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TradingPlaces

1,610 karma · joined April 20, 2021

Barron’s Tech Investments Senior Writer
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TradingPlaces··on Arm jumps 18% in market debut to notch $60B valuation
That is why they only sold 10%. They think they can keep market depth thin, raise the price, and sell more over time at higher prices when they need cash. This is exactly what Intel is doing with Mobileye. It’s a piggy bank that they will break open from time to time.
TradingPlaces··on Arm jumps 18% in market debut to notch $60B valuation
The valuation includes the shares Softbank kept (~90%)
TradingPlaces··on Tesla’s new car-building process could be an industrial breakthrough
I guess we’re back to unquestioning stenography of Tesla “breakthroughs”. My cat “could” also be an industrial breakthrough, though it is highly unlikely because he is old and lazy.
TradingPlaces··on $2.70 supermarket wine wins gold medal at international wine contest
Years ago, my wife and I went to a “make your own wine” thing in Napa. A few months later we had a blind tasting of our two wines, a $12 bottle of Kirkland Signature from Costco, and a $125 bottle. 6 tasters, and the unanimous result was for the Kirkland Signature.

If you’re in Napa, check out the wine making thing. It’s lots of fun. https://www.conncreek.com/visit

TradingPlaces··on There are now two types of PayPal dollars, and one is better than the other
“Our stablecoin is backed by dollars, so it is better than dollars.” Wut?
TradingPlaces··on WTF Happened in 1971? (2019)
1. Boomers entering workforce en masse (oldest boomers turned 25 in 1971). 2. Women entering workforce en masse.
TradingPlaces··on The meeting of the minds that launched AI
Summer camp for mathematicians
TradingPlaces··on TSMC warns AI chip crunch will last another 18 months
This certainly explains why Camtek got a surge of orders for their Eaglet-AP inspection machine for advanced packaging just in the last couple of months. https://www.camtek.com/news-and-events/camtek-receives-order...
TradingPlaces··on Kagi Small Web
Thanks Vlad. Another great feature.
TradingPlaces··on Mojo is available for local download
It’s a PyTorch superset and they aim to be a full python superset eventually
TradingPlaces··on AI chip startup d-Matrix raises $110M with backing from Microsoft
Another AI ASIC, but this one focused on running inference at scale.
TradingPlaces··on HuggingFace Training Cluster as a Service
I think this has a lot of potential https://www.modular.com/engine
TradingPlaces··on HuggingFace Training Cluster as a Service
It will not get cheaper until Nvidia is disrupted on the software side. There is already plenty of hardware that can do this cheaper, starting but not ending with Google’s TPU
TradingPlaces··on An introduction to the impact of native planting
If you are in the LA area, this is a nonprofit nursery that only sells California natives. https://theodorepayne.org/plants-and-seeds/nursery/retail-nu...
TradingPlaces··on WebLLM: Llama2 in the Browser
Mac Studio 2022 64 GB RAM M1 Max. Lots of other stuff running. prefill: 1.1620 tokens/sec, decoding: 2.4105 tokens/sec
TradingPlaces··on Ask HN: Are there any fulfilling careers in tech anymore?
I found this discussion of working at the national labs to be very interesting. Maybe that’s the kind of thing you need?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34414527

TradingPlaces··on A group of Motherboard folks just spun up their own new independent outlet
I mean, just to hammer this home, Jason had a post about Instagram demoted by Instagram https://www.404media.co/instagram-throttles-404-media-invest...
TradingPlaces··on Modular Raises $100M
My view is that software is Nvidia’s moat. There is plenty of hardware that can do all this stuff cheaper, and more coming in the next couple of years. That’s not the issue. The issue is that strong hardware-software link that Nvidia has.

The promise of the engine is the same as Lattner’s LLVM was for compilers: train on the back end of your choice, and run it on the front end of your choice. It is modular.

