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YjSe2GMQ

419 karma · joined January 15, 2019

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YjSe2GMQ··on State of Industrial Control Systems in Poland and Switzerland
One thing those are good for is being a call center for white hat hackers. I.e. if you find some holes you can report to those agencies, and they'll take it from there. I know that's what people that speak about their findings on CCC do.
YjSe2GMQ··on Genetically Engineered Wheat Found in Unplanted Washington Field
Anthrax is "self-safe" too. It's an organism made by evolution.
YjSe2GMQ··on Zanzibar: Consistent, Global Authorization System
And there's much new fun to be had when you have this many servers around. For example - once you start shuffling around tens of petabytes a day you quickly notice that bit flips are very real. Computers do what we tell them to do with incredibly high probability, but it is always below 1.
YjSe2GMQ··on Thermal Decomposition of CO2 with Nuclear Heat
Renewables are great, but not deployed nearly quick enough: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_consumption

Not an expert, but right now I only believe in solar geo-engineering. And, of course, never buying a waterfront property, since at this point we'll almost certainly go above 2*C.

PS. It's fascinating to see Miami real estate prices completely ignoring the incoming doom: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MIXRNSA

YjSe2GMQ··on Google Cloud Networking Incident Postmortem
While I agree it sounds like their networking modules cross-talk too much - you still need to store the networking config in some single global service (like a code version control system). And you do need to share across regions some information on cross-region link utilization.
YjSe2GMQ··on Google Cloud Networking Incident Postmortem
It's the superior format. Just like yyyy-mm-dd [hh:mm:ss.sss] is, because lexicographic string order matches the time order.
YjSe2GMQ··on Show HN: Bloom – A free and open source 'Google'
I'm 100% for progressive taxes (i.e. higher taxes on richer people). People should have decent lives even if they can't participate in the workforce/markets with great success.

Also taxes are a very successful way of dampening the inequality: https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/04/13/american...

It's just that the top 50% or top 10% or top 1% or top 0.1% will always hold disproportionate amount of wealth, and no system will change that. Under USSR the select few in the communist party had that wealth, although it wasn't expressed in dollars (or any other currency), but in the power and unquestionability of their decisions.

YjSe2GMQ··on Show HN: Bloom – A free and open source 'Google'
About the intro: how many more people (since Karl Marx) will rediscover the Pareto distribution and come to the conclusion that it should not be the case ...

It's perfectly natural, so many systems follow Pareto. From Wikipedia:

- The sizes of human settlements (few cities, many hamlets/villages)

- File size distribution of Internet traffic which uses the TCP protocol (many smaller files, few larger ones)

- Hard disk drive error rates

- Clusters of Bose–Einstein condensate near absolute zero

- The values of oil reserves in oil fields (a few large fields, many small fields)

- The length distribution in jobs assigned supercomputers (a few large ones, many small ones)

- The standardized price returns on individual stocks

- Sizes of sand particles

- The size of meteorites

- Severity of large casualty losses for certain lines of business such as general liability, commercial auto, and workers compensation.

- Amount of time a user on steam will spend playing different games. (Some games get played a lot, but most get played almost never.)

I will also add popularity of words in a language, and, the most popular instance: individual wealth distribution.

YjSe2GMQ··on The Thirty-Hour Week (1936)
I'm confused. I simply don't work over 40 hours a week (average), don't want to lower my per-hour salary. Increased compensation for overtime would be the only thing to make me work over 40 hours, I think that's fair. Genuine question: why can't you go home early?
YjSe2GMQ··on Is everything we eat associated with cancer? A systematic cookbook review
This is the big way for p-value science to fail, even if every actor is honest. It's obvious once you understand what a p-value is (it literally takes 5 seconds to understand) but nearly nobody does. Even people I've worked with at a FAANG, which you'd expect have an above average understanding of mathematics.

https://xkcd.com/882/

P values don't work at all if there's a lot of people working in a field!

YjSe2GMQ··on A 600-Page Textbook About Modern Monetary Theory Has Sold Out
It is a kind of crazy cult - believing that more money simply solves problems, and that we should have full employment. There's extensive historical record on governments going drastically for full employment:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=20065380

That being said, MMT is also similar to what Japan has done, and it caused neither recession nor growth there. I mean the Japanese central bank owns even equity ETFs, it's kind of insane. And still no results, which is even more insane:

https://www.economist.com/special-report/2018/10/11/what-to-...

YjSe2GMQ··on Generating the Mandelbrot Set
I once wrote a PostScript program that generates Mandelbrot, tuned it so that it finishes up in reasonable time, and sent to some old laser printer. On next day morning the machine finished up churning numbers and spat out a known picture.

BTW: .ps (PostScript) is a fun little stack based language, similar to JVM. Document is simply the result of the program execution. You can program it by hand, though I do not recommend anything large.

