests and easy keywords that'll trick them into overpaying.

OzyM··on Minimum wage workers can't afford rent anywhere in America
I think this is such a massive and fundamental restructuring of the US's historical way of doing things (and the popular conception of "how it should be done") that pushing for incremental change like livable minimum wage is probably more effective in the short-run.

In the long run, if UBI continues proving its success in real-life trials and we're able to get a larger share of the population on board, I'd vote in favor of trying it.

OzyM··on Minimum wage workers can't afford rent anywhere in America
As in UBI? That's the only experiment I know of (or at least, politically feasible experiment) trying to decouple physical necessities and employment.

I guess you bring up an interesting point here, that UBI would make minimum wage obsolete.

It seems like you're arguing for changing "anyone who works full time should be able to afford necessities like safe housing and adequate food" to just "anyone should be able to afford necessities like safe housing and adequate food." I'm not opposed on principle, but I think this is a harder goal to hit in practice.

OzyM··on “Freedom Phone” is an overpriced smartphone that doesn’t free you from anything
So basically it's existing hardware/software doused in snake oil and sold at a $350 upcharge?

A terrible product, if this review is accurate. But you have to at least admire their boldness in trying to blatantly manipulate a very opinionated and possibly underserved market.

OzyM··on Minimum wage workers can't afford rent anywhere in America
For the sake of my own sanity, if nothing else, I am going to choose to believe that this isn't the majority opinion. I don't think Objectivism is quite that popular.
OzyM··on Minimum wage workers can't afford rent anywhere in America
In your opinion, what is the minimum standard of living that someone who works full-time deserves? ( / what is the minimum that someone who works full-time and has dependents deserves?)
OzyM··on Minimum wage workers can't afford rent anywhere in America
We've tried the no-minimum-wage experiment before.[0] A lack of minimum wage tends to lead to extremely exploitative wages for workers without skills in high demand.

If you agree with the statement "anyone who works full time should be able to afford necessities like safe housing and adequate food," a minimum wage is required.

If you disagree with that statement, I guess you could argue for no minimum wage, but your moral system will be different enough from most people to make you the minority position.

[0] https://www.dol.gov/general/aboutdol/history/flsa1938

OzyM··on Restoring your privacy costs money, which makes it a marker of class
What are the best ways to feed advertisers incorrect data? If they already have valid data on who I am and what I do, what could make them overwrite this knowledge?
OzyM··on Apple Has a Growing Homeless Encampment on Its Property
The most obvious issue would be that the 6,000 figure in the article was pre-pandemic, so it might be much higher now.

Also, I don't know the economics of homelessness, but I feel like as supply of homeless shelters increased, demand for the beds would increase as well, right? How elastic is local demand, with people in RVs moving in/out of an area?

Not that it shouldn't be done, but it seems like if all it took to "solve" homelessness was building enough beds, we would already be doing that.

OzyM··on Apple Has a Growing Homeless Encampment on Its Property
I'm glad they're trying to work on offering these people services to help them get safe housing, rather than just kicking them off the land to be homeless somewhere else. Obviously homelessness has too many thorny side-issues for there ever to be a clean solution, but this seems to be a pretty okay one.

I'm not surprised these people are unable to afford housing in the center of the Silicon Valley (even if it's the "area they grew up in"), though.

OzyM··on Burden of post-Covid-19 syndrome and implications for healthcare planning
You lost me at the vegan part? I agree that this is a major source of error in a lot of studies like these, though.
OzyM··on Burden of post-Covid-19 syndrome and implications for healthcare planning
How likely are these numbers to be accurate? This Swiss study of 431 adults gives a 26% incidence of "Long Covid" at 6-8 months.

But another study that I'm more familiar with that tracked 4,182 people (mostly from the U.K., U.S., and Sweden) says only 2.3% of participants reported symptoms past the three month point. [0]

I feel like every time I look into this topic I find a new study with a wildly different estimate.

[0] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41591-021-01292-y

OzyM··on Delta Variant
Yes, of the 177 million doses of vaccine given in the U.S., there have been ~1000 reports of heart issues. Amounts to ~0.000006% of people who receive the vaccine (in the U.S.) having inflammation of the heart after. [0] As far as I can tell, no heart-related deaths have been evidentially linked to any COVID-19 vaccine.

Meanwhile, COVID-19 itself also causes heart problems with higher severity and on a much larger scale. In children, this usually is multisystem inflammatory syndrome that can cause severe damage and death. In adults, severe heart attacks are a known (albeit rare) side-effect of COVID-19. [1] There is also early, but not conclusive, evidence that the coronavirus can cause longer-term heart damage in some cases, such as scarring.

You're welcome to make your own medical decisions such as whether you'd like to get vaccinated, but all of the data I'm aware of suggests that by any measure, vaccination is probably a good choice for the vast majority of people (barring those with allergies to the vaccine, or other known issues).

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/my...

[1] https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseas...

OzyM··on Delta Variant
> You’re doing it again, just stop, it’s not your job to convince people :)

> “It’s ok to make a choice, but here’s the consequences asshole”

> It’s exactly what I’m opposed too.

You're opposed to... people pointing out the consequences of your actions? Social pressure to protect the well-being of others?