That breaks the hardware-software link.

https://www.modular.com/engine

Scroll down to the first flow chart. Note how they stuck Nvidia over to the bottom-right. That was intentional. ARM, the cheapest data center CPU hardware and the most prevalent at the edge, is in the middle. They launched with CPU support first, now doing GPUs.

The main dividing line in LLMs and other large models is becoming giant commercial models running on GPU cloud vs open source at the edge or CPU cloud.

TradingPlaces··on Robert's Rules of Order
Obligatory link to The Wire, Season 3 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xO1zxPRRf4g
TradingPlaces··on Modular Raises $100M
I look at that inference engine as the most plausible current candidate for Nvidia AI moat drainer.
TradingPlaces··on A group of Motherboard folks just spun up their own new independent outlet
They handed control of their audience to platforms without thinking about where that could lead. Now they are in a tough spot. But starting a new venture by doubling down on that twenty-teens mistake seems to especially ignore the history
TradingPlaces··on A group of Motherboard folks just spun up their own new independent outlet
This was not about Mastodon. It was a general comment about X and the fact that journalists have not abandoned it en masse for reasons that should be obvious to anyone paying attention by this point. They remain on X. They took control of their publishing, and I would recommend taking control of their social by running their own ActivityPub server instead of relying on enshittified platforms who are not their friends, and who view them as the enemy. I’m surprised that every news org hasn’t already done this.
TradingPlaces··on A group of Motherboard folks just spun up their own new independent outlet
Right into my veins

>Much has been written about the failing business model of new media. We have watched how new media companies fail, and it’s not because of a lack of audience, revenue, impact, or vital work. New media companies fail because of a growth-at-any-cost mentality, and venture capital investments made at absurd valuations. Most importantly, astronomical overhead costs make it impossible for journalists to out-earn the cost of expensive office space, the ever-changing whims of management, executives’ salaries, the cost of unnecessary enterprise software, and an endless parade of consultants brought in to figure out what’s wrong.

>It doesn’t have to be this way, and at 404 Media, it will not. We propose a simple alternative: pay journalists to do journalism.

Also, y u no Mastodon?

TradingPlaces··on Following pushback, Zoom says it won't use customer data to train AI models
This is the company that thought it was OK to install an always-on web server on my Mac. Apple pushed a special fix, just to remove it. I already have zero trust in them, and this does not change that.

https://infosecwriteups.com/zoom-zero-day-4-million-webcams-...

TradingPlaces··on Ask HN: Who is using small OS LLMs in production?
Not that impressed with llama 2 70b so far tbh. It’s a GPT3-level bullshit machine imo. But huge advantages in running privately and at the edge, so that’s going to be the dividing line imo. Commercial v free. Small v big. H100s in the cloud v edge
TradingPlaces··on Ask HN: Who is using small OS LLMs in production?
Facebook is working very hard to make the main dividing line in generative AI not company vs. company but commercial vs free. Starting from way behind, they are trying to make that irrelevant.
TradingPlaces··on Fitch downgrades U.S. after debt limit stalemate
What do you do if you are the #3 ratings agency, and your ratings never make headlines?
TradingPlaces··on Internet Explorer is EVIL! (2002)
IMO, 2 things:

1. They had internalized the Innovator’s Dilemma so much that everything was existential.

2. The browser was viewed as middleware that made the operating system irrelevant. They viewed lack of compatibility as an operational moat. To some extent this is/was true.

So, entirely defensive to protect Windows and Office.

TradingPlaces··on Electric cars aren't affordable because America's workforce is underpaid
This is backwards. Vehicle quality has gotten much better, and that means used vehicle quality has gotten much better. Since about 2012, used vehicles have taken over the low end of sales, and now manufacturers in the US are beginning to cede that market to used. For the price of a subcompact, you can get a pickup or SUV with low miles, and Americans prefer larger cars. That’s why average new car price is so high.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=17uXw

https://seekingalpha.com/instablog/49663329-trading-places-r...

TradingPlaces··on Autoenshittification. How the computer killed capitalism. – by Cory Doctorow
Enshittification for [EVERYTHING] is going to keep Cory busy for years
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