YjSe2GMQ··on Terry Pratchett warns Bill Gates about fake news (1995)
This is not true. There are fake news that have existed for thousands of years (religion), and the mass communication seems to have a negative impact even on those strongholds of fiction.
YjSe2GMQ··on Blackbird SR-71 Flight Manual (2010)
I used to fly gliders (sailplanes). There are many cases of pilots landing on trees with minimal damage, sometimes even to the glider. Of course the huge wing span helps.

Big aviation has no such procedures because crash landing a Boeing or a fighter jet is not an option. Even landing on water (perfectly doable in a glider, though all instruments will be kaput) is a huge achievement in an airliner.

YjSe2GMQ··on Tell HN: The comment tree collapser [-] is too small for mobile users
The upvote is too small too.
YjSe2GMQ··on Scene report from the Chernobyl Zone
It just means that on a long enough timeline everyone's and everything's survival rate drops to zero. For NY it may be 50 years, may be 5000 years, may be 5B years.
YjSe2GMQ··on Huawei’s Ace in the Hole: Undersea Cables
Poorly done PR.

Breaking News: The Suit is Back! http://www.paulgraham.com/submarine.html

YjSe2GMQ··on Tests that sometimes fail
You clearly have not worked on a codebase with thousands of tests. At my previous job the build system had an option to run a test N times concurrently in the cloud. I used this whenever I wanted to commit to some other project but some of their tests were garbage (to prove that test is flaky, and therefore to be ignored). You could even binary search (running 1000 times on each pivot point) to see who introduced the flakiness. Expensive but gets the job done.

In my projects I either fix the nondeterminism or delete such tests.

YjSe2GMQ··on Professional astronomers are calculating the cost of the Starlink constellation
It is much cheaper than I thought. Thanks!
YjSe2GMQ··on Professional astronomers are calculating the cost of the Starlink constellation
Touché. Where can I find such offers?
YjSe2GMQ··on Professional astronomers are calculating the cost of the Starlink constellation
While I understand this will have superb latency, it's still not clear to me why would Starlink be cheaper than existing VSAT. VSAT is quite expensive (starting from ~thousand dollars per month): http://www.melatnetworks.com/price-list.asp

Or those, with prices around 50usd/gb: https://www.vsat-systems.com/service-offerings/VAR-VNO-Deale...

Even if Starlink is 10x cheaper than existing VSAT it does not come even close to LTE cost. And we have 5g on the horizon.

YjSe2GMQ··on Robinhood Is Set to Raise at Least $200 Million in New Funding
Interactive Brokers ~23 Billion. So between the 5 companies and Robinhood the latter would take ~4% of the market cap.

It's not that much, but I feel you.

YjSe2GMQ··on Starlink – SpaceX’s broadband internet system
Apart from the launch method - how is this going to be different from existing VSAT deployments? They're quite expensive (starting from ~thousand dollars per month):

http://www.melatnetworks.com/price-list.asp

Or those, with prices around 50usd/gb:

https://www.vsat-systems.com/service-offerings/VAR-VNO-Deale...

I doubt every Tesla will have one on board. LTE is so much cheaper.

Quite useful for medium and large marine vessels, or truly remote locations tho.

YjSe2GMQ··on YC's request for startups: Government 2.0
I'm genuinely doubtful that people would want a tech-associated fund to try and mess around running the government. I mean tech doesn't get much of good press lately.

Not that I agree with that sentiment, but "something needs to be done with Facebook!" is one of the few things that both US parties seem to agree on.

YjSe2GMQ··on Quants Think Like Amateurs in China’s Wild Stock Market
Well, ASHR's price has changed by about 0% between Nov 2013 and Feb 2019, and by about 10% to this day. It was also +125% at some point. So even in the long run investing in diversified top-of-the-country-stock-market ETFs may be "just a gamble".
YjSe2GMQ··on Yes, Determinists, There Is Free Will
How is this defensible? I'm out of words.

> Indeterminism at the level of psychology is required for free will and alternative possibilities. That is entirely compatible with determinism at the fundamental physical level.

YjSe2GMQ··on SAT to Add ‘Adversity Score’ That Rates Students’ Hardships
Which is absurd, considering it's involved in college admission process.

Maybe we should also have a hidden citizen score, to be used behind the scenes in the courts of law?

YjSe2GMQ··on A critical step to reduce climate change
This is all good, but the reality is we'll not have enough renewables any time soon: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_energy_consumption

We should seriously consider solar geo-engineering. Not as the ultimate policy but to buy time.

YjSe2GMQ··on Yale's online class on “The Science of Well-Being”
It makes you feel better, even if unmeasurably. It belongs more with the arts rather than sciences - people will do it even if there's never any p-value that gets significant. The "is good for you" in the scientific sense aspect is not that important.

Again, just to stress it out - the scientific aspect is not much relevant. From the science department I only care about it not doing harm.

YjSe2GMQ··on Yale's online class on “The Science of Well-Being”
I'm doing this class and I don't think there's any essential difference between gratitude and appreciation. Call it however you want, those are just names for particular practices anyhow.
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