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bearmf

314 karma · joined April 5, 2012

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bearmf··on SF's Rising Rental Prices beat NYC: $3500/month for single family homes
Sounds crazy. Are there any real estate brokers who can do this job for you?
bearmf··on SF's Rising Rental Prices beat NYC: $3500/month for single family homes
I am not sure if there is any meaningful number of single-family homes in Manhattan. If you consider townhouses they are definitely more than $3500, even in Harlem.
bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
It is also important emotionally: http://www.thelizlibrary.org/liz/APA-Monitor-attachment.html
bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
Yes, I do have a daughter. I have never said that babies do not recognize their fathers. It is just that their attachment to mother is usually more important in their first few years of life.
bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
Please see my response to previous comment. I am not sure about gay parents, there is probably not enough research data available yet.
bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
Here is an overview: http://www.thelizlibrary.org/liz/APA-Monitor-attachment.html

However, I see that there is nothing in the article specifically about primary caregiver being female. To summarize, it is better to have one primary caregiver who has established a strong attachment with child. Traditionally it has been a female role, and I do believe women are better suited for it.

bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
JshWright, congratulations! I am sure you are going to be a great father.

That said, you cannot be a mother to your child. Your roles now are approximately equal, but they will inevitably change over time. Feeding and changing diapers is enough for now, and that indeed can be split between partners, because baby cannot really tell the difference right now.

For further normal development, babies need to develop a bond with their mother. This gives them a fundamental sense of security. It is one of human baby's primary needs which is also observed in most mammals.

Children later become attached to their fathers. It is a different experience for them, which involves more "rational" thought instead of primary urge to bond with their mothers.

bearmf··on Why Fathers Really Matter
Father's primary impact is in his genetic material. Secondary impact is his parenting impact which starts to matter mostly after child is 2 years old. Before that, from conception to birth to 2 years, mother is much more important.
bearmf··on Reasons to Start a Startup In Canada
All the companies you are mentioning are very hard to get into for an average guy without connections. Also, it is university and your network that matters, not your place in class.
bearmf··on Reasons to Start a Startup In Canada
110k 3 years out of college is very rare in NYC as well.

EDIT: It is certainly not unheard of, but only for top graduates. Also, I see you were talking about equivalent 110k salary in Toronto which would be 130-140k in New York. This is a high base salary by any standard.

bearmf··on Flynn’s IQ
As I understand the book is not out yet, so I still have to see these "cast-iron" analyses. Surely it would be interesting to have a look.

The problem that I see here is that by removing all social and cultural context we will lose some genetic information as well. It is very hard to measure influence of genetics on social or cultural outcomes, but it definitely does exist.

bearmf··on Flynn’s IQ
Points 1-2 are valid, though intelligence is not entirely genetic.

Your points 3-5 are completely wrong. Genetics determines race, not the other way around. Points 4 and 5 are just meaningless "racist" phrases, not statements in a line of reasoning.

bearmf··on Flynn’s IQ
It is a limiting factor for many tasks, even such "simple" tasks as basic algebra and calculus. A lot of people fail at math simply because they do not have enough brainpower.
bearmf··on Flynn’s IQ
And still IQ is very good at predicting various life outcomes: probabliity of being arrested, income, number of children.

Group differences in IQ do exist, and Flynn effect does not make them go away. Flynn effect increases scores across the board, it does not equalize different groups.

Black people in US have lower average IQ than white people do, Asian people have higher average IQ. The reasons for this are many, but genetics certainly comes into play: IQ is heritable.

Trying to explain away group differences by "culture" is mostly bad science - trying to make the facts fir your desired conclusions.

bearmf··on What is life like for PhDs in computer science who go into industry?
Do you work 9 to 5, or do you take your work home with you? This, again, is completely independent of what degree you have. How you structure your priorities and your work to get it done within sane hours, and while maintaining some sort of “work/life balance” (I hate that term, but that is a whole other story) is entirely up to you.

This is indeed independent of degree but highly dependent of company you are working for. There are developers working 10-12 hours a day who cannot structure their work because they are just expected to stay in the office for said time period.

bearmf··on What is life like for PhDs in computer science who go into industry?
I agree in general, but easy fizzbuzz-type questions are not the main problem with interviewing process by far. There are just too many people who almost cannot write code, including CS PhDs.
bearmf··on Ex-Goldman Programmer Is Arrested Again
From Wikipedia on Double Jeopardy:

The exception to this exception exists between city and state sovereignties located within the same state. Although cities are different sovereignties than the state they are located within, the two are not permitted to attach jeopardy more than once cumulatively.

bearmf··on Ex-Goldman Programmer Is Arrested Again
This looks more like US/NY attorneys' initiative. It is a case that has gotten a lot of coverage and they do not want it to end with their defeat.
bearmf··on Ex-Goldman Programmer Is Arrested Again
He was originally charged by US Attorney and found guilty by a federal jury, then released by federal appeals court. The new case has been filed by Manhattan District Attorney in NY state court. Apparently double-jeopardy does not apply in this case.
bearmf··on Five Men Agree To Stand Directly Under An Exploding Nuclear Bomb
This video is so Dr. Strangelove
bearmf··on 2012 vs. 1984: Young adults really do have it harder today
He is adjusting median income but not prices.
bearmf··on 2012 vs. 1984: Young adults really do have it harder today
I am sorry, but this guy is an idiot.

