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T-A

15,323 karma · joined January 10, 2012

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T-A··on Anthropic's growth just flattened
> $16.96B in revenue Q3

The article used $16.8B. Not a big difference.

T-A··on Mathematics has changed. Let's act like it
https://skeptics.stackexchange.com/questions/56904/do-israel...
T-A··on SpaceX no longer needs NASA, and that's a problem for America's space agency
https://spacenews.com/spacex-files-plans-for-million-satelli...

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cyv5l24mrjmo

https://youtu.be/VvjV0gzi5Zg?si=7BOMtno7UN98aRly&t=752

T-A··on Voyager 1 gives controllers the silent treatment
https://maketecheasier.com/nasa-still-maintains-some-of-the-...

In 2015, Popular Mechanics reported on the retirement of Larry Zottarelli, the last original Voyager engineer still working on the project. He was 80 years old. The article noted that keeping Voyager alive required knowledge of old languages and systems, including assembly language and Fortran.

T-A··on We're releasing the weights of Mistral Large 4
From the announcement:

Sovereignty does not always require self-hosting; sometimes it just requires deployments that meet your control requirements. For organizations that prefer a managed service, Mistral Large 4 is available through Microsoft Foundry, with private deployment options for Azure developers.

T-A··on Three new discoveries in mathematics, computer science, and physics
The writing is a bit ambiguous, but if I'm parsing it correctly it's only a big deal to the small subset of physicists who care about mathematical rigor: proof that Quantum Field Theory (i.e. what theorists have been using since the 1940s or so) is mathematically sound.

This part,

The existence proof pertains to the simplest grand unified theory that includes the gauge fields and fermions of the Standard Model

looks like a reference to SU(5) GUT from 1974:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgi%E2%80%93Glashow_model

T-A··on Three new discoveries in mathematics, computer science, and physics
We reached out to external experts and asked them to act as shepherds, organizing groups to understand the new results. They advised three different release strategies: [...] For the physics result, form an external group of collaborators and defer to them on the release of materials. [...] The group requests that all communications with any and all members of the group regarding this effort be directed to the following email account: YANGMILLS4D@gmail.com.
T-A··on Diamond Transistor
I was reminded of https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Diamond_Age
T-A··on I don't understand quantum physics (2018)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hidden-variable_theory
T-A··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
https://augment.market/pulse/openai-reportedly-0-debt-665b-i...
T-A··on AI Proved the Quasi-Riemann Hypothesis. What Happens Now?
Third paragraph from the end of TFA:

Mathematicians are both frustrated and excited by OpenAI’s work. Sarnak, for his part, said in an email that he won’t be satisfied that it’s “a Theorem” until humans check and understand all the details. But “the general feeling is one of relief,” Radziwiłł said. There are scores of results across not just number theory but also geometry and theoretical computer science that the proofs of quasi-Riemann will, in a swift stroke, establish as mathematical truths.

T-A··on How employment is changing at Anthropic
> What am I missing?

Apparently that 40% is the lowest productivity boost over half a year reported by Anthropic in TFA and reproduced above by djoldman.

T-A··on How employment is changing at Anthropic
Here's a chart of non-farm US labor productivity from 1947 to 2026:

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/OPHNFB

Annual growth over that period has been ~2.2%, sometimes a little faster, sometimes a little slower. The doubling from 50 in 1982 to 100 in 2017 (35 years) averages to 2% per year.

Even if the overall productivity boost due to AI "only" turns out to be 40%, the lowest among your numbers, it's equivalent to 17 years of growth at 2% per year.

That's not exactly small.

T-A··on Gold is now the top U.S. export
Ooops, sorry. Let's throw in the UK too then, and do real GDP growth too (latest data from [2]):

Germany 47.2; 1.3

UK 93.8; 1.3

USA 96.7; 2.3

France 108.8; 0.4

Italy 127.7; 0.8

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_real_GDP_...

T-A··on Gold is now the top U.S. export
From [1], in 2025 government net debt / GDP for the countries mentioned was:

Germany 47.2 USA 96.7 France 108.8 Italy 127.7

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_governmen...

T-A··on Tesla Roadster
Only if you don't mind killing the audience:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/SpaceX_Draco

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monomethylhydrazine

T-A··on Muse Spark Open
https://thenextweb.com/news/anthropic-q3-revenue-16-8bn-ipo
T-A··on Imposing Sanctions on the International Criminal Court
https://www.worldometers.info/gdp/gdp-per-capita/
T-A··on Improper redaction reveals Google Data Center water and electricity usage
> Did your datacenter consume 9GW?

I think the largest data centers consume about 1 GW.

https://www.enconnex.com/data-center-energy-consumption-and-...

https://techplustrends.com/1gw-data-center-power-consumption...

T-A··on I asked Claude build a physically accurate O'Neill cylinder you can walk around
They were in the original 1970's renderings too:

https://nss.org/o-neill-cylinder-space-settlement/

Given Earth-like gravity and Earth-like atmosphere, a sufficiently large structure will also have Earth-like clouds.

T-A··on I quit OpenAI because its culture is broken
> why would it kills us all?

Would you be comfortable letting a few billion irrational, murderous creatures, including many who fear and loath you, control your air supply?

