544 karma · joined January 25, 2015
People don't like to hear it, but it is pretty factual that the more of a society's money gets plucked out of the main economy and centrally spent and distributed by its government, it tends to lower economic growth, and similarly for being over-regulated.
People can argue, but we have a realtime. experiment in the form of Argentina in front of us right now to prove these ideas.
Other success stories could be plucked from recent history, as right now these ideas are not so popular.
People want to hate the rich, and figjt inequality much more than they want tk reduce absolute poverty or increase economic growth.
One can sacrifice a lot of growth to boost equality. So it's a matter of what people want to prioritize.
Of course, now that most people have bought into money laundering, the goal posts are now getting moved that any attempt at privacy can be considered illegal.
You use or provide a messaging service that has unbreakable privacy - we'll make this a crime too!
Why should it be illegal to use a crypto tumbler/mixer service?
Oh because some people use it for crimes.
Then arrest the CEOs of gun companies, because guns can be used to commit crimes!
The fantassy that one can pay for wellfare by only taxing the rich more or by reducing their loopholes is a pipedream.
Or you could have a society with very low taxes and very low to none social programs, especially if your government doesn't love fighting expensive wars all the time.
Wars and wellfare programs are all very expensive. Even miserly wellfare programs like what the US got is creating some real debt default risk over there.
I think everyone is probably onboard with safety and civil rights, but why is EQUITY a specific requirement the government wants to push into all AI's?
Why is this OK, considering that equity, as opposed to equality is a term with a very specific academic and politcal definition that is quite divisive and almost certainly not something that most people will typically agree on, one that I personally find hugely sinister.
A widely used definition of "Equity" from the first page of google:
"Whereas equality means providing the same to all, equity means recognizing that we do not all start from the same place and must acknowledge and make adjustments to imbalances."
Basically it means trying to play favorites in order to compensate for unfairness in society instead of treating everyone equally.
Seems pretty disgusting to me, although I'm sure many people think the opposite.
What should be clear is that this is NOT a universally accepted value shared by all, so why is it a cornerstone foundation of AI evaluation pushed by the government?
I'm surprised people think this article doesn't have much important to say. I suspect their code probably crashes a lot in production, and will still kill many startups or otherwise end up destroying significant amounts of shareholder value.
They think the article is banal and obvious. They will not really take the key insights to heart and truly live it.
Crowdstrike is the perfect example of this!!!
And for every crowdstrike there are tons of startups that don't make the news but ends up burning their early adopter users through inability to deal with bugs properly, delay their own success unnecessarily or even turns what would have been massive business successes into technical morasses. Imagine failing to capture your businesses full potential because of a bad approach to software defects!
I must be honest, if someone approached me with that attitude that would probably be the end of talks.
This explains the research that shows why far left world improver types often have above average levels of dark triad personality types in their ranks.
My suggestion is: "Clean your room" - i. e. get rid of resentment and the desire to control others and rather fix your own life and use that as the starting point for being the change you want to see ripple out into the world.
It ignores the reality of power, it neglects questions of equity, and its policy recommendations can be "little more than a license for plunder."
In other words, economics is not about social justice, it's about optimal allocation of resources, how markets set prices, and what makes economies grow or not, productivity and efficiency.
So economics haven't placed marxist clads struggles at it's center, therefore it is in "disarray"
Because most programmers are NOT master programmers, they just bang out code that is a means to an end - bang out code that other people cannot read and immediately retrieve the highlevel concepts that sits behind it.
Master programmers instead make sure that at the highest level the code first explicitly encodes the conceptual design, and then at a lower level of abstraction does all the necessary things that let the code actually produce the required program result.
A master programmer never divorces the logical conceptuap structure ("the theory" in the terminology of this article) from the implementation code.
Most peogrammers however bang on code in ways that quickly and radically diverge from the conceptual design, and they don't care because as long as the program produces the desired results, the code is "perfect" in their minds, never mind that they themselves won't be able to understand the code they wrote today in six months time!
A master programmer can go back to a code base that he hasn't seen in 10 years, and be be productive on it within an hour, because all the core concepts ("the theory") is explicitly encoded in the program source code.
Blaming forrest fires on global warming when ignoring lapses in forrest management, seems a bit problematic too.
After listening to both experts and sceptics as much as I can, all I can say is I don't know for sure, but my suspicion is that scepticism is healthy to keep.
Whenever people insist the debate is settled, or that there is not time for debate, be extra sceptical.
Otherwise, for me, I tried to get really deep into the guts of this, to try and figure out what is really true, and determined it impossible for me at this time.
I did find a ton of lies and bad arguments, quite a bit of it on the 'official position'.
All I can say is, if you really care about the environment, don't use lies and dishonest arguments to win in the moment, you just turn off more people from wanting to support you.
I don't have my huge stacks of notes anymore, a Phd in Chemical Engineering friend who is very pro the official position had to concede that I had indeed demonstrated important peer reviewed published lies/deceptions in a few instances.
Haven't touched the field in many years.
I was just curious about the question, can a generally inteligent person with a basic science knowledge build up from first principles and eventually properly. understand climate change and determine beyond a shadow of a doubt what is true?
So far, I have to remain agnostic on this question.
Which is itself a dire warning to a field that claims so much certainty when making trillion dollar policy recommendations.