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andy12_

508 karma · joined April 1, 2024

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andy12_··on Spanish track was fractured before high-speed train disaster, report finds
Which is a problem that would have been prevented had they not purposefully disabled the ERTMS signaling system to avoid delays.
andy12_··on Prism
In my experience of using it to translate ML work between English->Spanish|Galician, it seems to literally translate jargon too eagerly, to the point that I have to tell it to maintain specific terms in English to avoid it sounding too weird (for most modern ML jargon there really isn't a Spanish translation).
andy12_··on Unrolling the Codex agent loop
> how poor the code actually is.

Very probably. Apparently, it's literally implemented with a React->Text pipeline and it was so badly implemented that they were having problems with the garbage collector executing too frequently.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46699072#46701013

andy12_··on GPTZero finds 100 new hallucinations in NeurIPS 2025 accepted papers
> However: we do not know if these are the only errors, they are merely a signature that the paper was submitted without being thoroughly checked for hallucinations

Given how stupidly tedious and error-prone citations are, I have no trouble believing that the citation error could be the only major problem with the paper, and that it's not a sign of low quality by itself. It would be another matter entirely if we were talking about something actually important to the ideas presented in the paper, but it isn't.

andy12_··on High-speed train collision in Spain kills at least 39
The most important context is this image[1] from the Guardia Civil. Using Google Maps, and using as context the tree, post and yellow connection box in the image, we can place its location at 180m before the accident in the tracks of the Iryo train. The image appears to show a track welding failure. This would match the reports of some passengers[2] that reported that the "train started shaking violently" before the accident.

Photo at 38.00771000519087, -4.565435982666953

Accident at 38.009292813090475, -4.564960554581273

[1] https://img2.rtve.es/im/16899875/?w=900

[2] https://x.com/eleanorinthesky/status/2012961856520917401?s=2...

andy12_··on Predicting OpenAI's ad strategy
Because AGI is still some years away even if you are optimistic; and OpenAI must avoid going to the ground in the meantime due to lack of revenue. Selling ads and believing that AGI is reachable in the near future is not incompatible.
andy12_··on TimeCapsuleLLM: LLM trained only on data from 1800-1875
> I don't entirely understand your extreme optimism towards LLMs given this proclivity for hallucination

Simply because I don't see hallucinations as a permanent problem. I see that models keep improving more and more in this regard, and I don't see why the hallucination rate can't be abirtrarily reduced with further improvements to the architecture. When I ask Claude about obscure topics, it correctly replies "I don't know", where past models would have hallucinated an answer. When I use GPT 5.2-thinking for my ML research job, I pretty much never encounter hallucinations.

andy12_··on TimeCapsuleLLM: LLM trained only on data from 1800-1875
The problem is that so far, SOTA generalist models are not excellent at just one particular task. They have a very wide range of tasks they are good at, and good scores in one particular benchmarks correlates very strongly with good scores in almost all other benchmarks, even esoteric benchmarks that AI labs certainly didn't train against.

I'm sure, without any uncertainty, that any generalist model able to do what Einstein did would be AGI, as in, that model would be able to perform any cognitive task that an intelligent human being could complete in a reasonable amount of time (here "reasonable" depends on the task at hand; it could be minutes, hours, days, years, etc).

andy12_··on TimeCapsuleLLM: LLM trained only on data from 1800-1875
I think the problem is the formulation "If so, AGI can't be far behind". I think that if a model were advanced enough such that it could do Einstein's job, that's it; that's AGI. Would it be ASI? Not necessarily, but that's another matter.
andy12_··on Google's Universal Commerce Protocol aims to make shopping AI-native
Is it that weird that AI agents (and arguably also humans) are faster and more efficient to use if standardized APIs/UIs are available?
andy12_··on Google AI Studio is now sponsoring Tailwind CSS
This is probably related to this [1] if anyone is wondering.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46527950

andy12_··on Trump says Venezuela’s Maduro captured after strikes
> then you have an extremely biased sample to gauge the overall mood of their populace.

I think that if a good chunk of the people that don't agree with their government are basically forced to emigrate you don't get to turn around and say "See, everyone that remains loves the government!"

andy12_··on OpenAI's cash burn will be one of the big bubble questions of 2026
Because the general idea here is that image and video models, when scaled way up, can generalize like text models did[1], and eventually be treated as "world models"[2]; models that can accurately model real world processes. These "world models" then could be used to train embodied agents with RL in an scalable way[3]. The video-slop and image-slop generators is just a way to take advantage of the current research in world models to get more out of it.

[1] https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.20328

[2] https://deepmind.google/blog/genie-3-a-new-frontier-for-worl...

[3] https://arxiv.org/pdf/2509.24527

andy12_··on Show HN: Z80-μLM, a 'Conversational AI' That Fits in 40KB
This is extremely similar to Karpathy's idea of a "cognitive core" [1]; an extremely small model with near-0 encyclopedic knowledge and basic reasoning and tool-use capabilities.

[1] https://x.com/karpathy/status/1938626382248149433

andy12_··on Rob Pike got spammed with an AI slop "act of kindness"
In which sense is it regulated? Are they regulated in any way that matters for this discussion? Have their ecological consequences been avoided by regulation? The oil and gas industries continue to be the biggest culprits of climate change, and that cannot be changed by law.

If data centers were "regulated" would that make you happy? Even if those data centers continued to use the same amount of electricity and the same amount of water?

andy12_··on Rob Pike got spammed with an AI slop "act of kindness"
If you were capable of time travel and you could go to the past and convince world government of the evil oil and gas industries, and that their expansion should be prevented, would you have done it? Would you have prevented the technological and sociatal advances that came from oil and gas to avoid their ecological consequences?

