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XMPPwocky

1,611 karma · joined July 27, 2015

the https://xmppwocky.net email: mimir@
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XMPPwocky··on DeepSeek V4.1 Flash 1017 (Max)
expert streaming with cache-conditional routing is very powerful (you can run 4.1 Flash on two Strix Halos and a 9070XT at around 50-70TPS decode in ~full quality), and that setup might be able to at least do a few tok/s with it.
XMPPwocky··on Improper redaction reveals Google Data Center water and electricity usage
Seems like it'd depend a lot on e.g. carbon impact of the marginal watt v.s. environmental impact of the marginal gallon? Might depend on the individual site.
XMPPwocky··on Improper redaction reveals Google Data Center water and electricity usage
It looks to me like there's two Google DCs with different LLCs?

> However, using a computer cursor to highlight the redacted text box in the report to DWEE, then copying and pasting it into a separate document reveals that *Agate LLC* is reporting 52.65 megawatts of electricity during peak electrical demand and 13.299 megagallons of water between cooling towers, evaporative systems and site operations in the last year. That totals out to 13 million gallons of water.

> For context, 13 million gallons is enough to fill around 20 Olympic-size swimming pools, and is less than half of what the City of Lincoln reports using on Sept. 29.

> The *six* data centers reporting as of Sept. 30 show a total use of 765 million gallons of water last year, enough water to fill 1,159.93 Olympic-size swimming pools.

> More improper redaction shows that the data center using the most water annually is *Fireball Group LLC*, the Google Data Center in Papillion. Fireball LLC reports 547.88 megagallons for their 2025 Annual Water Consumption.

XMPPwocky··on Why I'm still bearish on LLMs after Navier-Stokes
out of curiosity, do you think fable would get this right? (I'm not sure myself, and haven't tried yet.)
XMPPwocky··on An Alien Mind
hm- does the model that wrote this know that labs already pay for training data- that stuff scraped from the Internet is not particularly where today's capability gains come from?
XMPPwocky··on Arbitrary code execution in QubesOS via copy-to-VM error reporting backchannel
Looks like this has nothing to do with the hypervisor, it's not a traditional VM escape
XMPPwocky··on Pacing model development in an era of cyber-critical capabilities
Thanks for the response! This helps me understand what you meant way better. I'm about to go to bed here, but I'll respond in the morning. Ty!
XMPPwocky··on Pacing model development in an era of cyber-critical capabilities
> My point here is there is no continuous state that is not computed from the context.

Oh, are you talking more about the lack of continual learning across context windows? Gotcha if so, my error.

Could you explain why running without sensory input is relevant here? It strikes me as unrelated to how dangerous/hard-to-"kill" something is (sure, I could run without sensory input, but I'm not doin' anything anymore!) - what makes you feel differently (or am I misunderstanding you again?)

XMPPwocky··on Pacing model development in an era of cyber-critical capabilities
> The state is entirely internal to the network and disappears after a token is generated,

Yes and no, but mostly no, at least within a context window.

Mathematically, you could write a single step of LLM decode as a pure function from a list of past tokens to a predicted token (or a distribution over tokens, if you consider sampling separately).

But nobody actually implements this, because each token depends on state computed at past tokens in a way you can reuse.

So, in practice, inference computes a very rich vector of state- at each layer, for each token. And models do indeed use this to plan and track things over time (you can see this in interpretability results, e.g. with linear probes or natural language autoencoders).

> Stop the GPU, hit ctrl-c on the inference server, pull the power plug, cut the ethernet cable, send a kill signal, etc - any of these stop submitting new batches to the GPU and halt execution. That stops tokens from being generated. Stopping a "rogue" LLM is that easy. No input, no output.

This is also true about a human brain. My brain isn't going anywhere- it can't move by itself. It's also easy to kill (without the rest of my body, it dies in minutes!)

However, malicious human brains- especially powerful human brains, like leaders of countries- are often quite difficult to stop, because they're able to control systems that can see, speak, walk, run, fire a weapon, and so on.

One such system is the rest of the body, of course, but there are others (consider a UAV pilot, Perimetr, or a powerful leader who tells other humans what to do).

The brain being squishy doesn't make the thing easy to kill.

XMPPwocky··on A new study of a bot running a store finds it is friendly but not very smart
Definitely agree with that last paragraph - I don't think anybody involved thinks they're doing an RCT here!
XMPPwocky··on In case you think there is consciousness, intelligence or personality in an LLM [video]
tbc, I'm pretty sure that both an individual subatomic particle and a NAND gate or an adder are not conscious. (At least when I'm not in panpsychist moods!)

