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bigbubba

2,486 karma · joined October 2, 2020

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bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
...I guess they just found little red bits. Gruesome to consider.
bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
I wonder what other crimes have stochastic forms... could violent video games be stochastic murder, if among the thousands of players there is one disturbed person who might be inspired by depictions of violence to act violently? Could songs glorifying violent lifestyles also be called stochastic crime? Folk songs glorifying cartels come to mind. If an unrealistic war movie inspires teenagers to join the army, might the producers of that movie have some share of the blame for the actions undertaken by that army?

Where is the line drawn between stochastic crimes and free speech?

bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
Covering for your crime by committing a far more severe crime seems like a pretty bad idea... though I think there is no shortage of criminals with bad ideas, so this seems at least plausible.
bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
I agree that's the coherent prescribed definition of terrorism. In practice, whether somebody admits something was terrorism depends largely on which side they agree with. When they agree with the terrorist, euphemisms like 'freedom fighter' are often used instead.

There are probably some Columbians who were on the receiving side of Escobar's gifting and called him a humanitarian for it.

bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
There is truth to this, particularly the sorts of war that target civilian populations to demoralize the enemy. Another term for 'strategic bombing' is 'terror bombing'.

> One of the strategies of war is to demoralize the enemy so that peace or surrender becomes preferable to continuing the conflict. Strategic bombing has been used to this end. The phrase "terror bombing" entered the English lexicon towards the end of World War II and many strategic bombing campaigns and individual raids have been described as terror bombing by commentators and historians. Because the term has pejorative connotations, some, including the Allies of World War II, have preferred to use euphemisms such as "will to resist" and "morale bombings".[1][2]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Strategic_bombing

bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
One man's terrorist is another man's freedom fighter. There are certainly people who believe both or either of those were terrorism.
bigbubba··on ATT services down due to bombing in Nashville
> How often do we hear about bombings where the bombers broadcast an evacuation message on a loudspeaker for 15 minutes prior to the explosion?

This is how the Provisional Irish Republican Army operated, at least some of the time. For instance they telephoned in warnings 90 minutes before the 1996 Manchester bombing (1500 kg bomb, 212 injuries and no fatalities.) I've read somewhere they had established codewords with British authorities so those authorities knew which warnings to take seriously.

bigbubba··on New Orleans City Council bans facial recognition, predictive policing and other
Does Ray Nagin really support your point? From what I know he was born in New Orleans with working class parents. Also the demographics section of the wiki page for New Orleans doesn't seem ti support your claim that Katrina washed all the black people out of the city. It was 61.9% black in 1990 and 60.2% black in 2010.
bigbubba··on Vim³ – Vim rendered on a cube for no reason
Has anybody used this a lot? I'm curious if it's something you can grow accustomed to, and if so, whether switching back to a normal editor will induce a strange sensation of the normal editor spinning in some way (similar to the Tetris effect.)

(I tried using it myself the last time it was posted, but it made me nauseous.)

bigbubba··on New Orleans City Council bans facial recognition, predictive policing and other
It's easy to say "This tech is dangerous and shouldn't be used.... except in this one scenario which coincidentally is a personal pet interest of mine."

Cyclists want to use it against drivers, I'm sure shop owners want to use it against robbers, and doubtlessly paranoid parents want to use it against child nappers. Why should exceptions to a ban be carved out for anybody's pet interest?

bigbubba··on Aliens Likely Annihilated Themselves Through Progress
> Nike missile project. [...] This would have turned the bay area into glass

What is your basis for this claim? Are you aware that a great deal of atmospheric nuclear testing has been conducted, so the effects of nukes in the atmosphere are fairly well understood? That one of these tests was performed with men standing directly under the bomb, and they were unscathed? Also keep in mind 'modern bomb' is not synonymous with 'big bomb.'

