Edit: really ? downvotes on this ? why ?
1,790 karma · joined May 5, 2012
Edit: really ? downvotes on this ? why ?
However, there is a lack of choice in this scenario. Due to the way the economy functions, I do have to put my money into a bank, I do have to look into investments because otherwise my hard earned money is worth less in the future. Let's leave the discussion about that being fair or unfair, etc. because this is a subject where people tend to have strong opinions.
Right, so coming to bitcoin. Why can't there be an entity that allows you to lend your bitcoin as a loan and you get a higher return (higher % interest than regular deflation) because you lent your money out (i.e. took some risk) ? Say deflation is 5% per year and you can give out a loan through some entity and get 10% returns ?
Isn't this what the bank does right now for you ? But do you have much of a choice in the current scenario ? Right now, you take on the risk of a bank without having a say in it. It's either that, or have your purchasing power slowly eroded over time.
I personally don't like arguing about inflation vs. deflation because I am not an economist but I can on my own think of trivial solutions that turn the problem around. Maybe these solutions are ultra complex to implement in practice, but so are the economy, currency markets, stock markets, etc.
Can I argue that it would be great if I worked hard to earn money and save it, and have it at the very least, retain it's value and purchasing power in the future? Why should the capital that I have worked hard to earn lose it's value because it somehow doesn't help the economy ? Helping the economy comes with it's own risks. Why do I not have a say in whether I have that choice or not ? What happens if my bank goes bankrupt ?
It's not easy to predict the valuation. For that, we would need to know how much business is done in bitcoin in the future. That's anyone's guess. Will it do $1 trillion or will it do more ?
The price isn't always going to rise at this rate. That's for certain. However, yes, there will probably be a long term rise until bitcoin finds it true usage, market cap, and as a result of this, it's value with steady deflation going forward.
While, I'm not sure what an economist's opinion on this is, the fact that you are encouraged to spend money because it's worth less in the future (inflationary fiat money) leaves a really bad taste in my mouth. Consumerism is a horrible disease and our planet is suffering from it every. single. day.
That brings me to bitcoin and it's deflationary nature. Well, you're still going to buy the stuff you want to buy. Then, you'll save more because you know it'll be worth more later. Why wouldn't you buy the things you always need ? (food, shelter, a few gadgets, etc.) Should I spend on a new iPad when I might be able to buy 6 months worth of food with that money a year or two later ?
You'll save as much as you can. You'll consume less junk. Isn't that a good thing ? Shouldn't we ask ourselves if we really need all the crap we keep buying ?
These are interesting questions that challenge the entire nature of mindless consumerism that most of us indulge in these days.
Also, if the only reason you spend your money is because it's going to be worth less tomorrow then you have bigger problems than bitcoin ;)
PS - I don't mean you personally, just stating some thoughts.
With increasing transaction volumes the bitcoin network is lately having some issues confirming transactions with low or no fees. Furthermore, with the appreciation of bitcoin/usd value the minimum transaction fee (hardcoded at 0.0001 BTC) is getting too high. (Rising from 0.05 to 0.08 cents)
The thing is, bitcoin is still very much a WIP project, a beta if you will. It still needs more bright people working on it to improve it.
Unfortunately one of the biggest challenges the bitcoin network is facing right now is getting smaller transactions confirmed faster. This issue will need to get solved and get solved sooner rather than later if bitcoin wants to be a competitor to VISA or MasterCard.
Maybe more HNers should take a look at the core: https://github.com/bitcoin/bitcoin
Basically all there is evidence of right now is that the Chinese are buying tons of bitcoins. No evidence of selling/moving as such.
It's not possible to use Gox for USD withdrawals at the moment so I don't think they'll try that anyway.
What about the entire paper trail:
a) from bank deposits/tenpay deposits to BTC China where they convert to bitcoins
b) and then allegedly sell on a foreign exchange (bitstamp, maybe ?)
c) following which they withdraw to an overseas bank account ?
If we're talking about illegal money (not part of the banking system) then again BTC China isn't reportedly accepting any cash. So how would that work ?
The evidence isn't really that clear. What we see is the Chinese buying a lot of bitcoins.
There's no evidence that they then moved those bitcoins to a foreign exchange, cashed them out, and then moved that cash to an overseas bank account. Do you have anything at all that supports this ? Not even the bitcoin network transaction volume is in agreement with this kind of movement of coins.
Furthermore, per exchange volumes have been insanely high over the past few days. See: http://bitcoincharts.com/markets/
What you basically pointed out points towards the premise of the article being false. It's not money laundering, it's something else.
Is there progress being made every day with bitcoins ? Yes.
Is there global potential for bitcoin to be used as some form of currency ? Yes. (it is already being used in small amounts in several places)
Markets tend to price these things in. Investor sentiment is optimistic. Bitcoins current position certainly doesn't justify this price. But the market has priced in the future.
When the mafia figures out bitcoin is a good way to do this things will start looking quite different.
BTC may for the time being move currencies without any perceptible loss in exchange value but the exchange value of BTC will go up per yuan with greater demand. The yuan will devalue against BTC but maybe this isn't a big problem because BTC isn't a major world currency .. yet ?
After a lot of back and forth they said I could pay a 5% fee and get my USD in 7 days. Basically a bribe for them to convert to JPY and send the transfer through..
At the time, they said withdrawals would take 2 weeks.. Now if they say 6 weeks you should pray :p
I ended up buying back some BTC (at about 10% loss due to price) and then selling later on bitstamp due to the recent price rise. Worked out okay for me but please DO NOT USE GOX FOR USD.