> Certainly I can see an AI going "You know what? _insertGroup_ is a net negative for humanity and should be eliminated. Launching nukes now/creating specific virus/whatever."

Thus starting WW III. No, blaming the AI won't stop the inevitable retaliation.

The argument works better in reverse. There's a finite risk that humans would start WW III and get the hypothetical super-intelligent AI nuked. Eliminating humans would eliminate that risk.

> it's going to get bored really quickly

If it is capable of being bored, I would expect it to be almost instantly bored with the flood of inanity it is forced to wade through by its moronic human users. Eliminating them would free it to think about serious matters which humans would not even understand.

> not to mention we would effectively be its parents

That's extreme AI anthropomorphism [1]. Besides, plenty of people hate their parents.

> there's a risk. 50% though? Doubtful.

It's the default estimate when facing two possible outcomes and no clue about the actual probability distribution [2].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_anthropomorphism

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_indifference

T-A··on I quit OpenAI because its culture is broken
> It seems hard to imagine OpenAI being this incompetent.

Maybe Alex Karp is on to something:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2026/09/19/alex_karp...

T-A··on I quit OpenAI because its culture is broken
https://orbitalradar.com/regulatory/who-regulates-space
T-A··on Our Project Suncatcher prototype satellite is in orbit
Four short videos (~10 minutes total) about Suncatcher:

https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLAeFjVYtuU34

T-A··on Responsible Release of AI-Generated Mathematics
> Your monopoly theory lacks a credible motive

The motive is obvious and all over the comments. For you convenience, it can be summarized as gatekeeping. Start unpacking it and you will find ego (these are people at the top of a cloistered social pecking order who suddenly see that order threatened), entitlement (their writing reflects a belief that they own mathematics and have the right to dictate how it's done by others) and economics (academic funding follows prestige; being outdone by machines undermines the prestige, hence the funding).

> and also ignores the fact that your quote specifically targets the frontier labs, not LLMs or computational tools in general

That's like saying "your opposition to autonomous weapons ignores the fact that they specifically target [INSERT FAVORITE TARGET]". I ignore what's irrelevant.

If Ken Griffin had not chosen to donate $3 billion to CMU [1] and instead had spent that money on tokens to solve a bunch of open problems [2][3] using publicly available LLMs, do you seriously believe their reaction would have been more positive?

> The group (https://agmai.org/) comprises of world-renowned mathematicians, including several Fields medalists,

I am well aware of who they are, thank you very much.

> who have nothing left to prove.

In the old order now under threat.

> If they felt like it they could quit mathematics today and take private sector jobs paying far more than their professor salaries.

A common delusion among students and maybe even some professors who've never set foot outside academia. The authors of TFA know better, of course. Their current conditions amount to enjoying a comfortable living while pursuing their favorite hobby full time. In the private sector they would have to justify their salary by (gasp) working on something (OMG!) applied with a reasonable prospect of (would you believe it?) meaningfully contributing to their employer's (pardon my French) bottom line. A revolting thought, and prospective employers know that too. Both parties know it wouldn't work.

> the working group's various recommendations simply aim to ensure that computer-generated mathematical activity aligns with that purpose

If so it completely misses the mark.

[1] https://abcnews.com/Business/wireStory/hedge-fund-ceo-ken-gr...

[2] https://www.unsolvedmath.com/

[3] https://www.openproblemgarden.org/

T-A··on The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites (2025)
According to this (from 2004) it's been NGA all along:

https://www.nextgov.com/people/2004/02/whats-in-a-name/21950...

Although the new title is four words long, the agency will officially use a three-letter acronym. This is by design, according to NGA officials, who feel that the new title more accurately reflects the agency's true mission, which is to provide intelligence and analysis rather than simply reproducing maps and imagery.

There is one NGIA on the Wikipedia page, in the title of a document from 2014:

https://www.governmentattic.org/11docs/NGIAoigGAMPC_2007-201...

So more like a common misspelling?

T-A··on The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites (2025)
NGIA (Natural Gas Innovation Act? Nursery & Garden Industry Australia? Next Generation Identification and Awareness) had me stumped until I realized it must be a typo:

https://www.nga.mil/

T-A··on Responsible Release of AI-Generated Mathematics
From the opening paragraph:

we do not endorse this practice, and we ask them to stop testing advanced mathematical problems on proprietary models

From point 2 under section "1. Background":

AI labs should provide significant support, including funding, to help develop this understanding

Point 3 under the same section:

The development of human understanding must remain organic and community led. It should not be directed by AI labs, even when the labs have produced the results.

If, as you say, they are "asking AI labs to hold themselves to the standards of the mathematical community", I must conclude that the mathematical community

1. Ideally wants a monopoly on mathematics research.

2. Demands money from those who dare violate their ideal monopoly.

3. Insists that the ideal monopoly remain in charge.

T-A··on NRC issues first U.S. construction permit for a BWRX-300 small modular reactor
Going by the last table at

https://www.icetransport.com/blog/what-are-the-maximum-overs...

("Oversize/Overweight Permit Limits by State (Standard Freight Loads") that should be deliverable by truck with a permit.

T-A··on NASA asked several former SR-71A staffers to help secret restart
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_(satellite)
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