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altarius

198 karma · joined November 11, 2014

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altarius··on Bicycle Recommendations
I bought a carbon fiber framed Trek Remedy enduro/all mountain bike and repaired a fist size hole/delamination in the downtube at home for about $50 in materials [1]. Five years later it's also fine.

And I've taken the bike off 6ft drops and ridden it decently hard most of it's restored life.

CF repair can be done and plenty strong, it's just more risky because the properties aren't isotropic and simple like steel/alu so you can't just weld in a piece of metal of roughly the same thickness. I would not want to repair a bike I don't ride myself.

[1] https://medium.com/@fixingthings/fixing-a-trek-remedy-29-9-8... (yes, sorry it's medium)

altarius··on The unlimited storage that Google promised my university is being discontinued
My guess is where it's been going for a while, in line with the signals sent by hiring their new CFO - juicing shareholder value by cost-cutting now that the easy gains have been had and "natural growth" is slowing.
altarius··on iPhone Macro: A Big Day for Small Things
I think you are talking past each other, depth-of-field is dependent on the physical aperture not "F-Stops", which are often also called "aperture". Yes, afaik it's derived from single-element lenses but so are most other measures, and I'd be surprised if a real lens behaved different (at least in the center).

Your 35mm f/1.4 lens has a physical aperture of 35mm/1.4 = 25mm, so the equivalent 70mm lens with a 25mm aperture would have an F-stop of f/2.8. Hmm, can't think of many modern 70mm lenses besides Sigma's 70mm/2.8 macro which should have the same DoF, or if it's a standard zoom they should have equivalent DoF as well (unless it's Canon's f/2 zoom).

The (acceptable) depth-of-field is derived from blur-disk diameter, and the circle-of-confusion, for an object at a certain distance from subject ("point of focus") and relies only on physical aperture and distance to subject as stated (or alternatively, f-stop _and_ focal-length, because "phys. aperture = focal-length / f-stop").

altarius··on M1 MacBook Users Say Their Screens Are Cracking for “No Apparent Reason”
IBM/Lenovo and Apple are the manufacturers I've had the best luck with -- despite the crappy keyboard on my 2015 15-MBP was failing and replaced and issues on my 2019 MBA. They are the only laptops that still feel mechanically good after 3-5 years, no creaky, failed or sloppy hinges, sloppy lids and parts falling off. Actually, my Google Pixelbook is also still decent after all this time.

I still have a 13-year old 24" iMac from 2008 that is working fine and used to let kids watch some Netflix, I only jsut retired it because streaming sites dropped support for the OS and browsers.

I have a 2010 Macbook Air on its original (but limping) battery that I used to use for serial comms and electronics stuff, still working fine. Besides the failing GPU, my old 2009 and 2011 iMacs run well (and some amazing folks figured out how to replace the MXM which I did, baking also worked).

My Samsung, even Microsoft Surface Pros, were pretty creaky and sloppy after about 3 years.

altarius··on Limitations of the Electronic Shutter Function (2016)
It stems from the mechanical shutter not being completely "flush" with the sensor and some oblique rays illuminating "under" the shutter near the edges, this is supposed to even out with two curtain shutters, but no light can get past the efcs.

There are a couple threads on DPR, I found this real quick: https://www.dpreview.com/forums/post/59542514

altarius··on Bitcoin Ownership Is Not Highly Concentrated. But Whales Are Accumulating
The prices are sort of set at the margins. There was a study a while ago that a relatively minor amount of actual cash can move the btc price (a couple million, despite market cap then in the billions) by carefully driving it up.

I don't know what they're currently printing weekly, but afair they print a billion or so every couple weeks when they're really at it, that's probably enough to substantially move the market, or at least support it.

What happens when there's no more $1B over a few weeks to support BTC when the price is under pressure next time?

I'm not saying that's necessarily the case but the problem with tether and how it's used is potentially much bigger than the market cap indicates.

altarius··on It’s time for a new, progressive supply-side economics
Agreed, what I see in that chart are mostly those US industries that managed to co-opt government policies for subsidies (college loans, mortgage deductions) or regulations (healthcare).