I got all vaccinations and took basic safety precautions (washing hands regularly during flu season, etc) pre-COVID. I have always balanced the health of others with pragmatic limitations on my ability to take precautions. Now is no different; there's just extra weight on the "caution" side of the scale while a novel and dangerous pathogen spread around. I will continue to take as many precautions as are practical and necessary given world events.

Nobody is forcing you to do anything. But I don't see how it's unfair to have a social standard of caring for others.

OzyM··on Delta Variant
You cited the CDC, but now that the figure you used has been cleared up, you no longer like the CDC as a source?

> Reports of adverse events to VAERS following vaccination, including deaths, do not necessarily mean that a vaccine caused a health problem. A review of available clinical information, including death certificates, autopsy, and medical records, has not established a causal link to COVID-19 vaccines. However, recent reports indicate a plausible causal relationship between the J&J/Janssen COVID-19 Vaccine and TTS, a rare and serious adverse event—blood clots with low platelets—which has caused deaths.[0][emphasis mine]

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/ad...

OzyM··on Delta Variant
I don't doubt that the vaccines come with risk. Every vaccine created to date has a small chance of side effects. But even as someone youngish, healthy, and with a strong immune system, any risk from the vaccine seems orders of magnitude less likely than comparable risks from the coronavirus.

That 6,000 figure you use is 0.0018% percent of people that got the vaccine, and that's only people that died after getting it, not people whose death was caused by the vaccine. [0]

Vaccination seems sensible from any concern for personal health (again, unless you have access to some data I've not seen). Even for very healthy individuals at low rist of death from COVID-19, you're taking on not only higher personal risk but also exposing other people to much larger risk, as well.

Also, I've gotten the flu shot every year I could since age 16 primarily to avoid infecting others. (There was no family or peer pressure to get the flu shot, at least where I'm from.) I'll grant that I'm a bit more invested in public health / disease spread than the average individual, but I doubt my motivations are that uncommon.

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/vaccines/safety/ad...

OzyM··on Delta Variant
All the major side effects I've heard of have been very small in scope, i.e. the chance of a healthy person developing one of the dangerous side effects is extremely small, and certainly orders of magnitude smaller than their chance of proportionally damaging side-effects from the disease itself. As every vaccine currently developed has a small side-effect risk, this seems reasonable, unless you have a major piece of data I'm missing.

As far as I can tell, any variables about the vaccines seem extremely safe compared to the unknown variables incurred by those with symptomatic infections.

I agree that people in high risk categories who can be vaccinated should do so. However, the vaccine is only mostly effective, not 100% effective, so to some extent their health is still influenced by the health of those around them.

As far as social pressure, pushing (but not forcing) people toward decisions that benefit everyone seems like the entire point of social pressure. People should be given all of the relevant information and should be free to make their own medical decisions. However, there should be some expectation that one tries not to spread deadly diseases to vulnerable populations, and schools / businesses / etc. should absolutely feel free to require vaccination (of those capable of being vaccinated).

But re: your other comment about wearing a mask, if you're one of the rare people who won't be vaccinated but still keep your mask on in all public places, wash your hands frequently, and stay 6 feet apart from everyone not in your household, you not getting vaccinated isn't a major concern. But the people who use these justifications (disclaimer: anecdata) aren't usually taking those precautions.

OzyM··on Delta Variant
You're right, if everyone around you is vaccinated to the point of virtual herd immunity (afaik not currently true anywhere, but perhaps given more time / incentives / information that may change), you being the only unvaccinated person wouldn't be a major concern (except insofar as it indicates less concern for other people in other contexts).

The main issue is that there are still plenty of people with your same mindset. See the measles resurgence as less people got vaccinated: Even if you accept the personal effects of getting major illnesses, it comes with an increase in danger to the immunocompromised, people who medically cannot be vaccinated, and people whose vaccines don't protect them 100% of the time.

You're free to choose whether or not to get a vaccine, but the consequences of your decision affect more than just you.

[Edit: Additional note - while it seems preferable that everyone who can get vaccinated do so, I suppose if you're sticking with the face masks, hand washing, and social distancing you could still protect others without getting vaccinated. I'd respect that as a viable alternative. However, based on anecdata, the overlap of "people who won't get vaccinated" and "people careful about preventing disease spread" doesn't seem to be a huge section.]

OzyM··on Delta Variant
Non-sterilizing vaccines still reduce viral load, decreasing the amount of active viral particles in circulation. There are plenty of vaccines we use to curb epidemics that aren't full sterilizing vaccines.

For the COVID-19 U.S. vaccines in particular:

> Preliminary data from the clinical trials among adults ≥18 years old suggest COVID-19 vaccination may also protect against asymptomatic infection.[0]

[0] https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/science/science-br...

OzyM··on Delta Variant
Ignoring the higher risk of major long-term damage incurred by letting yourself get sick when you could've been vaccinated, I don't understand how this thought process accounts for anyone else.

What if my main reason for getting vaccinated is to lower my chance of infecting an immunocompromised person I care about? Even if I could somehow be 100% certain that if I were to be infected it'd be fully asymptomatic, the vaccine still helps me avoid spreading COVID-19 further.

Do you imagine young people who get flu shots do so only because they're worried about dying from influenza at 20?

Page 1 of 2Next →