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bb611

1,175 karma · joined October 21, 2016

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bb611··on Thanks to Venmo, We Now All Know How Cheap Our Friends Are
The solution seems simple:

"I can't, I'm busy right now."

That's what people say when someone asks them to do something they don't want to, or where the cost outweighs the benefit.

bb611··on 18yo arrested for reporting a bug in the new Budapest e-Ticket system
> You cannot have millions of people deciding on every issue.

From a technical perspective, this is clearly untrue.

bb611··on Extreme Commuting
> Any reasonably-well designed urban area is teeming with parks of all different shapes and types. In the suburbs, there may be one part per town, largely focused on ball fields, but in an urban area, there are parks all over the place.

I've lived in a couple of US cities now, it's very hit or miss. San Jose, CA? Plenty of neighborhoods without a park of usable size within walking distance, and the intellectual and financial investment in equipment is fairly limited. Boston, MA? Feels like you can't go 3 blocks without hitting a park, and many of them have great equipment.

In theory your statement is true, but the reality covers a spectrum that may or may not be acceptable.

bb611··on Extreme Commuting
The scientific data on this is at best controversial, there are plenty of studies claiming the effect is real, and a bunch of counters that the data is fundamentally flawed in complex ways, and doesn't appropriately account for a lot of other variables that can affect child development. It is also likely that high income offsets many of the most correlated negative effects, i.e. educational attainment.

My first career was in education, I worked with and saw many kids with a breadwinning parent who was absent most of the week, and they generally developed on the same spectrum as parents of equally present two parent households.

Anecdotally, my mother worked extremely long hours from her first child (I'm the youngest of my siblings by a decade) until I was a teenager, I routinely only saw her to say goodbye in the morning and on weekends. My siblings and I all ended up pretty far ahead on any developmental scale you choose, even though we basically only saw her on weekends.

bb611··on The Myth of Drug Expiration Dates
My brother-in-law works in pharma manufacturing, this stuff is really hard and it's basically impossible to create exactly identical pills, apparently in large part because the active ingredient is frequently <1% of the volume of the pill. The best they can do is control the range of dosage in pills, and there's variance in what that range is across drugs (i.e. some compounds can't be spray dried, can't be heated hot enough to make binders liquid, etc).

Depending on necessity and value they can typically engineer more precision, but it gets very expensive very fast.

bb611··on Two days in an underwater cave running out of oxygen
Most life insurance policies in the US do pay out for suicide, typically after 12-24 months.
bb611··on Jefferies gives IBM Watson a Wall Street reality check
> 60M$ of _manual_ tuning before it's NOT useful

Pedantic but important - the final product wasn't usable even after spending an obscene amount of money customizing it to the task

bb611··on United Airlines piloting technology to manage the problem of oversold flights
> but I can bet no one is too happy about it when a breach of contract happens.

It's very odd that you consider this a breach of contract, because these contracts are pretty heavily policed by regulators and the courts. Check every ticket you've bought, the contract of carriage includes terms specifically about overbooking.

For instance, here's United's Rule 4G:

All of UA’s flights are subject to overbooking which could result in UA’s inability to provide previously confirmed reserved space for a given flight or for the class of service reserved. In that event, UA’s obligation to the Passenger is governed by Rule 25.

bb611··on United Airlines piloting technology to manage the problem of oversold flights
I think the current system actually meets your criteria for fairness quite well.

First, at this point it's reasonable to expect passengers in the US to know that their booking is subject to availability in some limited number of edge cases. It's not particularly common but it's also very public knowledge that it sometime does happen.

Second, both parties have a cost to rebook - passengers pay a rebooking fee, airlines pay a bump fee (in a voucher if the passenger is foolish enough to accept that). Additionally, the rebooking fee for a passenger is significantly lower as a % of ticket cost than it is for the airline.

bb611··on United Airlines piloting technology to manage the problem of oversold flights
Yeah, I doubt the people paying $200 each way on a trans-US flight are going to hold out for $10,000. Once you're at 5-10x of your ticket price, people who actually have flexible schedules are going to be pretty interested. On most overbooked flights this needs to attract <5 people, so hard to imagine the passengers taking "the airline's money hostage".
bb611··on United Airlines piloting technology to manage the problem of oversold flights
The offered price of the bump wasn't the only failure, or even the most important failure, in that chain of events.

Note that this behavior is extremely, unbelievably rare. N=1 over hundreds of millions of flights rare.

There is a lot of other discontent regarding bumping on oversold flights, but the existence of a cash minimum doesn't by necessity lead to assaulting passengers.

bb611··on Math education: It’s not about numbers, it’s about learning how to think
There is plenty of research that holding kids back isn't actually an effective intervention, for example: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0022440506...

