HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

born_a_skeptic

90 karma · joined October 9, 2019

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."
submissionscomments
born_a_skeptic··on GitHub Copilot is moving to usage-based billing
I wonder if GitHub (Microsoft) is implicitly betting that enterprise demand is sticky enough to absorb these rates, especially given that Opus 4.6 “fast” was being listed at a 27x multiplier. Maybe they saw enough usage at that price point to conclude the demand is real. Or maybe the strategy is to keep the enterprise customers who can justify it while shedding heavier individual and power-user usage.

The interesting question is how long it takes enterprises to notice the capability/pricing tradeoff, and whether they respond by limiting access to the strongest models internally.

The part that worries me is that this market is still very early. Most developers and organizations are still learning how to use these tools effectively. Raising the experimentation cost this much may slow down the discovery process that makes the tools valuable in the first place.

born_a_skeptic··on Visualizing the Shanghai container ships jam
Well, on the bright side should set China up for some easy YoY comps next year...
born_a_skeptic··on Ask HN: How do you avoid video game addiction?
interesting idea about blocking reddit...
born_a_skeptic··on Ask HN: How do you avoid video game addiction?
Get a computer that you can't play it on and put your gaming rig in storage (or have someone get rid of it for you). Then figure out something to fill the space.. build a new habit for example... exercise (walking/running)
born_a_skeptic··on Spotify continues to remove Joe Rogan episodes
well said...
born_a_skeptic··on Parler partially reappears with support from Russian technology firm
Why does this need to be a news headline on Reuters?
born_a_skeptic··on CO2 already emitted will warm Earth beyond climate targets, study finds
Honestly, after seeing how poorly scientists botched modeling covid-19 infection/death rates, I just get how it's possible to model something like this which is several decades in the future and have confidence in your prediction.
born_a_skeptic··on Fifty Years of Tax Cuts for Rich Didn’t Trickle Down, Study Says
lol logical arguments get flagged...
born_a_skeptic··on Misinformation ‘Superspreaders’ Seed False Election Theories
Well, as far as I know, we don't know why he didn't share it. Maybe it's because it wasn't that damning after all. Or maybe because he realized the fix was in for Biden and any amount of hooting and hollering wasn't going to make a difference. Or maybe he realized the information wasn't credible, but from what I remember, it was.

Again, who knows. Would it have made a difference if other news channels had picked up the story? Probably. Did it make a difference? Doesn't look like it.

Look, I voted for Obama 2008, voted Libertarian in 2012, and Trump 2016/2020 (for his America first policies, not his personality, which why this election was so mind blowing). My background is in Finance, specifically Hedge Funds, and I'm relatively a newcomer to watching how Politics all works. The idea that you have to stir your constituents into a craze for 4 years and feed them lies, so you don't lose power is really sad. Both sides are guilty of it.

born_a_skeptic··on Misinformation ‘Superspreaders’ Seed False Election Theories
The worst part about the Hunter/Joe Biden saga is that what they were doing isn't illegal (from what I can tell.). I'd call it corrupt and crony capitalism, among things, but doesn't look like it's illegal.

And this get to one of things I really hate about US politics. They write the rules, but don't seem to have to abide by any of them. There is always a loop hole or connection to save them. Pathetic.

Regarding Tucker, his show is the only show I watch every night. I think he does a great job at bringing light to the under belly of Washington. 'The sworn enemy of lying, pomposity, smugness and groupthink.' Now, do I think he's perfect, no. Nobody is.

born_a_skeptic··on Misinformation ‘Superspreaders’ Seed False Election Theories
What about Hunter/Joe Biden? Was that not news worthy? Was anything about Joe Biden news worthy prior to the election? It's an embarrassment.

I hope everyone realizes the powers that took on Trump, Big Tech, Deep State, China/Russia/EU, Democrats, etc. Quite the feat that it took that much power to barely beat Trump (which is debatable until we get a handle on what happened for voting. I don't know if the election was rigged, but I wouldn't put it past them and there are some weird anomalies in the voting data).

born_a_skeptic··on Tax working from home 'to support vulnerable jobs' – Deutsche Bank
See, some people get it.
born_a_skeptic··on CQRS: Command Query Responsibility Segregation (2011)
What aspect of Financial Services? Trading?
born_a_skeptic··on The battle for the soul of digital freedom taking place inside your printer
Yea, I've done this several times. My brother printer finally wore out at 3 years of pretty heavy use.
born_a_skeptic··on Big Ass Fan’s Clean Air System
why is ozone free important?
born_a_skeptic··on [dead]
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/elections/betting_odds/201...