He is referring this study: http://www.conferenceboard.ca/hcp/hot-topics/caninequality.a...

It has a chart of INFLATION-ADJUSTED median after-tax income in 2009 dollars, from 1976 to 2009. He then takes a figure for 1984 from this chart, around $48500, and proceeds to compare it to prices in 1984 dollars, without converting them to 2009 dollars.

So from a house price of 100k in 1984, he infers it was only 2x times median income then. While in fact, he needs to convert 100k in 2009 dollars and get around 200k and 4x times median income.

bearmf··on Want good programmers? Then pay them.
1. Why do you doubt it? There are very good public schools in US. But the variance is very high, so the bad schools are very bad, which brings the average down.
bearmf··on Want good programmers? Then pay them.
I don't know why people are downvoting parent, most of the points are true.

"It would take a lot of research and work to discover what a "good district" is, while in western Europe you can just send your kids to school and not worry about it. Lots of states don't have any good districts at all." All of this is false, sorry. There are sites like greatschools.org where most public schools are rated. It is relatively easy to distinguish a good district from a bad one. And I don't believe you can send your kids to schools and not worry anywhere in the world, it is just a bad way to raise them. As about states not having any good districts.. Examples, please.

Health insurance certainly sucks, but 10k deductibles are not common at all. Insurance companies pay most of the time, if you are in network they really cannot refuse after the fact.

Salaries for software engineers in US are much higher than in most of Europe, and taxes are lower. Though it is probably not 2x.

bearmf··on Beware The Hype Over Big Data Analytics
This guy comes off as a cynical MBA, and he actually is one. His valid points are:

- big data is overhyped

- potential benefits are likely smaller than you think (this is true for most new technologies)

BUT:

- he seems unaware about modern analysis tools and their power

- state of the art in machine learning has actually advanced a lot in the last 20 years

- as a result a lot of problems that were intractable back then are being solved (Jeopardy, Go)

- there are completely new problems (all the social stuff, huge recommender systems)

- big companies are not good at innovating

- outsourcing is MUCH harder than it seems, especially to Bangalore

bearmf··on Big Data's Big Problem: Little Talent
I am of opinion that if demand is high enough, companies will start hiring "halfway there" people. But this will happen only if the market grows big enough. Right now it is still a niche market where companies are cherry-picking right candidates, it seems. At least this is the impression I get from reading this thread.

The question of the size of the market is crucial. Small labor markets are very inefficient. This means that the number of qualified people is small enough, but the number of companies they can choose from is also small. It is hard to find a job when the number of companies hiring is probably less than 100.

bearmf··on Big Data's Big Problem: Little Talent
All mathematics consists of rigorous models. But choosing and tweaking a model is more of an art. Most data scientists apply existing models to new data, they do not develop new ones.

I am sure it takes much less than "years" for any smart PhD in applied mathematics to learn most of data analysis tricks. It is not theoretical physics after all.

bearmf··on Big Data's Big Problem: Little Talent
Look, this job title is at most 2 years old. How can someone have years of experience in this? OTOH, there are plenty of people with strong applied math and good programming skills.
bearmf··on Big Data's Big Problem: Little Talent
The problem as I see it is that most companies are looking for the all-in-one perfect candidate. There is indeed a shortage of such people.

Say you need someone who knows a lot about Hadoop and Amazon EC and is also intimately familiar with most learning algorithms and has a PhD. You are having trouble finding the guy. You start crying about "the big data talent shortage".

And here is the problem. Most PhDs have no experience with Hadoop or Amazon EC. Some of them might know Java well enough.

Now, consider a smart guy with PhDwho knows Java and has done something parallel with it, working on real "dirty" data. He can pick up Hadoop in no time from your software engineers. He will learn to tweak and optimize in his time - it is domain specific and cannot be learned off the job.

Will he be hired? Probably not. But people will keep crying about shortage.

bearmf··on Big Data's Big Problem: Little Talent
If it is that hard the bar is probably set too high. Most of the skills are learned on the job after all. Most smart PhDs who can program well and have sound knowledge of statistics can learn to do this stuff.
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