bigbubba··on Some Differences Between macOS and Common Unix Systems
Can you spoonfeed me here? If ~/bin is in my PATH and is writable to my user, what is the problem with /usr/local/bin being the same on my personal computer with a single human user?
bigbubba··on Aliens Likely Annihilated Themselves Through Progress
On what timescale should a claim be falsifiable or verifiable? I guess tens of thousands of years is probably too long.
bigbubba··on Nikola stock craters after cancellation of major garbage truck order
They would surely use hydraulics not pneumatics, but this is a good point. Garbage trucks are half truck, half front end loader. And loaders aren't exactly cheap either.
bigbubba··on New Orleans City Council bans facial recognition, predictive policing and other
Shitty cops with tech are still shitty cops. Does this really need to be explained?
bigbubba··on Hackers threaten to leak plastic surgery pictures
I'd think it specifically of doctors who specialize in human bodies, not computer stuff. SolarWinds on the other hand could not possibly be excused for ignorance.
bigbubba··on Grenfell Tower inquiry: key things we’ve learned this year
You have much more trust in UK authorities than I think they warrant. It is said regulations are written in blood; that means the regulations that preceded present regulations are the result of past experts being wrong. What are the chances that we are fortunate enough to live in a time when regulations are truly optimal and won't need to be changed in the future? Pretty low, I'd think. What are the odds that present regulations have been influenced and compromised by commercial interests? 100% guarantee, just look at the clusterfuck of an inquiry. If the government can't reclad a few hundred towers, do you think they'd dare condemn thousands of towers? They're addressing the cladding because it's feasible to fix, but retrofitting buildings with more stairwells? That's way more expensive, so it's being ignored.

There will be more fires, more deaths, and more changes to regulations. What experts say should be considered, but not treated as dogma. At best they are less wrong than their predecessors but more wrong than their future successors. If the people in that tower had disregarded the advice of extant UK experts, they would have gotten out alive. If that building had been constructed with more stairwells than UK experts presently say is required, they could have gotten out alive. If there had been an operational building wide alarm, as are found in American buildings, those people would have gotten out alive. There is a whole lot wrong with extant regulations in the UK, and commercial interests have politicians and the public ignoring most of it to focus on the cladding fraud (those responsible should be in prison for life, but the cladding fraud is not the only problem this fire revealed.)

> Looking at the hard numbers, pushing evacuations might actually make things worse.

This is not a crowded nightclub we're talking about; rapid evacuation of residential highrises is a reality in America. Please go look at the hard numbers of Grenfell, particularly the timeline of conditions inside the tower. There was ample time to evacuate the tower several times over. In modern America, most of the residents would have been waiting on the sidewalk before the firemen even got there. The building wide fire alarm would have been blasting their eardrums out.

bigbubba··on Artificial Intelligence – The Revolution Hasn’t Happened Yet (2018)
It reminds me of the memex essay: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1945/07/as-we-m...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Memex

bigbubba··on Grenfell Tower inquiry: key things we’ve learned this year
> The expectation is for people to be able to exit the building or at least get to a lower floor, because that’s the usual case.

That's the expectation in America surely, but is it in the UK? In America people are told to get the fuck out of buildings as fast as they can when the fire alarm goes off, but in the UK people are told to stay inside high rise buildings, apparently because they have fewer and narrower staircases. Highrise buildings in the UK are evidently not designed to be escapable. I think that should be the real scandal. The cladding is bad and effects hundreds of buildings, but how many UK highrise buildings have inadaquate stairways? Tens of thousands? More? The reason this isn't part of the scandal is probably because the scope of the problem is too enormous.

I encourage you to look up the timeline of events inside Grenfell; if evacuation began when the fire was called in, there would have been ample time for complete evacuation. 14 minutes elapsed between the initial call and fire spreading out the window of the origin flat. People were only reported trapped by smoke ~40 minutes after the fire was called in. These people were killed by the UK's policy of staying put inside buildings on fire.