Retained students (the current terminology for "held back") are much more likely to stop attending school early, and on average do not see larger academic gains in their year retained than their equivalent peers who are not retained.

The ONLY effective intervention is dramatically increased services for that student, delivered rapidly once the deficiency is detected. Many high performing charter school networks actually use this systematically, but only by overworking their teachers and generally burning them out within 5 years (retention rates at 5 years are frequently <10%, compared to 50% in the broader profession). Most teachers in mainstream district schools are covered by union contracts that limit their required working hours, so for the vast majority of schools even this isn't an option. Actually delivering these services in a sustainable manner is a financial burden American taxpayers appear largely unwilling to shoulder.

bb611··on EU Prepares "Right to Repair" Legislation to Fight Short Product Lifespans
> Manufacturer specific computer diagnostic tools

The tools themselves aren't the issue, the only thing specific to these tools is a complete mapping of proprietary error codes. If manufacturers were forced to release a list of all error codes and their meanings as part of the owner's manual this would be a non-issue.

bb611··on Architect explains why large development in LA seems to be luxury development
To me it appears the same group of kids is doing it, but now with college degrees. I have a friend who was a GC at 25, the main obstacle to his success was access to capital, which he achieved through a friend's father who was already in the business and looking for investment opportunities.

He spent a bunch of years working on his skills and doing his own work, but now just subcontracts all the labor (mostly to immigrants), deals with legal/zoning issues, and keeps the client happy.

I suspect the old system (start at the bottom, amass skills & capital until you're on top) won't work anymore, because the capital arrangement strongly favors people with a money connection over skills. But time will tell.

bb611··on Jawbone is being liquidated as its CEO launches a related health startup
> stability, no-bullshit, and good customer service

I'm interning at a recently (12 months ago) acquired standout in the e-commerce provider field, and yesterday I was at a talk where the CTO/co-founder attributed their now multibillion dollar business to the exact same thing.

There are plenty of dumb problems that people just want to not worry about.

I will say, the downside is they spent about 7 or 8 years before going public, and another 4-5 before being acquired (for about 4.5x their IPO price). It wasn't quick money, because you can't prove stability in a year or two, but it is a very powerful business model.

bb611··on An ‘Uber for garbage’ picks up steam, and $11.7M in Series A funding
This is common in many areas of suburban MA within 30 minutes of Boston.
bb611··on Hackers Are Targeting Nuclear Facilities, Homeland Security Dept. And F.B.I. Say
He had a clearance through a contractor to inspect welds: https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/brussels-attacks...

I don't know the specifics of this particular plant's security procedures, but it's unlikely he was in a position to do any significant damage to the plant, and his clearance process was likely much less involved than would be for someone who is in a position to do real damage.

bb611··on Cooling the tube – Engineering heat out of the Underground
From the article in the top comment :

> Elsewhere, they’ve been using cool ground water to cool some of the stations. An experiment at Victoria station was the first, as water from the River Tyburn was used to cool the air in the station. This was only an experiment, but at Green Park, a permanent version was installed in 2012.

bb611··on Cooling the tube – Engineering heat out of the Underground
Underground cars don't have AC/heat? At least in the US those are ubiquitous on subways
bb611··on Is Arduino no longer open-source?
> stifles innovation

I'm really curious about this - what innovation does Arduino stifle?

From my position with some school level dabbling in embedded, it seems like the industry is quite healthy and that there is a lot of innovation happening in terms of hardware outside Arduino, especially on the commercial side of things, where the perception is that Arduino has next to no market share.

bb611··on The Old Are Eating the Young
In the US that's just statistically accurate: https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publicatio...

See pg 2

bb611··on The Holder Report on Uber
On what planet would any company publicly release a document that creates a slam dunk civil case against them, unless required to do so by law? The goal was for Uber to get the value insight of outside counsel, not for all of us to do so.

Susan Fowler can file a civil case and get a copy of the full report to read to a jury, but Uber's lawyers and outside counsel would have to be incompetent to let them release the full report publicly.

bb611··on Noncompete Clauses: Signing Away the Right to Get a New Job
Presumably she turned it down?
bb611··on Noncompete Clauses: Signing Away the Right to Get a New Job
A contract can already account for training costs if an employee leaves - simply have a clause indicating a charge to the employee for the company's cost of training them if they leave before [date when training is paid for by employment]. This is actually very common in US employment contracts, and supported by case law in many states, including CA: http://www.thelelawblog.com/2016/02/articles/new-legislation...

