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SeeDave

535 karma · joined July 26, 2015

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SeeDave··on WeWork isn’t a tech company; it’s a soap opera
That is a far more reputable industry than timeshares ;)

I would propose Silver, Gold, Platinum plus optional drop-in rates of $x day, $x4 for a week, $x15 for a month such that $Gold - $Silver = $x*15

SeeDave··on Dollar vans, NYC’s other transit system
I'm curious what makes these succeed in NYC while Chariot failed in SF.
SeeDave··on Vibration-minimizing motion retargeting for robotic characters
Absolutely beautiful work!

As an amateur roboticist/professional dilettante I've often been tempted to consider a robot as little more than a 'Normal Line in R3' (essentially an end effector's pitch/roll/yaw at x/y/z in effector state i from 1...n) and motion planning as little more than crow flying with zero consideration for 2nd or 3rd order effects.

While this may be true for simple industrial applications with robot arms of infinite structural rigidity... I have learned two things from this post:

[1] Physical qualities of the robot arm (beyond range of freedom) can materially affect path planning

[2] Sometimes there is more to a robot than an end effector doing work (e.g. rapping robot's funky dance moves). Raises the question though... does the entire robot arm effectively become an end-effector? Can we consider delighting an audience with cool dance moves 'work' being performed?

Thanks for sharing, and hats off to the Disney team! Great work!

SeeDave··on Holidays are good for workers and companies alike
It's a totally rational, bigger-picture thought process:

1. Employer will not tolerate "absenteeism" and will retaliate with consequences up to termination.

2. Spouse will not accept lower standard of life via reduced wages. Since earning power ("a good provider") is a major reason why many spouses chose to marry their geeky/techie partner... any threat to stable employment is a threat to the stability of my family.

3. Housing is almost entirely unaffordable in Bay Area. Miss three payments and car is reposessed. Miss one credit card payment and score drops 60 points, interest rate goes up to 29.99%.

It becomes a simple expected value calculation after that. Would you prefer the 100% chance of losing Disneyland deposit/letting down your kids.... or the n% chance of becoming a homeless, carless, divorcee with a damaged credit score for the next 7 years?

To be clear: I'm not pro-corporation/anti-child... but there are reasons why working parents make the decisions they make.

SeeDave··on Chicago successfully taxes streaming services
> The complexity of potentially complying with hundreds of state and municipal governments - not where you are located but where online purchases originate - is a pretty significant deterrent to setting up a small side business.

Check out Avalara and TaxJar. They're not 'built in to Stripe' but have hundreds of integrations with WooCommerce, Shopify, and more.

SeeDave··on Uber's Losses Reach Double Digits in IPO Debut
I consider the Uber IPO to be a 'bookend' on what has been a dozen years of insanity in Silicon Valley. It started off so promising with the sale of YouTube to Google in '06, but it started to feel increasingly 'off' in the early '10s with Groupon and Zynga. Color app was the first canary from my perspective.

Again, this is just one guy's opinion but it has been a hell of a spectacle. May we all find chairs when the music stops...

SeeDave··on Uber's IPO caps an era of mediocrity and small thinking in Silicon Valley
I consider the Uber IPO to be a 'bookend' on what has been a dozen years of insanity in Silicon Valley. It started off so promising with the sale of YouTube to Google in '06, but it started to feel increasingly 'off' in the early '10s with Groupon and Zynga. Color app was the first canary from my perspective.

Again, this is just one guy's opinion but it has been a hell of a spectacle. May we all find chairs when the music stops...

SeeDave··on Machine learning in the judicial system is a bad idea
I can only speak about San Francisco Pretrial Services, but they use the PSA Tool by the Arnold Foundation https://www.psapretrial.org/about/factors

On paper, a ML approach to calculating risk of recidivism can make sense if you consider it as a silicon-based approximation of the criminal brain in making totally rational self-serving responses.

One caveat: even if you have a perfect ML system... never forget the 'human factor' when using these tools. A single fat-finger by a clerk in San Francisco lead to the release of a defendant who went on to commit murder in 2017. https://abc7news.com/details-of-mistaken-release-of-sf-twin-...

SeeDave··on Housing can’t both be a good investment and be affordable
I agree, wholeheartedly and have a hard time understanding the thought process and worldview of someone who rides a loud motorcycle even five blocks in a dense urban neighborhood at night.

