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anikan_vader

960 karma · joined January 10, 2020

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anikan_vader··on Kentucky man becomes the first humanist granted religious exemption from AI
Some places (including some places in the US) ban cashless stores. It seems reasonable to me to try to legally protect people who struggle to adapt to new technologies.
anikan_vader··on Woman arrested after blocking delivery robot in Center City Philadelphia
Arrested for refusing to yield to a motor vehicle on a public sidewalk? Curious to see if they can find any jury in the land that won’t laugh this one out…
anikan_vader··on Poland is now among the 20 largest economies
>> Poland was the first country to make a remarkable peaceful transition from a bankrupt, failed Soviet satellite state.

In what sense? Czechia is richer per capita. Almost all of the former Soviet satellite states in eastern Europe have had largely peaceful (since 1991) sustained economic growth. The exceptions are exactly those countries which continue to have Russian troops occupying portions, namely Belarus, Ukraine, and Moldova.

anikan_vader··on What you need to know about EMP weapons
Until someone calls your bluff, perhaps accidentally, and realizes much of the nuclear saber-rattling was just that. Of course, since it wasn't entirely a bluff, this is the easiest way to get a nuclear war going. (Get a country with nukes but limited conventional capabilities into a brinksmanship contest.)
anikan_vader··on When the sun dies, could life survive on the Jupiter ocean moon Europa?
To date, there have been no confirmed exomoon detections. So hopefully they'll do a better job than we have so far.
anikan_vader··on ICE Deports 3 U.S. Citizen Children Held Incommunicado Prior to the Deportation
Due Process is being denied to US citizens, who are being removed from the country without the opportunity for them or their parents to consult an attorney.
anikan_vader··on A life that added up to something (Obituary of Paul Erdòs)
The point is that the title and article misspell (in two different ways) his second name.
anikan_vader··on Are you better than a language model at predicting the next word?
Got 8/15, best AI model got 7/15, and unigram got 1/15.

Finally a use for all the wasted hours I’ve spent on HN — my next word prediction is marginally better than that of the AI.

anikan_vader··on The rarest move in chess [video]
Some sources do write ep after en passant captures. As you point out, it’s no more redundant than notating checks.
anikan_vader··on 300k airplanes in five years
Well we certainly do agree that artillery will not be the primary weapon of choice in any naval war!

I do appreciate your point of view, but I maintain that in a lengthy land war with a near peer, missile stockpiles would run low and 4th gen fighters would be unable to contest enemy airspace. Of course, the caveat is that the US would very much like to avoid any such conflict via either diplomacy or a decisive first few weeks of combat. And the hope is that 5th gen fighters would evade air defenses. Even so, US doctrine calls for being capable of fighting prolonged land wars on multiple fronts.

anikan_vader··on 300k airplanes in five years
It’s disingenuous to claim without citation that the US does not anticipate using artillery as one (of many) primary weapons in a land conflict against a near-peer adversary. The fact that thr US hasn’t had such a conflict since at least Vietnam (and arguably Korea) not withstanding.

Artillery has proved decisive in every conflict with static lines in the last 100 years. Sure, hopefully air supremacy would overwhelm your opponent and prevent a static conflict, but no air force has ever established supremacy in a conflict with saturated strategic air defenses. Perhaps the US air forces could, but this capability is untested. Sadam and Yugoslavia were limited to tactical air defenses in relatively small numbers compared with modern day Russia or China.

In short, artillery remains important, which is why US artillery shell production is up an order of magnitude over the last 3 years, and will continue to rise.

anikan_vader··on Creepy Study Suggests AI Is the Reason We've Never Found Aliens
Atomic weapons emerged slightly before the first craft to leave the Earth’s atmosphere, but we’re still nowhere near interstellar travel. On the other hand, the difficulty of space travel is largely a function of the escape velocity, which is dependent on the gravitational pull of your planet and solar system (both of which are variable).

One issue with your claim though is that once you have interstellar flight, you certainly have weapons of mass destruction. Even crashing a coke-can sized meteor into the Earth at 1% of the speed of light would cause major destruction.

