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PhaedrusV

240 karma · joined October 27, 2018

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/phaedrusv; my proof: https://keybase.io/phaedrusv/sigs/u1A7hCAeLV0OyUb4ExY0GNu4KKqrqYniDRejZr3ofLw ]
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PhaedrusV··on Wealth Inequality in America drawn to scale
Gonna make a law preventing them from moving away first? Your idea has been tried before. It reduces total tax receipts.
PhaedrusV··on OpenAI's rogue agents used at least 10 more sites
This pairs interestingly with that piece on how the Anthropic engineer raising the red flag is likely trying to gin up popular support for heavy AI regulation. This looks like more of the same. I'm guessing we'll see a whole PR push of these sorts of articles to build popular support for the government stepping in and regulating the space.
PhaedrusV··on Civilian plane crash in New Mexico tied to military GPS blocking
But when anyone causes gps to be degraded, a NOTAM is rapidly released.
PhaedrusV··on Civilian plane crash in New Mexico tied to military GPS blocking
The problem here is the assumption that if the US mil weren’t jamming GPS it wouldn’t be getting jammed. GPS is trivially easy to jam for any state actor, and it’s not “macho” to say that pilots always need to be able to safely conduct flights in its absence.
PhaedrusV··on Civilian plane crash in New Mexico tied to military GPS blocking
That's not accurate. Navigationally critical VORs are continuing to be maintained, they're just turning off the podunk redundant ones.

VOR Candidate Retention List | Federal Aviation Administration https://www.faa.gov/ato/navigation-programs/vor-retention-li...

PhaedrusV··on Civilian plane crash in New Mexico tied to military GPS blocking
Checking NOTAMs is important.
PhaedrusV··on When Did White-Collar Work Start to Look So Bleak?
Definitely pre-Dilbert and Office Space.
PhaedrusV··on [dead]
Minneapolis Is Not Even A Close Call --A Lawsplainer On Officer-Involved Shootings
PhaedrusV··on Ozempic does not slow Alzheimer's, study finds
Nice to see negative results being published
PhaedrusV··on FAA: Integration of Powered Lift – Final Rule
FAA releases the final rule on integration of powered lift aircraft (including EVTOL) into the NAS.
PhaedrusV··on ASK HN: What’s a small thing you’ve purchased which has made your life better?
Ditto 1password.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: Whatever happened to the “coming wave” of delivery drones?
The technology hasn't demonstrated the required level of reliability yet. Several companies are getting close, and and early attempts by the companies listed in this thread have paved the way for the FAA to start rolling out the process for scalable compliance. Up until very recently it's all been "approval by waiver/exception", which is very slow, while the FAA figures out along with everyone else what success looks like.

Currently there's approvals in limited areas in the US for testing, and several companies are approved for significant steps towards our shared dream of 5 minute burrito deliveries to our back patios. Nobody has gotten approved for blanket deliveries yet; the safety levels aren't quite there.

Plug: End State Solutions consults and supports companies in developing the conops, safety case, and approval packages. Reach out once your drone company has a design you're ready to freeze for the approval process and we'll help you out. Our team got Insitu and Matternet the first ever commercial UAS type certificates issued by the FAA.

PhaedrusV··on FDIC Takes over Silicon Valley Bank
I heard elsewhere they were extending loans to startups with pre-IPO shares as collateral, so yeah, that was their best option apparently.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: Has anyone successfully started their career over in their 30s?
Go office space, and work construction. Maybe you'll get motivated to do something less menial, and who knows, maybe you'll like it.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: Why is Microsoft Teams still so bad?
My biggest gripe isn't teams-specific, it's that MS office products still won't support multiple logins. With Google I can be logged into my 4 different work, personal and business accounts simultaneously and switching between the active one is a single button click.

MS won't even support two accounts, so 3 out of 4 times I get invited to a teams meeting I'm in the wrong account, and it's a huge pain to sign out and sign back in; there's no single sign-in (even in Windows!) that works for Outlook, Onedrive, Teams, etc. all at once. Ridiculous.

PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
The "it's a numbers game" thing is a hack to get people out of the trap of not seeing enough new people. You're on the other end of the chart. Commitment is a learnable skill, not something that goes easily once you find the perfect person.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
Good point. >1 date a week, when it takes at least a few weeks to set up a quality date, means that you never establish a credible commitment.

What if you tried limiting yourself to 1 new person a month? You'll evaluate them more favorably, and be more selective, and get less burned out

PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
This was uncomfortable but there was a lot of truth in there. I'd end with an adoption plug.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
That's worth emphasizing: I'm pretty sure successful marriages are based on people being committed to figuring things out, not to the initial chemistry.

It's trajectory, not starting point.

PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
Coffee can be an artificial/uncomfortable setting. My favorite first dates (depending on how wet met) were bowling, board games with other friends, or the shooting range.

Especially the last one; a little bit of discomfort is a fantastic icebreaker.

PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I’m 41 and still unmarried – what should I do?
As an alternative I suggest just listing out deal breakers and following up with anyone who doesn't violate them.

Second pass is incongruence. The best advice I every got on hiring was to not hire people whose projected persona wasn't congruent; what that means changes from person to person, but it ends up being critical for close relationships.

PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: If you’ve considered homeschooling, what’s stopping you?
Check the homeschooling laws in your state; as a homeschooler your can hire whatever tutors you want.

HSLDA.org has the state legal summaries

PhaedrusV··on LeekWars, program your AI to destroy your leek enemies
Boo.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: What game do you wish existed?
Excellent turn/reaction based squad tactical combat. Think OG XCOM: UFO defense, only 2+ players. Frozen synapse is about the 70% solution but only abstract and pretty repetitive. More players, more varied units and terrain, asymmetric fights for score, etc.
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: I am losing hope in humanity. What should I do?
Read "12 Rules for life" by Jordan Peterson; helping with that is what it's about.
PhaedrusV··on The Ultimate Guide to Inflation
I get the argument from the fed about hedonic adjustments and increased quality of life, but that's not how people measure their happiness. Subjective happiness is how you're doing relative to those around you. The hedonic adjustments are all about objective quality of life. Sure, my resources in my working class midwest neighborhood would be the envy of Louis XVI's court, but that doesn't matter to me when my neighbor gets a new car.

I wonder how difficult it would be to build a "Subjective Inflation" measure that was useful. Based on category consumption by income quintile you can figure out rough price inflation experienced. With the understanding that happiness is mostly about keeping up with the Joneses you can just assume away the hedonic quality boost and call it "subjective inflation".

The point from the inflation link about not being to eat ipads is critical. Increased resources are definitely nice, but the happiness derived from them is zero-sum, and at the end of the day they're taking more of my income.

This, coupled with the stagnation of median wages, means that:

    We're not getting any happier as a cohort, and

    The things we consume cost a bigger chunk of our earnings every year
I buy the link's argument that we should expect price inflation. Interestingly, this analysis is done with mostly pre-COVID data. COVID has amplified all these trends leading to price-inflation, and narrowed our demand into fewer goods and services. That further amplifies the inflationary forces that were already gearing up to make the 20's crazy.

Buckle up. There's going to be a lot of people who feel like their quality of life is crashing.

PhaedrusV··on Bitcoin (Tm) and the Eye of Sauron
Link to podcast: the author reading the essay, with occasional digressions to discuss linked concepts.

https://www.epsilontheory.com/et-podcast-10-in-praise-of-bit...

PhaedrusV··on Alaska will be first state in U.S. to offer Covid-19 vaccines to all adults
Title misspelled "both adults"
PhaedrusV··on Ask HN: Do we need a Google Customers Union? Could it work?
How about an internet year off...
PhaedrusV··on Citing 'Censorship' Concerns, North Idaho ISP Blocks Facebook, Twitter
It's like people have never heard the word "boycott"
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