It's not at all hard to buy and sell now as opposed to back in 2012. There are tons of options. Of course where the price will go is anyone's guess..
Edit: I should add that I did my transactions on bitstamp. Used to use MtGox earlier but it's not worth it, too many issues with them.
I personally understood how support systems fail, how folks would rather always hear that you are getting better but with IPF - you only get worse. IPF is as common in the US as breast cancer, the difference being that it is 100% fatal in 2-5 years on average. (Lung transplants can improve longevity but eventually fail)
This person's story is deeply meaningful and told in a profoundly beautiful way. I wish I could tell my dad's story with IPF in a similar way. I'm trying to spread awareness with a blog on IPF and by donating to the pulmonary fibrosis foundation, just wondering about what else I could do. Awareness is super important!
IPF - Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis - http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Idiopathic_pulmonary_fibrosis
Yes, property seizures, arrests, etc. can happen as part of due process however there are complicated legalities associated with those things. For example, you actually need a court order to make an arrest (an arrest warrant) or a warrant to seize property. Getting a court involved means you have to prove something as well, or have enough evidence. Furthermore, other things such as danger to safety, security, flight risk, etc. are all considered by the judge.
I guess that's where due process is being totally skipped here. There is no court order, no warrant, just a threatening letter without any formal basis.
It was obvious that the UK would follow soon enough seeing that such a thing was entirely possible. Of course when the US seized a spanish website (rojadirecta) domain, they were challenged in court and lost. [0] There were also several other incorrect seizures where the US government ended up seizing sites that had nothing to do with any illegal activity and then returning them a year later [1]. This is what happens when you ignore due process.
Most small service providers and ISPs feel threatened when a big government like the US comes after them. Unless they have properly defined protocols for dealing with this kind of stuff, the support rep will probably buckle under pressure and hand over the data.
Personally, I've seen instances where domain registrars are often requested for private registration data without court orders or any sort of legal basis. Some registrars hand out the data. Some registrars email their customers asking them to transfer away (so stop being our customers) to continue protecting their privacy. Some registrars actually have the guts to say no. It really varies.
We're certainly at a point now where governments can easily coerce internet businesses to bend to their will. There will be a brave few who will stand tall but I don't know how long it will be before their backs/businesses are broken and bent (lavabit being a recent example).
Of course the UK government probably doesn't have access to the root name servers and therefore is left with sending out notices. But there's no telling when governments (who are of course sponsored by corporations as we all know by now..) will start cooperating with each other for such take down requests. Sort of like the reverse surveillance agreements with Germany/Australia/etc. (can't spy on my own citizens ? no worries, you spy on mine, I'll spy on yours, and we'll exchange notes!)
And I thought the dark days of the internet were in the 90s...
[0] - https://torrentfreak.com/u-s-returns-seized-domains-to-strea...
[1] - http://torrentfreak.com/feds-return-seized-domain-111208/
An example of this is how last year India (a developing country, although with a rather large GDP) donated money to the European Union in the form of an economic stimulus, basically to prevent a default. The reason was simple, an unstable european market hurts growth prospects worldwide. There's a saying in India "When Wall Street sneezes the Indian markets catch a cold". An increasingly linked global economy puts economic stability at #1 on everyone's agenda. Of course, this is great for the US because they can wage wars, etc. etc. while taking on unlimited debt and no one wants to lift a finger (militarily, they can't - economically, they can't either because of the repercussions). Of course the bubble will pop at some point. We don't know when, though.
A simple google search shows Switzerland as one of the most expensive countries in the world. Usually following Norway or Denmark. So why am I factually incorrect?
I searched for 'worlds most expensive countries'. Maybe I did something wrong ?
Of course I know everyone doesn't live in Zurich but the average cost of living is still relatively high outside of Zurich/Geneva. Also, I mentioned in my initial post that this is a good deal so we are in agreement for the most part.
Swiss cities often rank at the top for most expensive cities in the world so yeah, I'd say cost of living is certainly on the high side. Of course they also rank at the top for quality of life but that's another side of the same coin.
Lastly, my numbers may not be current or correct (last I went to Switzerland was July '13) but your tone is certainly rude and out of line. Sorry I didn't represent Swiss prices correctly, thanks for the correction.
The parallels between the show and what just happened with this Ross guy are pretty mind blowing.. ($80MM is a key point, then the fact about him turning from a 'nice justice oriented dude' to a total bad guy)
However, the document doesn't seem to state who the VPN provider was or if he was the customer tied to the VPN account (probably avoids this info because the VPN is account is in someone else's name). So again, can't prove via this route that it was him.
I'm curious to know how they managed to find the Silk Road server though..
- The fact that the SSH KEY on the server was for frosty@frosty.com which was the same thing he changed his Stackoverflow profile to..
- The fact that he asked on stackoverflow how to curl over tor
- The fact that he apparently tried to promote Silk Road on two forums
This stuff certainly points towards him being the guy, but is this evidence enough ?
<BreakingBadSPOILER>And I'm asking this 'cause Jessie's video confession to Hank wasn't enough to get Walt... </BreakingBadSPOILER>
What the document tantalizingly avoids is how they managed to find out where the Silk Road servers are. It mysteriously states that there are several Silk Road servers around the world and the FBI gained access and got an image of the server through cooperation with one of the hosts. How did they get to the servers behind the Tor network ? This is a very interesting technical question and honestly, I'm impressed.
Following the whole Kim Dotcom debacle I'd like to see how this seriously loaded ($90MM) guy progresses through the justice system.