Why is the opposite of "bad government" always "no government" and not sometimes just "better government"?

altarius··on BioNTech CEO applies Covid-19 vaccine's mRNA tech to multiple sclerosis
It reads like the immune isn't forgetting anything, they just "flood" the system with the proteins that the antibodies would normally attack in nerve cells or brain, thus giving the antibodies another target to "keep them busy".

It sounds like they are creating large quantities of the "offending" protein via the vaccine mNRA mechanism in normal cells. Normally the antibodies/T-cells would attack the myelin coating of nerves and the brain but with the protein being abundantly available anywhere the immune cells are "kept occupied" and leave nerves and brain alone.

If this treatment works as I understand, you would need continuous refreshers each time the mRNA injection is depleted.

altarius··on Are Experts Real?
One of my problems with this line of argument is that it provides a sort relativism of opinion, every opinion is just as valid as any other. And then you're at post-truth and post-fact sadly...

If Carlsen is a fake, so is every chess player he has ever played, the whole system? Epidemiologists lied about masks (or they really didn't know better 3-5 months into the pandemic, also not good), discount everything else said? I've heard these arguments often lately :/

Experts not being "real" implies that there's no absolute expertise whatsoever and implicitly legitimizes dismissing any argument whatsoever on a single failure and allows people to believe that any opinion (including their own) is just as valid. I think this is in part to blame for our "post-fact/post-truth" phenomenon. Many people decide experts or government were wrong/have lied before and can no longer be trusted. And when an outsider comes along with contrarian but convenient ideas, why not believe them, nobody else is to be trusted after all and every opinion is valid.

Any expert opinion can be wrong but the prior is that an expert opinion is much more likely to be correct than your own, or a politician's, or a blogger's.

NB: I want to note that the author's point is much more nuanced and (more importantly!) narrow, but it's not evident from the title or a superficial reading.

altarius··on 'Big Short' investor predicts Tesla stock will collapse like the housing bubble
How is Tesla's gross margin different from e.g. BMW or Daimler? A quick googling showed gross profit margins around 20% around 2015-2017, it was even around 24% in 2007 for Daimler.

Maybe there's some accounting subtlety I am missing here (or is "gross margin" != "gross profit margin"?).

altarius··on ZeroPi – $9.99 SBC with 512MB and Gigabit Ethernet
Thanks, I just did!

Looks like a ZWO ASI294 MC could be interesting. It's "only" Micro 4/3 and $700 in the cheapest config but having USB-3 and drivers may be what I was looking for.

Full-frame astro cameras are unfortunately around $5k+ (albeit with a resolution similar to a $3.5k A7RIV).

altarius··on UK formally leaves European Union after 48 years
Nothing like diversionary foreign policy :/

The EU has really been quite a convenient scapegoat, not just in the UK. I wonder if politicians on all sides will/can continue to blame the EU now that the UK has "full control". I have a feeling that, yes, they will.

As much as I consider myself a pan-European, the European institutions, governance and government unfortunately make for a (mostly deservedly) great political target.

altarius··on Israeli startup claims Covid-19 likely originated in a lab, willing to bet on it
Looking at the report, most of the likelihood is from a single "prior".

The whole likelihood basically hinges on the fact that the outbreak occurred in Wuhan and that the Wuhan Institute of Virology has been working for decades on enhancing coronavirus strains. That's quite strongly circumstantial but it's not evidence. Possible chimerization and furin-cleavage insertion seem a lot more interesting imo but are weighted much lower.

Based on their report [1], most of the likelihood of lab-escape (almost 50x weight) just stems from the fact that the outbreak is in Wuhan. They state that it's because of the proximity to Wuhan Institute of Virology (WIV) and the lab's gain-of-function research - only one of 5 locations world-wide.

That single "bullet-point" re-weights zoonotic origin from 97% to 56% and lab-escape from 1.4% to 42%. Otherwise their final likelihoods would be: "zoonotic" 85.5%, "lab-escape" 8.5%, "bioweapon" 6%.

