borg16

interesting you bring developed countries and not developing countries into the picture here first. Is it because such large scale disasters like the cyclones you mention tend to hit US more than any developing nations?

I ask because I hypothesize that the impact of these raising temperatures will be seen more widely and adversely in parts of developing countries given their population density and inability to address the same.

what has Samsung done better? just curious.

obsidian is good for what it does, but in the last month I saw someone share heynote[1] with me that I have grown fond of as a support to my obsidian note taking

[1] https://heynote.com

this post of his remains relevant even today - http://www.aaronsw.com/weblog/hatethenews

I tried perplexity, and it is hard to see how it does a better job than Kagi (a paid search engine) for my use cases mostly involving technical enquiries.

Perplexity for the large use cases just feels like a wrapper around the web, and a not so good one at that.

can you link some of your work? I'd like to give it a try :)

has anyone done a comparison of gpt-4 vs. the gpt-4 that microsoft says is being included in most of it's products these days?

I want to say they both aren't exactly the same, as I noticed through some responses to same questions by each, but I am interested in a detailed analysis if anyone has done that.

this was my thought too. I use miniflux and do exactly what his proposed use case is.

might have been a handy pet project, but seems to be no different from an RSS reader other than the terminal vs. browser (for rss) difference

> Trying to understand gives you a whole new appreciation than being presented the formal definition refined over many years.

This is so true, and which is why makes learning from certain professors way more enjoyable than others. What you have explained is in some sense an explanation of 'thinking from the first principles' or 'intuition behind the concept', at least imo.

what is your font of choice?

can i ask did you give Obsidian a try? I am curious what are the options notesnook is providing that makes people wanna pay for it compared to free-ish options such as Obsidian/logSeq. Is it the syncing part?

the most important thing for me in his videos is how he strives to explain the topic from a first principles thinking perspective.

if i had someone explain linear algebra the way he does in his youtube channel, i would have enjoyed and absorbed it much better than I did during my classes. while the professors did a decent job in explaining linear albegra and its usefulness among various topics around us, they did a poor job at explaining how thinking about these topics from linear algebra perspective makes so much sense!

edit: link for those interested - https://www.3blue1brown.com/topics/linear-algebra

it might be possible that you also lose the benefits, in which case that's a terrible customer experience

this answers a different question - what is the simplest possible solution to the problem at hand.

answering that requires a good understanding of the problem at hand as well as knowledge to be able to propose a simple solution that could be the starting point, and then searching for improvements over the same - assuming the improvement they bring is useful to the solution at hand.

i guess what I am trying to say is, the question asked by op and your suggestion are orthogonal imo :)

i had a similar experience a few months ago where I wanted to have just an RSS reader be my go to homepage.

miniflux as a self hosted option worked out perfectly for me (I used pikapods to host them).

It almost feels like reading newspaper, checking off one page at a time and when done - I move on to my other work/daily duties. No more random/aimless scrolling or visiting multiple pages.

I still cannot believe they missed one of the most critical parts of this release - clear and simple instructions on how to use it. How do they even hope to get adoption without that is unclear to me.

given how google has been functioning, probably as late as December :)

my money is on the side that there's no team looking into those email lists actively.

Reminds me of this paper[1]

> An illusion of predictability in scientific results: Even experts confuse inferential uncertainty and outcome variability

> Traditionally, scientists have placed more emphasis on communicating inferential uncertainty (i.e., the precision of statistical estimates) compared to outcome variability (i.e., the predictability of individual outcomes). Here, we show that this can lead to sizable misperceptions about the implications of scientific results. Specifically, we present three preregistered, randomized experiments where participants saw the same scientific findings visualized as showing only inferential uncertainty, only outcome variability, or both and answered questions about the size and importance of findings they were shown. Our results, composed of responses from medical professionals, professional data scientists, and tenure-track faculty, show that the prevalent form of visualizing only inferential uncertainty can lead to significant overestimates of treatment effects, even among highly trained experts. In contrast, we find that depicting both inferential uncertainty and outcome variability leads to more accurate perceptions of results while appearing to leave other subjective impressions of the results unchanged, on average.

[1] https://www.microsoft.com/en-us/research/publication/an-illu...

Title reminded me of this episode of "The Wild" podcast[1]

> This past summer, I was in Alaska in a little coastal town called Seward - a gorgeous spot on the Kenai Peninsula tucked between the ocean and some giant glacier-covered mountains. I met a guy named Dan Olsen, who records killer whale calls using an underwater hydrophone.

[1] https://www.kuow.org/stories/eavesdropping-on-orcas-love-gri...

amen.

> Why are there so many non technical managers/directors in charge of engineering or IT in Government type jobs?

due to product/program/project managers making a case for themselves to lead these teams. it might work in most of the cases, but clearly does not in engineering intensive projects - because the lens required to look at and deliver these projects is more than input/output, deadlines/deliverables.

understanding the subject is necessary to make smart tradeoffs (common scenario in projects that are as large scale as this one), but few of these folks do.

engineering enterprises that have often become successful owe it in their early days to majority of management having technical expertise. this is not a need once the companies become large, but such attitude does show up as inefficiency holes, if one knows where to look.

imo Ilya has his own reasons and benefits that he thought he would gain from ousting Sam. However, it caused the wildfire backfire we are all watching now insert popcorn

thanks for this recommendation. have you been using this one for a while? How do you like it?

> Merck wanted to use this same model to reason out a logistics issue, or apply it to some business problem at scale - you’d have to deal with hallucinations all over the place.

I wouldn't think Merck would leave it all to the model? There will be humans still in the loop ensuring that the output is valid for their use case? I don't think we are still there yet where we can completely productionalize these models without any human involvement later on whatsoever.

> In my opinion, Sunbird Messaging are fraudsters, and Nothing was their mark.

100% agree with this. `nothing` since its inception has been nothing but a marketing gimmick.

this is what I have been struggling to understand too. the accolades speak about the size and other input related capabilities of the model, but the output - not so much

turning tweets into news - verbal or written, has been one of the most unfortunate trends of the past decade.

> the forward pass in a deep learning model is almost certainly way faster than simulating the next step in a numerical simulation

Is this the case in most of such refinements (architecture wise)?

> I have some strong theories, but I must admit I don't have the work experience to be that confident in them.

This has not stopped you from posting the dozen or so blog posts you have already written so far. Go ahead and post what you are thinking. Do not let lack of experience stop you :)