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That's fair. Making predictions is risky business, economist or not. https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/paul-krugman-internets-eff...

This is the opinion of Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman too, in his post Crypto is for Criming https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/crypto-is-for-criming.

I'm taking figures from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rotational_energy

Moment of inertia of the Earth: I=8.04e37

Angular velocity, with sidereal rotation period of 23.93 hours: ω0=2π/(23.93 × 3600)

Angular velocity, with sidereal rotation period of 23.93 hours plus one second: ω1=2π/(23.93 × 3600 + 1)

Rotational energy difference: .5 × I × ω0 ** 2 - .5 × I × ω1 ** 2 ≈ 4.96e+24 J

For comparison, according to https://ourworldindata.org/energy-production-consumption the total amount of energy consumed on Earth in 2023 was 180E3 TWh i.e. 6.48e+20 J

Slowing down the Earth by one second would be equivalent to 7661 times this amount.

I did not understand it that way. Putin is probably smarter than Trump (though he does not deserve to be regarded as a mastermind IMHO). The parallel I find interesting is that both are authoritarians who were helped to power by billionaires who thought it would serve their interests. We know the fate Russian “oligarchs” later met.

Garry Kasparov recently made the same connection in this piece: https://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2025/02/pu...

> Berezovsky, who elevated Putin to power from behind the scenes, was soon exiled and replaced with more compliant oligarchs. He also met a grisly end—found hanged at his Berkshire mansion at 67—a precedent that might give pause to anyone thinking of risking his business empire to play that gray-cardinal role for the likes of Trump and J. D. Vance.

> How many more billions do we need to send to ensure Russia loses? Any how many more years will it take?

You have to compare with how much will it cost if the war continues to grow in scale or intensity. Russia is dedicating more and more resources to its war machine. And I have no reason to think it will stop if Ukraine. In 2022 Putin already said he wanted NATO back to 1991, IOW he wants Eastern Europe defenseless.

Russia's economy is just the size of Spain or Italy: not negligible, but not formidable either. Europe should do more, much more, if only for its own sake.

> And what does "loss" even look like? Are you genuinely proposing they will simply pack up and head home from all captured territory?

Territorial issues are somewhat secondary. What matters is that the defeat is clear and Russia's leaders discouraged from attempting to go to war again. It happened to Russia against Japan in 1905, and to the USSR in Afghanistan. It can happen again.

It may surprise you but Russia is not winning. It has been exhausting itself for no measurable benefit, at the cost for US taxpayers of roughly a coffee per day.

Up to now, Ukraine has never received the support it would need to win, just enough not to lose. Weapons deliveries been too little, too late, making the war longer and bloodier than it needs to be. In the meantime domestic production has increased to the point Ukraine covers 30% of its needs.

Russia has lost other wars, it can and should lose this one.

The Ukrainians want this war to end, too. The difference is that they want to survive as a nation, so how the war ends matters.

Plus if Russia wins, its appetite will only grow, and another war is just a matter of time.

It goes beyond that:

- https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c7435pnle0go US sides with Russia in UN resolutions on Ukraine (the US rejected a resolution that named Russia as the aggressor).

- https://news.online.ua/en/the-us-is-ending-support-for-ukrai... The US is ending support for Ukrainian F-16

- https://www.reuters.com/world/us-cuts-off-intelligence-shari... US cuts intelligence sharing for Ukraine, adding pressure for Russia peace deal

- https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-08/us-vetoes... US Vetoes G-7 Shadow Fleet Task Force Plan

There's a pattern: Trump wants to force a capitulation of Ukraine.

These bankrupt theories have been debunked long ago. The other comments in reply to yours did that well. The first video is literally Putin speaking, the second one is a list of Kremlin talking points, just with an Indian voice.

The term “NATO expansion” for example, is propaganda. Countries that had suffered under the Russian/Soviet oppression looked for protection when the USSR collapsed and requested to join the alliance.

Are you calling on russia to stop its aggression and return to its borders? If not you're not against war, just on the aggressor's side.

This. If NATO countries threatened anything, it's russian imperialism, by having the ability to defend themselves.

This is russian propaganda and it is important to know what it says, to be able to recognize it when you see it elsewhere, from the mouth of an influencer, a politician, a comment on the Web etc.

Then why sabotage the help European nations give to Ukraine?

One example: https://news.online.ua/en/the-us-is-ending-support-for-ukrai...

The US did not give a single fighter aircraft to Ukraine, not even under Biden. These come from inventories of EU states.

There is still some economic pressure that could be applied on Russia but the Trump admin is rejecting that. https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-08/us-vetoes...