[1] https://www.rootclaim.com/analysis/what-is-the-source-of-cov...

altarius··on ZeroPi – $9.99 SBC with 512MB and Gigabit Ethernet
Yea, I would love a high quality sensor that's "programmer accessible". Too bad that nobody besides raspberry pi foundation even attempts that.
altarius··on ZeroPi – $9.99 SBC with 512MB and Gigabit Ethernet
You may underestimate how expensive imaging sensors are in low quantities, a sensor available in single quantities at mouser is the cmosis cmv1200 apsc sensor for $1600-1800 a piece, full frame cmv5000 is $5000+ afair. A whole ecosystem probably wouldn't get the quantities.
altarius··on Preliminary genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in the UK
From what I've read so far, the structure of spike proteins seems to not have change, the virus just expresses many more spike proteins on its viral shell requiring more antibodies to neutralize and possibly allowing easier ACE2 docking.
altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
I loved your Leica Q writeup and have been contemplating one ever since.
altarius··on iPhone 12 Pro Max Camera Review: Zion NP
I don't know, Austin Mann took some amazing photos in his previous camera reviews, but this time I'm not so impressed. The saturation in the fall tree and water shots is just somehow weirdly off the charts and the night photos look almost like impressionist paintings (nonetheless a great achievement with such a small sensor).

His photos from Rwanda with the iPhone 7 just looked so much more natural and "real" [1].

[1] http://austinmann.com/trek/iphone-7-camera-review-rwanda

altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
They don't even need to go full smartphone processor and OS, adding something GPGPU-esque to offload the computations to would work. Deep Neural Nets brought us many "edge TPUs", I don't see why they wouldn't equally work to process images quickly and they're reprogrammable.
altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
Ohh, I just remembered the long-delayed Zeiss ZX1 ($6000 fixed-lens 35mm f/2.0 camera) that has Adobe Lightroom built in. I like the concept, I bet the implementation is quite flawed though.

If I were spending that money on a fixed-lens camera, it'd be a Leica Q (thanks, craigmod :/ ) but the concept is interesting.

altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
RAW is supposed to be the data that the sensor captures (well, today that's more or less true). The actual images saved on phone/SD (JPEG or HEIC or whatever) are just processed RAWs with some destructive presets (WB, contrast curve, sharpening, color tone-mapping, ...) applied and written out to storage. Some of these presets are destructive (gamma curves, bit-depth reduction for JPEG) and cannot be undone.

So of course RAW doesn't make for better photos, but for original input data to do your own edit on. If you don't know how to edit, you're probably better off with the experience/work that the manufacturer put into the in-camera presets.

In my opinion the main advantage is that RAW files save the full color-depth info _and_ RAW files are not gamma-mapped (i.e. linear encoded), that enables all of your use-cases above. You would still get 90% of that advantage if you were to demosaic, color correct to a profile-connection-space but keep the linear encoding and original 12-16 bit depth, even if you were to compress that data via DCT/JPEG to save space. That's sort of what ProRAW is.

altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
AFAIK a good chunk of digital camera processing is still done in ASIC/hardware and mindshift to GPU/CPU SIMD/software will take time, so it will probably be a while until camera manufacturers even begin to catch up.

That said, Olympus does a couple computational photography approaches (handheld multishot high res) and Fuji recently introduced in-camera HDR - but I tried neither.

altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
You're right, my point was a little lost in my long-winded answer.

RAW files just give you more latitude after the fact, and editing can either really eek out the last 20% or allow the photographer to better express their "artistic vision" and achieve a look (eg split toning or color grading). All this worked before on jpegs even, but raw just closes the camera/smartphone gap a tad bit more - especially when it's easily available to everyone.

You might be right that it's currently a niche, but if the UX improves, widespread adoption might happen.

altarius··on Understanding ProRAW
Honestly, I went out to Marin Headlands this morning to photograph the sunrise, brought my 60mpix fullframe camera and some amazing lenses. But while waiting for the best light or long exposures I snap off a couple pictures on the phone. And I was just thinking, if I'd just post to Instagram and not print, I probably wouldn't even bother with the fullframe camera - a nice hike without 20lbs of gear and as great photos if you don't need the resolution/detail. HDR+ and the other computational photography goodness makes for great photos straight out of the phone and a tiny bit of editing then goes long way.

I bet if you showed 20 non-photographers 2 images a phone screen, one from the phone and one fullframe edited, most wouldn't appreciate the difference.