In one neighborhood I lived in... each building was 4 stories, with 5 apartments facing the road. There are two sides of the road. There were four apartment buildings per block.

5 * 4 * 5 * 2 * 4 = 800 homes being affected! Yikes!

SeeDave··on De Beers admits defeat over man-made diamonds
Synthetic consumer diamonds is an interesting space, one that was actually explored by GE in the mid-late 90s. This article gave me flashbacks of "Straight from the Gut" by Jack Welch [1]... any chance you worked with that particular division? Even if not, it would be interesting to hear your story.

[1] https://books.google.com/books?id=2GrqeGCE544C&pg=PT142&dq=I...

SeeDave··on Munchery Shuts Down Operations in LA, New York and Seattle
Amazon already offers subscription-less premium mealkits via a partnership with Martha Stewart/Marley Spoon [1] and more affordable options via their Tyson Tastemakers partnership [2].

[1] https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=14828691011

[2] https://www.amazon.com/b?ie=UTF8&node=16207550011

SeeDave··on [dead]
Great system, and a fantastic implementation of "zero tolerance" with direct, mandatory, non-disruptive, face-saving manager intervention.
SeeDave··on What Did Ancient Romans Do Without Toilet Paper?
Toilet Paper is one of my favorite "How it's Made" episodes. Feel free to check it out at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z74OfpUbeac.

My favorite part is at 4:43 with the Circular Saw!

SeeDave··on Tesla driver reproduces fatal autopilot accident [video]
I don't mind marketing puffery in the sense of "world's most innovative [X] ever," but I agree with your view that "Full Self-Driving Hardware" is dangerous, and branding the integrated system as AutoPilot™ only amplifies this.

And I mean this without any gratuitous negativity about Tesla or Elon... but branding lane-following/collision warning/adaptive-cruise control as "AutoPilot" is far more dangerous and has far more serious real-world consequences than Apple calling their backup application "Time Machine."

SeeDave··on A revolution in our sense of self
> our sense of self is an illusion

I've heard this, several times, from "new age" as well as "scientific" type-of people. I still don't understand what people mean by this... would it be possible to explain in a bit more detail?

SeeDave··on Craigslist takes personals sections offline in response to FOSTA
In defense of the "scorched earth approach or nothing" folks: from my perspective... it's a completely and totally human response to faceless, blameless, unapproachable (from their perspective) perpetrators and facilitators of systematic abuse and exploitation of innocent and vulnerable people.

If you've ever felt frustrated at an IVR system for routine tasks such as banking, restaurant reservations, canceling a gym membership, checking a gift card balance, etc. then you may understand where the "scorched earth" people are coming from when it comes to advocating for dozens, if not hundreds, of innocent victims who have been raped, exploited, and brutalized.

That said, I really wish that I could come forward with a solution to the online sex trafficking problem.

SeeDave··on Craigslist takes personals sections offline in response to FOSTA
Thanks :)
SeeDave··on Craigslist takes personals sections offline in response to FOSTA
Would it be possible to update this post with a direct link to the Craigslist notice at https://www.craigslist.org/about/FOSTA?

It seems a bit... inappropriate to deep link to a screenshot posted by a Twitter user with a bio of "CRUSH THE PATRIARCHY DICK BY DICK! XY = man & XX = woman FOREVER"

SeeDave··on Launch HN: Promise (YC W18) – Cost-effective, more humane alternative to jail
I hope that you guys have discovered a way to unlock the inherent goodness of specific individuals and get them on a path to healthy productive behavior; but from the totality of my life experience and media consumption... there are some deeply misguided and/or ungrounded adults out there who will stop at nothing to kill, steal, and rape as long as it advances their own personal interests/desires in the moment without consideration of how their behavior affects others or if it will even lead to negative consequences for themselves.

I hope that this works out for you and your clients, I really do.

SeeDave··on The Case for a Carbon Tax on Beef
From my understanding (which could be complete and total junk science/quackery)... wheat and other vegetables are carbon neutral. CO2 is extracted from the atmosphere, and used to grow the plants. Even unused parts (wheat straw) are a type of carbon "sink" in that the atmospheric carbon is trapped in organic matter which can be "upcycled" into paper products, etc.

I believe this thought process is why corn-ethanol was so hyped, as it was sold as a 'net carbon zero' fuel.