There is a clear pattern at this point. Every move Trump has made since taking power has harmed Ukraine, favored Russia, or both.

> China is on Trump's enemy list

I hear that a lot, but is it true? I don't see signs that this Admin is doing anything to prepare for a confrontation with the PRC; rather, signs of the contrary: TikTok ban reversed, conciliatory tone towards Xi, talk about a 50% reduction in defense spending, even nuclear disarmament, not to mention the mess DOGE is doing at the DoD. And Musk has significant exposure in China.

Of course, I'll be glad to stand corrected if I missed something.

New features are not cost-free. They translate to increased code size, increased browser build time and decreased performance. At some point the maintenance burden becomes too high, even for Google. I don't think they have an interest in endlessly adding new features.

Thanks.

While the primary meaning of 'marcher' is 'to walk', it can be used for machines and vehicles indeed. 'Rouler' is for vehicles only. Interestingly in English the verb 'to run' is used, suggesting higher speed.

The expression “to work better” is quite common but I don't remember seeing “to work less well”. And as I was taught that « plus grand » translates to “taller” but « moins grand » to “not as tall as”, I expected something more involved.

I'm not sure how to translate this line: « Ah ben maintenant elle va marcher beaucoup moins bien, forcément ! » (Bourvil reportedly improvised it, causing de Funès to start laughing and bow his head to hide it).

Google Translate: “Ah well now it’s going to work a lot less well, of course!”

Deepl:

- It's going to work much less well.

- It's going to run much less smoothly.

- It's going to run a lot less smoothly.

None of these suggestions sounds good to me (in case it isn't clear I'm not a native English speaker).

Plays fine in France.

I am all for securing critical IT infrastructure, I think we agree on that.

Hostile powers will exploit any vulnerability they can find. In democracies, ordinary citizens are a target. In Romania an election was annulled, and TikTok specifically named in the investigation: https://apnews.com/article/romania-election-president-george...

Therefore I think we should not underestimate this threat. I admit that doing this in a way that preserves fundamental freedoms is not easy, and I don't claim to have the answer. Consider freedom of movement: few people seriously deny the need for passport checks on international borders.

To make the life of hostile foreign powers harder? Currently they are allowed to run code written by them on the devices of unsuspecting citizens, and curate the content these citizens watch.

The argument sounds like a non sequitur: because we cannot defend against all threats, we should not defend against any threat.

> On December 8, 2024, Treasury was notified by a third-party software service provider, BeyondTrust, that a threat actor had gained access to a key used by the vendor to secure a cloud-based service used to remotely provide technical support for Treasury Departmental Offices (DO) end users.

Reminiscent of the SolarWinds compromise.

Agreed.

None of what I mentioned necessarily implies a war crime, as far as I know.

Most EU countries banned certain categories of weapons like cluster munitions and antipersonnel mines, and as a result were unable to provide them to Ukraine. russia had no such qualms. Fortunately non-EU countries were able to supply Ukraine with these useful weapons: the EU was dependent on non-EU countries for its security.

Had russia attacked a NATO country of the EU directly, said country would have been at a disadvantage.

There have been reports of experiments with autonomous drones in the russia-Ukraine war.

If the EU bans AI for military uses and our adversaries do not, I am afraid someday we will regret our mistake. But it will be too late.

Twitter mobs may be unpleasant but calling this “totalitarian control” is a stretch. Keep this word for places with near-zero individual freedom, death camps, torture chambers, mass graves etc.

As if threats from Russia and its partners (China, Iran and North Korea) weren't bad enough, Team Trump threaten Greenland and Canada these days. Divisions within NATO is the last thing its members need at the moment.

There is more truth than I previously thought in the phrase “Europeans are vegetarians in a world of carnivores.”

Unfortunately these kernels look very old:

- https://github.com/OpenIPC/linux/tree/ingenic-t31: v3.10.14

- https://github.com/OpenIPC/linux/tree/ingenic-t40: v4.4.94

etc.

That's the problem with vendors forking the kernel: downstream users are often left with unmaintained branches that will accumulate CVEs over time...

> I notice that the Latin of this inscription is very messy

To a modern eye (like mine), other examples of Roman cursive look hard to read as well: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roman_cursive

Another data point. When Musk bought twitter and started wrecking it, several people I followed created an account on blue sky but most did not use it that much. This seems to have changed over the past week (i.e. after the US election). Dozens of users have moved, pro-Ukraine people in particular. Some double post. As certain content creators move, others do the same, amplifying the trend. It's interesting to see network effects at play.