That said, I wouldn't give up my camera for many shots but I can understand why many people do. Post-processing camera raws is definitely more cumbersome than quickly editing photos on a phone.

altarius··on Heavy is the Head that wears the AirPods Max
The same mentality is widespread in photography, heavier metal construction (even though often just exterior shell and interior is polycarbonate) and weight are associated with quality and longevity. But it's starting to change as more lenses are exclusively made from "engineered plastics" - a marketing term to make these new lenses sound better.

OTOH, those robust lenses from the 50s to early 80s survived until today and are often still used and adapted on modern mirrorless cameras.

altarius··on Germany cut fossil fuels as much as did the U.S., but at far greater expense
Agree on the high prices, don't agree that "Energiewende" was necessarily bad for the poorest Germans, exactly because it's a "comfy welfare state". Society decided it was worth the cost and they're paying it.

Just want to point out that, if I'm not mistaken, at that point only heating was covered by welfare but not electricity. In case anyone assumed it should have been covered by welfare and ppl somehow still got cut off.

The point was that high energy prices do not necessarily mean that more people are without power or that the poor are necessarily worse off - like everything it's a broader societal issue.

Btw, I do agree on the disadvantage for energy intensive industries. Industry power prices there are ~3x US prices afaict.

altarius··on Every Model Learned by Gradient Descent Is Approximately a Kernel Machine
I don't think the output of the conversion is guaranteed to be equivalent to a hyperplane learned by an SVM.

I didn't have time to read the paper, but reading the abstract I don't see a claim that the gradient descent model approximated by a kernel machine is equivalent to an optimal fit obtained by SVM maximum margin hyperplane fitting.

I assume one likely ends up with different hyperplane fits from converting a NN/gradient-desc-learned model to kernel machine vs learning a kernel machine directly via SVM learning.

altarius··on Germany cut fossil fuels as much as did the U.S., but at far greater expense
"Yes, many are. And then there are those, that are a bit more cash strapped (like the 300k households cut off from electricity each year) or work in energy intensive industries fearing for their jobs."

I don't think the US collects national stats but it sounds like Germany is pretty average in terms of "energy cost burden" amongst European countries. [1]

I found stats for CA AND TX, 700k/40M disconnected in CA in 2016 and 900k/30M in Texas vs Germany 330k/81M - for whatever it's worth, didn't check methodologies. [2]

[1] https://energytransition.org/2017/11/is-33000-german-househo...

[2] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-10-13/in-great-....

altarius··on Germany cut fossil fuels as much as did the U.S., but at far greater expense
If I ran the numbers right, only about 15% of the energy consumed in the US is produced in the form of electricity (4,127 billion kWh vs 100.2 quadrillion Btu consumed, 1kWh ~ 3400 Btu).

So going 100% renewable or nuclear for electricity production wouldnt' even make more than 15% difference.

I wonder what causes all that additional energy consumption from fossil fuel sources then? I always blindly assumed ~50% of our energy consumption is in the form of electricity. Cars and transportation, heating are obvious but I wouldn't expect that to account for such a large share. Does industry use so much fossil fuel for energy?

altarius··on Germany cut fossil fuels as much as did the U.S., but at far greater expense
So first, the headline seems to be based on "primary energy supply" - I assume that includes transportation, vehicles, heating and so on. Even if Germany went 100% renewable/nuclear for electricity they'd still be at ~60% fossil fuels in "primary energy shares" (from spit-balling the figures). I think that comparison was chosen to make the German "Energiewende" look worse, it does better when just looking at energy production.

If we look at electricity shares, then Germany did better albeit still at an undeniably high cost.

And second, as has been discussed in another article shared on HN - Germany bank-rolled a lot of the solar "virtuous cycle" and China's solar industry. Now any following country can just follow suit and achieve the same carbon goals much cheaper, even if they 100% follow what Germans did, because the technology is more familiar and manufacturing is more efficient. Kind of a "first-mover disadvantage". Though I think many Germans are ok with financing many of the advances in renewables.

Edit: I forgot to add, this time period also coincides with Germany's prompt/hasty nuclear exit after Fukushima which was expensive but quite popular.

The two very last graphs on energy production mix show that the US mostly increased natural gas for coal and Germany renewables for nuclear, and then the last few years finally renewables for coal.

There seems to be an acceleration of renewables adoption in the last 3 years and Germany decreed to exit coal-based energy production by 2038 afaik.

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