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beguiledfoil

113 karma · joined September 9, 2016

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beguiledfoil··on When Zuckerberg Asserted Control, Instagram’s Founders Chafed
Do we have a name for tech that encourages compulsive use over any kind of deeper value? Candy tech? Sugar tech?
beguiledfoil··on Ask HN: Where are the good jobs in Canada?
>Cheaper rent

Rent is not cheaper in Seattle. Salary will make up for it if you are a programmer, though.

beguiledfoil··on Linus Torvalds apologizes for his behavior, takes time off
I don't think it has anything to do with PC and has a lot to do with being C. There's a lot of bravado among older programmers that carries over from a time when they really could do whatever they wanted because stuff needed to get done and a principled, lone gunman solution could actually be a much closer approximation of correct than some BS consensus built monster.

That simply isn't the world we work in anymore. Everything has been done and if it's being done again it's because the subtle mistakes and approximations of the past aren't good enough. Linus' complaints about the scheduler are the best example of what I'm talking about. A scheduler is a super hard problem now and there's a lot of complexity to wrestle with that simply didn't exist in 2001.

Anyway, the kernel is still open and discussion is still happening so I don't think we're in some kind of crisis. Good for Linus to take time off - maybe this will be an opportunity to develop processes that can create a more dynamic open source environment, one less reliant on a few individuals.

beguiledfoil··on “I Used AI to Clone My Voice and Trick My Mom into Thinking It Was Me”
Cryptography doesn't solve social problems.

Cryptography doesn't solve political problems.

Cryptography solves communication problems. That's. It.

beguiledfoil··on The Blockchain Bubble Will Pop, What Next?
This is a stronger endorsement of COBOL than it is of blockchain...
beguiledfoil··on Taxation of Carried Interest
>The entire economy of the world is a time bomb since it is predicated on exponential growth continuing indefinitely into the future.

Adding zeros is not that hard. Munis have actual tax bases and actual obligations and those seem out of step in some situations. That muni debt will be mispriced because of tax incentives seems obvious.

Municipalities are in the same spot that Greece or Italy is in. They have debt in a currency they do not issue. They cannot devalue or inflate that debt away. Therefore they have to manage their debt as a corporation or state would, but they are much smaller and less flexible. Bad buy.

beguiledfoil··on Taxation of Carried Interest
Or rely on transfers from the federal government.. As most already do..

Munis are a timebomb, imho.

beguiledfoil··on The Marshmallow Test: What Does It Really Measure?
It's just a data point...
beguiledfoil··on Lobotomizing Gnome
If you want something this simple just use sway...
beguiledfoil··on Mozilla to remove “meritocracy” from governance docs because it's “problematic”
Overfitting.
beguiledfoil··on Seattle passes smaller ‘head tax’ on big companies after impassioned debate
Mega cap tech companies need subsidies?
beguiledfoil··on Emergency room patients can face steep bills even when treatment is declined
The whole healthcare provider<->insurer interface is hugely expensive.

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/in-the-literatu...

beguiledfoil··on Emergency room patients can face steep bills even when treatment is declined
They also don't want to be "forced" to buy insurance.
beguiledfoil··on Ratings inflation on Uber and elsewhere
>how do we signal the extra mile except for tips?

I mean in the case of Lyft I give them money. Why should another adult care how I "rate" them?

beguiledfoil··on California should emulate Tokyo, where housing stayed ahead of population growth
>Doesn't that imply that there is a shortage?

A shortage of housing? A shortage of ways to launder money? A shortage of safe assets that beat inflation? A shortage of network connected land?

Emulate Tokyo is good advice, but not easy. There's a reason Tokyo is Tokyo and everywhere else looks nothing like Tokyo.

beguiledfoil··on California should emulate Tokyo, where housing stayed ahead of population growth
Americans hate small streets. It's a dumb opinion, but it's widely held.
beguiledfoil··on ‘The Trains Are Slower Because They Slowed the Trains Down’
How is this gaslighting? Transportation costs have done a reasonable job of not growing faster than inflation...
beguiledfoil··on Peter Thiel’s Money Talks, in Contentious Ways. But What Does He Say?
So closed borders, closed trade? Is that your ambition? You sound like a lover of discipline, why don't you just tell me and the other posters what you want? Why attack what you oppose rather than striking out in the direction you intend to set out in?
beguiledfoil··on Peter Thiel’s Money Talks, in Contentious Ways. But What Does He Say?
The contrarian right has no answers, only cynical observations. If they were more transparent about this they would be dismissed as sadists but they keep their cards close to their chest and allow for the occasional sympathetic portrait to drip out.