After seeing this, I lost some faith in the Election betting markets.

born_a_skeptic··on My Resignation from the Intercept
Wow.. Why isn't this #1? 743 points...
born_a_skeptic··on Open Letter: 745 Economists Oppose Trump's Re-Election
Title should be:

Open Letter: 745 Democratic & Anti-Trump Economists Oppose Trump's Re-Election

I assume most people see through this propaganda these days...

born_a_skeptic··on Tell HN: Rackspace apparently lost some storage volumes
How often do you think this type conversation happens?
born_a_skeptic··on Facebook and Twitter Cross a Line Far More Dangerous Than What They Censor
You can try to discredit it all you want, but it's important that people see them.

The emails show that Joe Biden was aware of his family's cash for influence scheme with shady companies overseas in China, Ukraine, and elsewhere..

What we also know now is that he was actively participating that scheme by having meetings that assisted his family's activities.

What I find so troubling about these emails, which very much look to be Hunter Biden's, is that it warped America's foreign policy. For example, in China, where Joe Biden was the point man for Obama, he went easy on China militarizing the South China Sea and he went easy on them for ripping of Intellectual Property.

In other words, China did well, American lost out, and the Biden family enriched themselves to the tune of millions of dollars.

born_a_skeptic··on Twitter and Facebook's action over Joe Biden article reignites bias claims
Giuliani said the computer shop guy was a fan of his and given he saw the Biden sticker on the laptop, probably led him to be interested in what was stored on the computer.
born_a_skeptic··on Facebook, Twitter block the NY Post from posting
I'd really like to see how many times this post was flagged.
born_a_skeptic··on Deaths due to Covid-19 compared with deaths from influenza and pneumonia
Like I said in another comment, I could have been more clear on my initial comment.
born_a_skeptic··on Deaths due to Covid-19 compared with deaths from influenza and pneumonia
I edited my comment. I could have been more clear.

I should have added that I think it depends on what the creator of the graphics/information is trying to show. If it's a pure death rate comparison, then sure you could lump everything together.

However, if you want to show a more real-time comparison, you choose to segment the data based on time.

born_a_skeptic··on Deaths due to Covid-19 compared with deaths from influenza and pneumonia
I'm not a statistician or a scientist, but I don't it does any good to lump everything together over the past ~9 months and compare it to Influenza and Pneumonia.

Just think about it.

We barely knew anything about covid or how to treat it at the start of the year. Now, it seems like we have a better understanding and how to potentially treat it.

Compare this to Influenza/Pneumonia, which I'm just guessing we've been studying for much longer and already have treatments for.

You could probably add some sort of moving average 50 days and 200 days to provide a clearer picture of how we are currently doing.

born_a_skeptic··on Bill introduced to promote prescribed fire intends to reduce fire risk
Ahhh, I didn't think about the Lumber Industry pushing for less prescribed fires. Makes sense.
born_a_skeptic··on The Most Illuminating Moment of the Debate
This is a lie. Read the transcript.
born_a_skeptic··on Ask HN: Should HN be apolitical in the current environment?
Politicians lie, so get over it. Trump just isn't as good as the others because 1) he doesn't give a fuck and 2) they've had more practice. And honestly, I don't care if what he says isn’t accurate all the time. Nobody is accurate 100% of the time.

I care that he is doing what is best for the United States and based on his track record, for the most part I think he is.

born_a_skeptic··on Viewpoint: 'I feel like I was accidentally hired'
I don't know who is right, but I always think it's always good to look at important issues from multiple points of views.

If anyone is interested in understanding another point of view, check out Tucker Carlson. He has black guests on all the time who make a pretty good counter-case and provide their perspective.

born_a_skeptic··on Viewpoint: 'I feel like I was accidentally hired'
Identity politics.
Page 1 of 2Next →