anikan_vader··on Three women contract HIV from dirty "vampire facials" at unlicensed spa
I’m sure you realize that Arnold didn’t get that big just through chicken and broccoli…
anikan_vader··on How many bathrooms have Neanderthals in the tile?
It is incredibly insulting to neanderthals to make an unsubstantiated comparison between them and politicians.
anikan_vader··on The case for single-stair multifamily
The author does not even attempt to analyze the safety impact of removing the second stair. The only evidence they provide is that Western Europe has fewer fire deaths than the US. Which suggests that perhaps the US should be increasing fire safety standards rather than removing them…
anikan_vader··on Evidence Russia Is Now Using Jet Shahed Kamikaze Drones Emerges
This only emphasizes the need for NATO to reinvest in radar-guided anti-aircraft guns. Frankly, it's a bit troubling that the Europeans have been so slow to respond to the war in Ukraine (e.g., EU artillery shell production still vastly lags Russia's despite the Russian economy being the size of Italy's). With the US looking more and more like an unreliable security partner in the region, the time for the Europeans to revamp their military industrial complex was yesterday.
anikan_vader··on People have been buried behind a Mississippi jail since 2016, attorney says
Oops! Definitely. It actually looks to have been a clever use of irony. The internet is such a hard place to be clever though, in that people tend to take things at face value.
anikan_vader··on People have been buried behind a Mississippi jail since 2016, attorney says
Cop kills someone (allegedly by accident) and then the police bury him in a pauper’s grave and don’t inform any relevant parties.

>> These things happen.

No, they really don’t. That’s why it has made national news.

anikan_vader··on The Journal of Universal Rejection
This is definitely a tricky venue to get into, but the prestige still makes submissions worth it.
anikan_vader··on The Drums of War Are Growing Louder in South America
Venezuela’s (relatively sudden) refusal to honor its treaty obligations that admit the land is owned by Guyana is obviously due to oil greed.

Guyana has almost no military, but the Venezuelan military doesn’t really have any offensive capabilities that the US cant easily deter. The US actually appears to be a stabilizing force in this case; if the US committed to non-intervention, it would make sense for Venezuela to invade immediately.

As is, the strategic balance is not in favor of Venezuela attempting to annex the land by force.

anikan_vader··on AI Art Generators Can Be Fooled into Making NSFW Images
Yes, they are considered not safe for work.
anikan_vader··on Normal Operating Sounds
It's free electricity, but a computing device still makes for a pricey space heater.
anikan_vader··on The $1.5T Nuclear Weapons Program You've Never Heard Of
Presumably an online pre-print.
anikan_vader··on The $1.5T Nuclear Weapons Program You've Never Heard Of
>> you’ve never heard of

I suspect most Americans with a passing interest in nuclear deterrence have heard of this.

Moreover, the article is almost entirely about the sentinel land-based ICBM program, which is only 100 B of those 1.5 T. I would argue it is pretty shocking how cheap our nuclear deterrent is, especially compared to our conventional military budget (1.5 T per year).

The article includes the suggestion that the land-based nuclear fleet may be superfluous, but does not even attempt to explore the game theory behind keeping it intact (E.g., nuclear missile failure rates, warhead fratricide, the historical difficulty of keeping a boomer fleet stealthy, etc.)

anikan_vader··on Humanity Just Witnessed Its First Space Battle
It depends on your perspective. I would argue that the space race was fundamentally about two superpowers racing to develop the ability to accurately deliver munitions anywhere via suborbital trajectories. The fact that we got scientific probes out of it is sort of a happy accident and PR play.
anikan_vader··on Humanity Just Witnessed Its First Space Battle
Sort of a narrow definition to call an intercept in space a battle but not to think of the typical deployment of ballistic missiles as a type of space battle.

Still a major step forward on the path of missile defense.

anikan_vader··on CVS ditches common cold meds after FDA advisers say they're useless
Not sure why this comment is being downvoted? Placebo medication is known to have massive health benefits that go far beyond pain relief.
anikan_vader··on Ditch the glass: It's time to bring back less-fragile plastic smartphones
This is the main reason I haven't switched to IPhone. Being able to drop my phone whenever I want without worrying about damage is too big a pro.

Being able to blindly fumble for it in the dark is essential.

And the point of a phone is to be a mobile computer. A bulky phone case kind of defeats that point.

anikan_vader··on F-35A has flown from a highway for the first time
Thank you for the source, it has been good reading so far. Your comment about US SEAD operations in the past made me recheck my priors about the Gulf War. I was surprised to learn that Iraq had no strategic SAM systems [1].

[1] https://balloonstodrones.com/2022/10/19/looking-back-at-iraq...

anikan_vader··on F-35A has flown from a highway for the first time
>> with an estimated strength somewhere stern that of algeria and chile?

You have named two countries with credible and substantial air forces. Critically, both the Algerian air force and Chilean air force exist (the claim that I initially defended). Indeed, both Chile and Algeria have similarly-sized economies to Ukraine, and both countries operate sizeable air forces relative to other countries in South America and North Africa.

It is worth noting that the Ukrainian air force has 50+ F-16s scheduled for delivery in the near future.

>> Last I checked, they literally had more trainer aircraft than actual combat jets left.

They did have a relatively impressive number of L-39 jet trainers at the beginning of the war, as you alluded to. It is difficult to assess how many have survived the war. I would presume that you are correct to estimate that trainer aircraft have a lower attrition rate than combat jets during war.

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