Not looking for a flamewar here, and I would be grateful if you could correct any misunderstandings I may have. I've got an 8th grade science-fair level of education on this one, so I'm more than open to your thoughts!

SeeDave··on Ask HN: Why was React Native recommended to me? Not seeing benefits
I remember a catchphrase/motto of "learn once, write anywhere"
SeeDave··on Porn is not the worst thing on Musical.ly
I strongly agree with monitoring internet usage, filtering, curfews, limited media consumption, and so on. I must say that it's absolutely fascinating how 80s/90s "normal" is now perceived as extremely strict, but understand the importance of encouraging children to develop an internal moral compass and locus of control by carefully exposing them to the reality of the human condition.

That said, I am deeply concerned by how permissive/inattentive parenting may affect other kids considering the prevalence of so many potentially negative influences.

I'm talking about those one-off interactions where a so-called "bad kid" has the opportunity to expose a dozen children to an HD stream of pornography on their iDroid 15x+. It could be on the school bus, bleachers during a school assembly, field trip, locker room, playground, and so on. This is compounded by the permanent availability of adult-themed uncensored music, marijuana legalization, and more.

If I may ask... do you have a plan/approach to addressing/mitigating these issues with your kids without harming their ability for healthy socialization?

SeeDave··on Single Family Homes in Santa Clara County: March 2018 Report
From my understanding, the issue is with the annual recurring property taxes which have a capped annual increase per Proposition 13. Thus, the "taxable value" of the homes pre-sale is a fraction of what it is post-sale, even after swapping for an identical home. This is not an IRS issue, so much as a county tax assessor issue.
SeeDave··on Single Family Homes in Santa Clara County: March 2018 Report
From my understanding, it's not even a matter of upgrading. Two neighbors with exactly identical homes, who have lived in the same city for 20 years, wouldn't be able to sell their houses to one another (for a net gain of $0 each) without triggering a massive tax increase for both parties.
SeeDave··on Obesity and Overweight Prevalence for the U.S
Not very "meh" IMO as obesity, and especially childhood obesity, is a national security issue.

https://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/policy-dose/articles/20...

SeeDave··on Can Uber Ever Deliver? Even After 4Q Cost Cuts, Uber Lost $4.5B in 2017
I think this depends on your definition of "competing service." Some think "Taxis/Limos," others expand to public transit, and others expand to personal car ownership in general.

We shall see, but until them I'm definitely enjoying the VC subsidized taxi trips :)

SeeDave··on Show HN: RoastMe.io – A neural network that has learned to insult
Here's how I suspect this thing works:

[1]: Crawl reddit.com/r/roastme

[2]: Map images to an array of "roast" comments

[3]: Compare input photo to all images from [2]

[4]: Return top three roasts from most similar image

Pretty neat, though! I've got to caution people on sharing this with coworkers as there's a very high risk of NSFW racial/ethnic/gender humor.

SeeDave··on Self-Crashing Cars
>I plan to move far away from cities very soon for this and several other reasons.

Are you comfortable with sharing your reasons? I feel similarly but do not have concrete plans quite yet.

SeeDave··on Ask HN: What influenced your personal growth the most?
>Diet: Your mental and physical well being is a rolling average of the things you eat. Cheat days are fine; cheat weeks are not. As long as your diet is always trending in the right direction, you'll find life becomes a little easier to manage at an increasing rate.

You're totally right, and would like to stress that you get 1000 meals a year. I prefer to think of "cheat meals" rather than "cheat days" so... splurging once in a while isn't always a bad thing.

SeeDave··on 40 Yr Stanford Study Found People with Delayed Gratification More Likely Succeed
Yes, this can absolutely be the case.

Consider a child who grows up with multiple older siblings in a bad neighborhood with an unreliable single parent. If promises are seldom upheld, possessions are stolen without recourse, and there is persistent scarcity to begin with... how likely will this child be able to delay gratification for a greater reward (in an isolated research center) when the totality of their life experience has trained them that doing so will most likely result in losing what they already have?

This is also explicitly called out in the article

> In other words, the child's ability to delay gratification and display self-control was not a predetermined trait, but rather was impacted by the experiences and environment that surrounded them. In fact, the effects of the environment were almost instantaneous. Just a few minutes of reliable or unreliable experiences were enough to push the actions of each child in one direction or another.

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