I don't see how non-competes are a desirable alternative, because they're orthogonal to the training costs problem.

bb611··on Georgia Tech manages to teach a CS degree for $7k
> I don't quite understand this statement. Tests are so valuable because a university degree is valuable. If there is cheating, it simply means it is too easy to cheat. The doesn't seem to be any larger issue.

University degrees have two levels of value: social signaling ("I have a degree"), and proof of knowledge & skills. From an instructional standpoint, social signaling isn't a program goal, it's just an outcome. It's good to realize that degrees are social signals and that has an effect on who applies and is successful in these programs, but the instructional aspects of the program are pretty much entirely focused on knowledge and skills.

So cheating really means that students who are cheating either value the knowledge and skills less than they should, or that the test is a poor method of assessing the knowledge and skills. The student values issue is complicated, and is really more about student selection criteria than anything else - if the school is only selecting students who want to socially signal, that's an issue that needs to be addressed in a systematic way.

Conversely, if the issue isn't a social one but rather about skills, the professor probably isn't doing a good job teaching the material, and there are plenty of ways to remediate that - lower stakes, higher frequency assessment, improving instructional materials and time, etc. In general, both of these problems are pretty well solved by having a more diverse assessment set than just standardized, proctored tests. Even if you can cheat your way through a 2 hour midterm/final, doing the same for a 2 month long course project is much harder. I haven't taken any of the GT course,s but based on their udacity listings (which mirror the MS courses), I would guess appears they are doing fairly bespoke projects on complex topics (i.e. machine learning), where cheating is harder to hide.

> The simple solution would be to require that candidates sit the test in a room which is physically supervised by someone who is responsible to the university.

Beyond the fact that a motivated individual can also cheat on an in-person exam (something like 60% of US college students admit to cheating sometime in their college career), that would create a whole other layer of logistics and cost. It's a lot easier just to have good instruction throughout the program than to spend huge amounts of time trying to catch people who are willing to cheat on their tests.

bb611··on Georgia Tech manages to teach a CS degree for $7k
The testing company used appears to be ProctorU, I've used them 4 times for my own online degree. The controls go well beyond simple camera use, they do a lot of checking for programs in the background (programatically, not manually). It can be beaten by a motivated individual, but at the point significant cheating is an issue for a program, there are larger issues to address, like "why do our students feel compelled to cheat?" and "why are tests so valuable that cheating is effective?"
bb611··on Google accuses Uber of creating a fake company in order to steal its tech
Some will, some won't.

Since everyone basically agrees that Levandowski downloaded these files from google, Occam's Razor suggests that the guy who knowingly stole the files provided them along. Doesn't rule out a different sort of malfeasance, but certainly it's worth exploring that avenue to the fullest.

bb611··on How I got an FBI record at age 11 from dabbling in cryptography (2015)
My reading is that all the homeland security officers can see is a flag that such a file exists - they had no way of knowing (and should have no way of knowing!) what is actually in OP's file.
bb611··on DHL pilot alleges poor labor practices that are spreading throughout industry
While they're punching a hole in the air, yes. Takeoff & landing in most modern commercial aircraft have some auto-throttle/auto-braking assistance, but those are still generally flown by hand on every flight. Note that the cargo airlines this article addresses are primarily working with a much older fleet of airplanes that the major passenger airlines got rid of, so their tech generally lags behind what you see on the flight deck of your travel flights.

No one has yet implemented a real point-to-point autopilot, and there are none in the pipeline for certification. It's possible there are engineers working on them, especially at Boeing/Airbus, but given airframe lifetimes at the major commercial carriers pilots are here for at least another 20 years with them, and probably 30-40 years at cargo carriers.

bb611··on Analysis of the United Airlines passenger removal incident
It appears you're confused by the use of variations on volunteer in different

The facts of the situation were this:

1. United offered vouchers up to $800 - this is the volunteer phase.

2. They received no volunteers.

3. Moving on from the volunteer phase, they selected 4 passengers to be removed from the flight.

4. They informed those passengers they needed to get off the flight (so now they're covered by the DoT minimum compensation, which is unrelated to #1).

5. Mr. Dao refused to VOLUNTARILY leave his seat, but 3 other passengers did.

6. Police were called, video was taken, lawsuits were started.

"Voluntarily" in the sentence you're quoting doesn't refer to #1 above, it refers to the fact that Mr. Dao, after being told by a gate agent to leave the plane, did not do so. It does not have any relationship to the DoT "volunteer" rules, it has to do with whether he was willing to leave the plane after being told to do so by a person who was empowered by their employer to get people to leave the plane (although their exact legal right to do so remains somewhat grey).

edit: your -> you're

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