What does Peter Thiel love? Want? I'll never know. He's just another rich guy jet setting between NY and LA now. My guess is he spends some time advocating for impractically expensive cross continent transit and fades into the noise of wealthy-but-not-wealthiest elite. Maybe he'll become interested in those green grids he spends so much time flying over and does something in a midsized American city - probably healthcare related given the demographics.

beguiledfoil··on The Investor Class Hates Pensions
The risk is systemic either way. Those in this thread feel good about themselves for contributing more than others, but long run they're in the same boat as those 'others'.

You never escape systemic risk. The reality is that guaranteed pensions have a track record of getting people to save for retirement. Those programs are gone now and people don't save. The clever reductionists in this thread blame the workers, but placing blame is an exercise that bears only schadenfreude. Personally, I'm interested in lessening systemic risk - and that doesn't mean buying more bonds with shit yield.

beguiledfoil··on The Investor Class Hates Pensions
Do you index or do you actively manage your 401k?
beguiledfoil··on The Investor Class Hates Pensions
>Your 401k is 100% yours. There is no risk of your 401k account "going bankrupt" because too much of it was given to others.

Systemic risk is present either way. You're just playing category theory sleight of hand and drawing distinctions between forced savings plans that aren't meaningful.

beguiledfoil··on Studies are increasingly clear: Uber, Lyft congest cities
>Demand for "personalized" transport is here to stay.

For those that can afford it.

beguiledfoil··on Studies are increasingly clear: Uber, Lyft congest cities
Even Seattle is seeing per capita transit ridership drops, odd considering expansion of rail lines.

In an urban environment the car is what turns transportation into a game of the prisoner's dilemma. From this point of view ride shares are just the latest way that America has managed to extend the game.

My desire is that we develop ways to make cities hospitable to carless families. That goal seems more remote now than it did in 2010.

beguiledfoil··on As Bike-Sharing Brings Out Bad Manners, China Asks, What’s Wrong with Us?
What's unsustainable about cheap bikes?
beguiledfoil··on Petition for Smarter Infrastructure
>If we unclog our infrastructure we can spread out to more of the state and increase the supply of developable land.

Really amazing to read that people that live in low density clusterfuck think that the solution is to expand the low density clusterfuck.

Also, being against high speed rail but being for a hyper loop is an indication that you have a technology boner that is lasting longer than 4 hours and you should see a doctor.

beguiledfoil··on “Markets Today Are Not What We Believe” – The Façade of Competition
>"For evil to triumph, all that is required is for good men to respond rationally to incentives."

Words to live by if you've never encountered a problem you can't solve with A*...

beguiledfoil··on Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering
>The way this ends is either with a) starving drivers or b) unaffordable transport for those below average income.

It ends with Uber running out of money. Higher interest rates would end Uber very quickly, unless it has some very wealthy patróns that aren't actually interested in making money.

beguiledfoil··on Uber Hires Former Google Search Chief Amit Singhal as SVP of Engineering
>Uber is footing an addiction to cheap transport nobody knows how to satiate.

Just ride a bike. Not an option in the burbs, for sure, but taking an uber is not an efficiency gain the way public transit or bicycles are.

IMHO low density communities will die. They cannot be saved.

beguiledfoil··on Daniel Gross of Apple leaves to become Y Combinator’s newest partner
>Maybe I'm giving too much credit to the ghost of Steve Jobs.

You certainly are.

Apple (well, NeXT) took Unix, slapped on a nice hardware accelerated graphics layer, and then made sure it worked (on the web, in the office suite, in the mail client, in the music player, in the video player, etc). You can make the mobile version of that product in a month now, army of one style, and come up with something that's better for whatever corner of the market you intend to target - even if it's just your friends or your countrymen.

One trick ponies have a hard time learning new tricks, and Apple has always been a one trick pony. For now their mobile product is still the best - and enough of their competitors are chasing stupid ideas that they can probably coast for another 5 years. We'll see what happens long term.

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