But, in the same way that one particle not being conscious doesn't necessarily mean some configurations of many particles- like humans- aren't, one logic gate not being conscious doesn't mean there can't exist configurations of many logic gates that are.

XMPPwocky··on In case you think there is consciousness, intelligence or personality in an LLM [video]
Is a single subatomic particle conscious? Unless you're a panpsychist then surely no, right?

And yet humans, made of such particles, are!

So it seems like reductionism doesn't work here.

XMPPwocky··on In case you think there is consciousness, intelligence or personality in an LLM [video]
I think you'd benefit from explaining why something being "just math" means it can't be intelligent, conscious, or have a personality- it seems like you're sort of assuming that implicitly, could you make an argument for it?
XMPPwocky··on In case you think there is consciousness, intelligence or personality in an LLM [video]
Could you explain how this is related to "consciousness", "intelligence", or "personality"?
XMPPwocky··on A new study of a bot running a store finds it is friendly but not very smart
Ah, you think by "Luna would eventually get smarter" they meant that the model backing it would, without retraining, somehow improve? I figured they just meant they'd use newer models as they come out.
XMPPwocky··on A new study of a bot running a store finds it is friendly but not very smart
Why does the quoted statement you think they don't?
XMPPwocky··on Building a real-time AI tutor for 5-year-olds
Why?
XMPPwocky··on NSA lost access to Mythos amid Anthropic dispute
> This was their third office space, serving as their headquarters before they outgrew it and eventually relocated to Market Square at 1355 Market Street in 2012. The arab spring twitter uprising was fully a CIA/NSA operation.

To be clear, the claim you're making is that because Twitter has their third corporate office in the same building as an AT&T switching center, and US intelligence used a room in AT&T's switching center for surveillance, then Twitter must have been controlled by US intelligence? And thus the Arab Spring uprising, where Twitter was used, was "fully a CIA/NSA operation"?

XMPPwocky··on Prompt Injection as Role Confusion
For what it's worth, this sounds a lot like something downstream from "reward hacking" in ML- in training, passing tests is often sufficient, and thus gets trained for. There are attempts to fix this (e.g. trying to detect such "cheating" and penalize it), but they have their own problems.
XMPPwocky··on Running local models is good now
Why is something being human or not relevant here?
XMPPwocky··on LLMs corrupt your documents when you delegate
> The difference is that when a human reasoner goes to solve a problem, they'll think "this kind of proof usually goes this way" - following an explicit rule enforcement.

How is this different from "probabilistic pattern selection"?

XMPPwocky··on When Dawkins met Claude – Could this AI be conscious?
Hm, say more about what your opinion's based on here?
XMPPwocky··on When Dawkins met Claude – Could this AI be conscious?
Hm, it sounds like to you consciousness implies non-determinism, and so determinism implies a lack of consciousness - is that right? If so, why do you think so? And if not, what am I missing?
XMPPwocky··on When Dawkins met Claude – Could this AI be conscious?
Yup- the question is "can math be conscious?"

(If you've engaged w/ the literature here, it's quite hard to give a confident "yes". it's also quite hard to give a confident "no"! so then what the heck do we do)

XMPPwocky··on An Interesting Find: STM32 RDP1 Decryptor
Presumably the decryption key is in the firmware.
XMPPwocky··on NIST's DeepSeek "evaluation" is a hit piece
I also can't help but note that this blog post itself seems (first to my own intuition and heuristics, but also to both Pangram and GPTZero) to be clearly LLM-generated text.
XMPPwocky··on Claude Sonnet 4.5
nit: assuming you mean basis points, one basis point is 0.01%. 4.5bp would be 72.7% to 72.71%. this is 450bp!
XMPPwocky··on Graphene OS: a security-enhanced Android build
How is it a black box? You can get the firmware trivially.
XMPPwocky··on Javier Milei backtracks on $4.4B memecoin after 'insiders' pocket $87M
I think your pitch would be significantly stronger if the resources you linked didn't largely revolve around "What if Snoop Dogg had his own currency?"

I'm not ... completely unable to be persuaded that there are use cases for cryptocurrency. But "Ashton Kutcher should have Aston Kutchercoin, and develop some sort of referral-based pyramid-shaped scheme with it for his fans" is... what is that?

XMPPwocky··on High-temperature Gibbs states are unentangled and efficiently preparable
What makes you say that? Have you read serious arguments against this view (ideally from academic philosophers, not somebody like me on HN!)?
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