It's too early. There was a time where economist could not find productivity gains from PC products. I think I remember reading about it in the early 2000s over a decade after computers were common in business. Part of it is that companies aren't quick to throw what's work for tech that hasn't fully proven itself.
AI productivity gains are coming make no mistake about it. My guess is that we'll see them within the next 5 years.
I feel like we need an open source DVD and CD so that they will survive for the long term. Streaming is nice but I don't want to pay monthly fees forever just to hear the music I like.
Yes, since we hear a lot about AI doing the majority of programming for many SWEs, my take is that SWE is more than programming. It takes a lot of expertise to create a successful software application. So, as people begin to use AI to create ever more useful and complex programs, it won’t be a situation where SWEs let AI do all the work. SWE will regain some of its respect. AI is taking some of the shine off many careers, so it’s not just SWEs. Only time will tell which careers will be at the top in the coming years, but those who understand AI and its creation will certainly be respected.
Talk about stealing. Taylor Swift should be fuming, at the very least, about how a machine can steal her style, something that has taken her whole life to create and master. We should all be fuming with outrage. I'm sad for all those wannabe artists who will never be, since all they have to do is tell a machine to do it and never have to struggle. Like they say, be careful what you ask for.
Smart move. For less than 11 billion, he will have at least a generation of taxpayers on his side, with a positive view of SpaceX. Bezos better start talking about doing the same thing, otherwise, his company will be at a deficit.
Most presidents in the US are puppets of their party and contributors. When you vote, you are really voting for the party, since going outside what the party wants will generally get you nothing in the long term. Sure, it’s easy for a president to issue executive orders and temporarily get what he wants, but they can just as easily be overturned by the next president. Great presidents are great because they were able to make changes that will last many years after their presidency ends.
In school, we were told that eventually there would be an AI expert system for most, if not all, subjects. We are at the start of that cycle. I say that within the next 15 to 20 years, companies will create app like expert systems that fit and completely run on our phones. That will democratize AI in the same way the internet is widely used now. Give it time. After all, there are nearly 8 billion people in the world. No technology is instantly adopted by everyone. Not even AI can do that.
Recently, I asked Gemini to create a nightstand clock app for a spare phone I have by giving it a picture and a quick prompt of what I wanted, and that was all. It did a pretty good job. I was amazed. The phone clock is on my nightstand right now. I look at your page and am blown away by what’s possible. It makes me think that, at this point, we are limited only by our imagination when it comes to what AI can do. Thanks for posting.
I have to disagree. I don't necessarily like all of them, but I found them all interesting in some way. I particularly liked the Brick Breaker one. It would have been a shame if that had been one of the 80% that would not have made it to the page in your scenario.
Some people are saying that Musk can't create a new wireless network but I say he can definitely do it. He seems to have all the money he needs to finance it and now he has the spectrum. So, it's only a matter of time before he succeeds. It's hard to beat being able to make or receive a call anywhere in the world. The big 3 networks better understand that or they will lose big time.
FYI, selling everything is never a good choice unless you can foretell the future, which no one can. Selling everything and buying back in may work once in a while, but not for long-term investors. If you are a long-term investor, i.e., investing for retirement, stay the course. You will be rewarded.
Anyway, good luck to all. Bottom line, it's all guess and hope.
Why the FU to Qualcomm? Obviously the Jury/Judge did not think there was much economic damage but how about Non-Economic Damages? I would think that there would be some of those?
True, Cook maneuvered Apple thru some very tight situations in both the US and China and made it look so seamless. I don't think he gets enough credit for what he's done since it seemed like it was so natural.
Ya, but no. The bottom line is that successful business people know who has the power and lean in to it. Look at how these big companies' CEOs maneuver their companies in China. None of then can say anything controversial against the government and the leaders if they want to do business there. The same thing happens in the US. When things shift they will lean the other way.
My big question is, would anyone want one? It's an interesting life size hotwheels car but who would want one other than to show at a monster truck rally. The original Tesla Roadster was a masterpiece compared to this new one. Talk about missing the mark by a mile...
I've never ridden one, but one observation I've made is that a few people I know who have decided to use them for transportation from, say, the train or bus to work have gotten hurt in some way by falling. One ended up with a broken arm. It could have been a lack of experience, but nevertheless, the first thing to think about is safety. It does not matter how fun or practical a scooter is if you end up hurt.
Edit:
To be clear, I'm taking about the unmotorized scooters.
I doubt there's any case where mars is a better choice other than the destruction or the beginning of the physical destruction of Earth. The one possible plus is that if can survive the extremes on mars we will be able to survive them on earth too.
The real win in having these large goals is not the achievement itself but what we learn along the way. Things like new tech,new uses of old tech and even how to better get along with each other not necessarily the achievement of the goal.
It's a place to vist but you wouldn't want to live there.
My first thought is yes since any litigation is very difficult on any small organization in both time and money. But would they win if it went to trial? Maybe but it would not matter since the software is open-source. They may win with one company but the next company would grab the source and modify it and Microsoft would have to sue again. It's a never ending situation.
The bigger question is can wordcraft be a replacement for word? No, not in the near future. The software is ALMOST ready. Almost does not count. And given LLM coders inability to give exact results, it may never be. I would not use it until it's ready and that will be years from now.
Also, at some point MS might open-source Office and just sell support. I would not doubt it.
I think the PC era as we have known it is on its way out. The future is AI assistants and never ending subscriptions to services your AI assistant and you can use.
Interesting, if all software can be decompiled and copied what is the future of software. Will all software be SaaS? A time where the majority of PCs will be terminals? Game consoles are almost there. It's only a small jump for all software to go that way.
Edit:
Here's a possibility.
The future of software is agent only software. We ask for a result, agent asks questions from us, agent uses the specialized software, user gets result. We subscribe to an AI assistant and specialized agents. We are almost there,at least the start. The future of PC's as we know them are numbered. OSs,CLI,compilers and whatever will melt into AI assistants. Say goodbye to writing software for people.
True, I'm sure the chat text is used to help train the llms. Remember Tay, Microsoft's Twitter chatbot, it only took a few days of people using it fot it to become a horrible bot because users started feeding it horrible chats.
True, but also keep in mind that most people get offended by the slightest thing. So much so that we have setup rules on how to behave between us. We call it etiqueté. Once we lose that we will be at each other's throats soon after. Kids are the real issue. How do you say to them by our actions that it's OK to be cruel and rude to some? The alternative is a society where cruelty is ok for some. Unfortunately,"some" will eventually be other humans.
AI is a thing with 0 feelings but it's not IT that we need to protect. It's the future society and how the humans in it relate to each other.
Nope, capitalism is not doomed. There seems to be a cycle of capitalism to socialism and back, like a never-ending sine wave. When one becomes too extreme, we switch to the other. It's not a 100% switch, but it's enough to create a balance. It's a delicate balance, since going too far in either direction may result in a civil war.
Even in the utopian future that AI supporters are selling, a future where all our needs are met, people will find needs that can't be met by AI. So the cycle will continue as a way to allocate resources.