If you answer yes, I don't think we can agree on anything. If you answer no, I think you are a hypocrite.

andy12_··on Rob Pike got spammed with an AI slop "act of kindness"
I don't care about the supposed ecological consequences of AI. If we need more water, we build more desalination plants. If we need more electricity, we build more nuclear reactors.

This is purely a technological problem and not a moral one.

andy12_··on The dawn of a world simulator
You just have to extrapolate the improvements in consistency in image model from the last couple of years and apply it to these kinds of video models. When in a couple of years they can generate consistent videos of many physical phenomena such that they are nearly indistinguishably from reality, you'll se why they are called "world models".
andy12_··on Universal Reasoning Model (53.8% pass 1 ARC1 and 16.0% ARC 2)
I remember doing this kind of test in a vanilla transformer trained on my laptop on a small text dataset. I basically added N^3 attention where each layer could pay attention to previous layers. It didn't improve anything and was much slower.

Hard to say whether something scales or not from a couple dozen million parameters to an actual billion-sized model, but I have the impression that the nature of the residual stream and its high dimensionality allows any layer to access information of previous layers if the transformers needs it.

andy12_··on Structured outputs create false confidence
It seems like this could be solved by partial structured output, where the structure of the JSON itself is constrained, but the values of the JSON entries is not (so even if "quantity" here is set to int, the model can output "52.2"). Of course, we would need additional parsing, but I think it's a fair compromise.

And about structured outputs messing with chain-of-thought... Is CoT really used with normal models nowadays? I think that if you need CoT you might as well use a reasoning model, and that solves the problem.

andy12_··on Gemini 3 Flash: Frontier intelligence built for speed
I'm confused about the "Accuracy vs Cost" section. Why is Gemini 3 Pro so cheap? It's basically the cheapest model in the graph (sans Llama 4 and Mistral Large 3) by a wide margin, even compared to Gemini 3 Flash. Is that an error?
andy12_··on Can You Learn to See Without Images? Procedural Warm-Up for Vision Transformers
Transformers show remarkable versatility across domains, suggesting the existence of inductive biases beneficial across modalities. In this work, we explore a new way to instil such generic biases in vision transformers (ViTs) by pretraining on procedurally-generated data devoid of visual or semantic content. We generate this data with simple algorithms such as formal grammars, so the results bear no relationship to either natural or synthetic images. We use this procedurally-generated data to pretrain ViTs in a warm-up phase that bypasses their visual patch embedding mechanisms, thus encouraging the models to internalise abstract computational priors. When followed by standard image-based training, this warm-up significantly improves data efficiency, convergence speed, and downstream performance. On ImageNet-1k for example, allocating just 1% of the training budget to procedural data improves final accuracy by over 1.7%. In terms of its effect on performance, 1% procedurally generated data is thus equivalent to 28% of the ImageNet-1k data. These findings suggest a promising path toward new data-efficient and domain-agnostic pretraining strategies.
andy12_··on Google Titans architecture, helping AI have long-term memory
Kind-of. You could theoretically use LoRA for this, in fact, but it probably wouldn't have enough capacity to make it a proper substitute of the attention mechanism. Instead a full MLP is trained as input chunks get processed.
andy12_··on Google Titans architecture, helping AI have long-term memory
This is an oversimplification of what Titans does. The model performs nested learned, where the model learns during inference, and during training the model weights learn _how and what_ to learn during inference. If the input contains junk of irrelevant information, the model most likely learned during training to assign low surprise query and key embeddings to those tokens, because learning those junk tokens would have hurt the overall ability of the model to predict subsequent next tokens (and thus, it would have had increased the training loss).
andy12_··on Gemini 3 Pro: the frontier of vision AI
That's weird, from my own tests Nano banana pro has no problem generating complex infographics with legible text.
andy12_··on Gemini 3 Pro: the frontier of vision AI
No, the "large _language_ model" name is a misnomer nowadays. Some time ago it was indeed common to get a pure-text model and inject embeddings from a separately trained image-encoder (which generated "meh" results), but current natively multi-modal models are pre-trained with both text and images from the ground-up. That's why they are so much better at image understanding.

> Gemini models are trained on a dataset that is both multimodal and multilingual. Our pre-training dataset uses data from web documents, books, and code, and includes image, audio, and video data.

https://arxiv.org/pdf/2312.11805

andy12_··on DeepSeekMath-V2: Towards Self-Verifiable Mathematical Reasoning
Do note that that is a different model. The one we are talking about here, DeepSeekMath-V2, is indeed overcooked with math RL. It's so eager to solve math problems, that it even comes up with random ones if you prompt it with "Hello".

https://x.com/AlpinDale/status/1994324943559852326?s=20

andy12_··on Gemini 3
You might not believe this, but there are a lot of people (me included) that were extremely excited about the Gemini 3 release and are pleased to see the SOTA benchmark results, and this is reflected in the comments.
andy12_··on Open-source Zig book
For my part, I don't know why, but Zig's syntax feels wrong to me. I don't even know why. I really want to like its syntax, as Zig seems really promising to me, but I just don't, which makes it not very enjoyable for me to write.

I don't know if it's my lack of practice, but I never felt the same about, say, Rust's syntax, or the syntax of any other language for that matter.

andy12_··on From Memorization to Reasoning in the Spectrum of Loss Curvature
Actually, no! Look at this in the paper

> In extending from studying per-example to bulk memorization, we propose a novel inversion of the previous interpretation of loss curvature: while individual memorized points are associated with high curvature, the direction of curvature varies across examples, meaning that, averaged across multiple examples, memorization directions are actually flatter than generalizing directions, which maintain a consistent moderate curvature across points

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