automatic6131

If inference was profitable - they'd tell us. Msft, goog, public companies. They'd break out the numbers and show us, if they were good.

But instead, all we get is known liars going on podcasts and repeating "stylized facts" that aren't literally true about their supposed profitability on inference, from companies losing billions per year in a situation where they don't have to tell the truth.

That is VERY far from a convincing argument that they are profitable. So I can & will safely conclude that the opposite is true.

It will end slowly, and then very suddenly.

The demand for AI simply doesn't exist at the real prices. It barely exists at the current subsidized rates - Microsoft, Google, Meta, Anthropic, OpenAI are spending hundreds of billions to make mere billions.

And then these data centers will be worthless, future ones won't get built, memory demand will evaporate on the spot.

"You asked a simple question. They lobbed a document."

Oh look, another blog post that should have been a comment. No slop blogs either, loser.

Will it be a WeWork moment? I hope so, I want some comedy gold (I cannot afford the mineral kind).

I just realized what the "AI summarize" feature is for. This kinda turd. I'd never wanted to use it, because either I wanted the joy of reading whatever it was - or needed the details in full because it's documentation. Now, finally, a use. Manmade horrors of daily life.

This article is written atrociously. It's geniunely unpleasant to read the basement tier slop like this. It doesn't matter if it has a salient point because this article could have been a comment.

> Why do they think they are "helping" with hallucinated rubbish that can't even build?

Because they can't tell the difference between what the machine is outputting, and what people have built. All they see is the superficial resemblance (long lines of incomprehensbile code) and the reward that the people writing the code have got, and want that reward too.

We could have the roblox oof but then there'd be the possibility of giving (a certain) amateur world backgammon championship participant money

No actually it's the worst case

I think I'm just salty (and overfitting) that my cousin studied one opening to a stupid depth and beat me ~10 games in a row with it

Define "average" and "very good" - it's quite easy to become good enough to beat all your friends and family (as long as you haven't made friends at the chess club or chess competitions). But if you want to do your best at the local chess competition held in a school hall at the weekend against all kinds of people, from little kids to pensioners, then yeah, you're going to need to spend lots of time studying openings, learning end game theory, and solving chess puzzles.

> mapped capslock + J K L I

This is such a good idea that it makes other peoples machines nearly useless for you

All credit to https://tonsky.me/blog/cursor-keys/

>All that has to happen is for people to stop reproducing

And if they don't?...

There is definitely value in that, but that value is outweighed - dominated, even - by the incentive produced to fix outcomes, incentivized by that money put on the line.

Nope, using the "I am very intelligent" comic doesn't work to defend those who want to eliminate society

>The idealized future in my option has something like 1/1000th of the current population

Okay! You first though. What, still here?

I just don't believe these geekbench numbers represent real world performance numbers. Like... Firefox compile times or late game civ 6 turn times or such things

The hezbollah pagers op, now that was an operation. And I'm willing to bet 99% of the work was done the usual way, many years in the making.

This is pure delusion.

Completely dry of any data, based on vibes and a vague whiff that maybe a chatbot did all the hard work done by hardworking spooks.

Effective operations have happened just like this long before chatgpt launched.

I think it's fine to lose the stalks - in a Ferrari. You're making tradeoffs in usability for aesthetics anyway so a few more makes sense. But the locations of these particular ones - at prime thumb access location, plus the high visibility of them... Not good!

Good car interior design fulfills the functions of: usability; sensibility and brand identity. What's good for a LaFerrari (which has many of the same feature on the wheel as this, but imo, better) is not going to be good on a Hyundai i20 and vice versa.

But BMW is, in general, very good at finding a design language that fits all the right buttons in the right places while feeling like a mid-to-up market car. It's a blend of usability and aesthetics and brand (+model) identity that finds a really good balance across all three categories.

That steering wheel looks absolutely awful. Like a budget car. And the UX is rubbish. The easiest to reach buttons are ones that are nearly never needed: drive mode (usually used 0-2 times per trip), wiper mode (but no single wipe?). The only frequently used ones are the indicators - which I don't love but I guess stalks are a bit meh aesthetically - and the speed cruise. But sensors? Suspension? Why are they there?

The clock looks like a dollar store alarm clock. The center console otherwise looks okay, environment management can be done easily, that's a good trend to continue.

The instrument cluster has no aura - completely anonymous, doesn't make me think "Ferrari" or "high performance, high technology".

Rounded square design language isn't fit for purpose in a ferrari, which is about aerodynamic shapes that reinforce that you're in a high-performance sports car.

Jony Ive is a garbage-tier car designer. He'd fit in better at Kia. Or Volvo.

Do we have Doom on a USB-C plug microcontroller yet?

> You can’t start with the technology and try to figure out where you’re going to try to sell it.

If those LLM addicts could read, they'd be very upset!

A similar theme to Adrian Tchaikocsky's most recent standalone work "Alien Clay". I saw on a podcast that he said that in Alien Clay, he started from the reasoning 'What if life developed not with competitive natural selection, but in a maximally cooperative fashion, where every organism is capable of cooperation with any other corporation of organisms', and here is another variant of that theme - or perhaps its opposite, 'What if life was entirely one species'. Very nice.

Also he does love his evil, totalitarian states. Here it's the Concern. In Alien Clay it's the Mandate. I think his name for the philosophy in his Tyrant Philosophers series is very clever: Perfection. The fascist ersatz-Imperial-Britain-copies pursue a doctrine they call Perfection - which is obviously what every monomaniacal totalitarian pursues, the word they'd give to their philosophy is always best translated as Perfection.

These tools (e.g. Chatgpt pro) lose money at $200/month

So expect, maybe, $1000 a month? Until your business is dependant on these LLMs. Then they can extract basically all your margin lol

> AMD's part numbers contain a digit that increments with each year

Aha, but which digit? Sure, that's easy for server, HEDT and desktop (it's the first one) but if you look at their line of laptop chips then it all breaks down.

>LLMs solve reliably entire classes of problems that are impossible to solve otherwise

Great! Agreed! So we're going to restrict LLMs to those classes of problems, right? And not invest trillions of dollars into the infrastructure, because these fields are only billion dollar problems. Right? Right!?

It's pretty clear what regulation should exist for 3rd party markets of licensed digital content: none.

If you choose to blow your finances on digital skins, or make it your trade and primary job, and you lose everything, then I have one word for you: "ha-ha".

May seem harsh, but we shouldn't encourage digital speculation nor the companies that seek to invent (more of) these markets wholecloth.

We need better antitrust and anti-monopoly enforcement. Break up the biggest companies, and then they'll have to actually participate in markets.