Anyway, I've seen some videos of people falling a fraction of 15 meters onto pavement and dying. It seems depraved to expect somebody even on the third floor to jump onto pavement.

bigbubba··on Video taken by pilots of what could be the elusive Los Angeles jet pack guy
I think you're probably right in this case. However The Quiet One, a stealth helicopter based on the Hughes OH-6, was reputedly tested over Los Angeles in the 70s. An unusually quiet helicopter doubtlessly attracts less attention than a jetpack though.

(Hughes was based out of Culver City in LA.)

bigbubba··on Hackers threaten to leak plastic surgery pictures
You're probably right that ignorance is the root of their apathy. Hopefully with this event making the news, doctors at least in the same specialty will hear about it and do something. Unencrypted offline records physically secured in the office building seems more than adaquate in all but the most exceptional scenarios though. Maybe it wouldn't be good enough for doctors of high-value targets (celebrities, politicians, etc.) Burglars targetting medical records seems uncommon.

Harsh fines are probably the best way to make doctors care though. If they know they risk financial ruin for not securing their records, they'll have a strong personal incentive to remediate their ignorance.

bigbubba··on Hackers threaten to leak plastic surgery pictures
Perhaps you could say they are ransoming the exclusive ownership of the data. But yes, 'blackmail' seems like a better fit.
bigbubba··on Paleontologists are trying to understand why the fossil record is mostly males
There are instances of humans assembling mammoth bones into some sort of structure: https://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/60-mammoths-ho...

> 25,000-Year-Old Structure Built of the Bones of 60 Mammoths

According to the article, similar albeit smaller structures have also been found across Eastern Europe.

bigbubba··on Hackers threaten to leak plastic surgery pictures
They're not using cryptography, but aren't they demanding ransom? Is the use of cryptography an essential part of what it means for something to be ransomware, or is it merely a common implementation detail?
bigbubba··on Hackers threaten to leak plastic surgery pictures
Lazy indifference probably explains it more than greed I think. If they cared, a doctor could add "burn a CD and put it in the filing cabinet with the other patient records" to the job duties of their secretary without increasing their compensation. It would only take a few more minutes, and would only slightly detract from the time they spend idly chatting with each other.

But they simply don't care.

bigbubba··on Paleontologists are trying to understand why the fossil record is mostly males
AFAIK bone loss occurs with age in both men and women, but accelerates for women after menopause. But did female dinosaurs have something like menopause?
bigbubba··on Video taken by pilots of what could be the elusive Los Angeles jet pack guy
With no lifting surfaces?
bigbubba··on Grenfell Tower inquiry: key things we’ve learned this year
Just those clad in napalm I would think...
bigbubba··on Grenfell Tower inquiry: key things we’ve learned this year
> Worst case jumping from the 3-5th story is likely to result in serious injury but is often survivable.

A brief web search suggests to me that about 50% of people who fall from 15 meters (approx 4th floor) will die. Those are awful odds, and most survivers of falls from that height probably aren't landing on the sort of pavement you might expect to be surrounding a high-rise building. And how many of the survivers ever walk again? How many can even feed themselves again?

Seriously, 50% is worse than even russian roulette, a 'game' generally recognized as suicidal.

bigbubba··on No, Cellebrite Cannot “Break Signal Encryption”
I'll rephrase my point then; I think Less Wrong people spend a lot of time trying to figure out how many angels can dance on the head of a pin. Or: They should stop sniffing their own farts, pull their heads out of the clouds, try not to get lost up their own asses, etc.

Anyway, according to Wikipedia: "Some mathematicians and historians, such as Carl Boyer, hold that Zeno's paradoxes are simply mathematical problems, for which modern calculus provides a mathematical solution.[6] Some philosophers, however, say that Zeno's paradoxes and their variations (see Thomson's lamp) remain relevant metaphysical problems.[7][8][9]"

So it seems like a few people are still wasting their time with this.

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