bricemo

This is a complicated space to get right. Prostate cancer is the opposite: The government used to screen for it (PSA blood test) and so people would see their doctor at stage 1 or 2 cancer, when it can be easily tested. But the problem was that the positivity rate was about 45:1, and the test is too expensive at that scale. So now PSA tests are not routine. As a result, people are now coming in to their doctors with prostate cancer at stage 3 or 4. Might be the right choice for society, but the wrong choice for the individual.

The strategy is to take one of these apps and build a better version of it. The market demand is there, validated through purchases. But the market is unsatisfied with the current solution. So if you can build a better solution then you have a well defined valuable product

Is there a way to load these onto actual Game Boy cartridges?

Bill Gates covers this extensively in his recent excellent book: How to Avoid a Climate Disaster. Even if all the rich world countries went to emissions zero, that wouldn’t be enough, because the developing world needs to continue to develop. This is a good thing but it is a problem of progress, and underscores how complicated the solution is

I thought this was amazing until I realized there’s only 12 base patterns. I expected the base patterns to be generated too, not hand authored. While you can make adjustments the changes are minor. Really undercuts the name of the tool. Sorry to be a downer.

“Phone addiction” is way too broad. A lot of this criticism of phones appears out of the fact that a phone can be used for a wide range of activities. If I said someone “spent the day doing some research for work, journaling, watching TV, chatting with friends, playing a game, looking at photos from a friend’s trip, then reading local and global news”, then that sounds like a healthy balanced day. But if I described the above as “they were on their phone for 7 hours straight” it sounds unhealthy, even though it’s the same.

It would be more useful to break down more specific problems: anxiety from not checking notifications, mental health from comparing your life to perfect social media, etc. Those can be targeted and fixed.

There’s no way this is true in 5-10 years. I’m in a $20/person/hour campaign now. A future celebrity/influencer/streamer/professional improv comedian GM could easily be pulling in 6 or 7 figures.

I think this is excellent. As a start up it seems like you need to land product market fit for core DnD users willing to pay for a GM first. But after that there is an interesting strategy of seeing if you can expand the DnD market in general to more casual or newbie players. I think this is a huge opportunity.

I am in my first paid campaign now, and as a first time player my sense was that probably 80% of it was really complicated and could be stripped away for simplicity. Things like: speed, rolling for character creation, initiative, casting times, etc. These are sacrosanct to DnD players but there is a much larger gamer/board game crowd that doesn’t care. They want to get to the exciting story moments where you roll a D20 and win or lose, that’s it, in about 10 minutes.

First there was Dwarf Fortress and then there was Minecraft. I think there is an opportunity for the Minecraft of DnD, appealing to 10x as many people.

I’m in a campaign right now that is around $20/hour/person. Over time (given good site curation) there should be development of premium GM’s and cheaper GM’s. A better analogy is more like freelancer sites than gig economy sites, since a good GM is not a commodity.

Edit: did my math wrong

Let me try to summarize everyone’s same question:

- The idea of a stock exchange that allows companies and investors to focus on 5, 10, 25 year horizons sounds great!

- However companies on normal stock exchanges now already try to do this, but it’s hard because of quarterly earnings, pressure for quarterly growth, etc

- How is LTSE different? Seems like: Companies and investors “promise” to have a longer term focus via planning

- seems like that wouldn’t be enough and the same financial pressures would result in the same focus

- We were expecting something like: “investors must hold positions for 10 years”, or, “earnings only reported every 2 years”, etc etc. but there’s nothing like that.

- So, what is the big idea, the teeth, the new rule, that makes long term focus enforceable?

I think this is one of the most fascinating (and disturbing) facts about AI: they seek to solve the problem they are given without being dependent on convention. They are completely alien in this regard, so many of their choices don't make any sense to us. This results in huge possibility but also the huge dangers that people worry about.

In the introduction to the third match, the project lead talked about how Alphago evaluated the controversial 37th move in the second match. Apparently the policy network decided that it had a one in 10,000 chance of a human making that move, But the value network overrode this. So it seems like they are recording this kind of data and looking at it in cases where it's interesting.

As we get closer to "limitless energy" the cynical side of me always starts thinking about the business/political/power forces that will come into play. It's not going to be easy going once we have it.

By analogy: the first fusion reactor is Napster. Obviously the traditional oil/gas co's play the part of the record labels, trying to shut it down. And then who will become Apple/iTunes of the energy industry?

There have been numerous studies showing that outrage is one of the most viral emotions. For whatever reason, seeing something that makes you upset has a very high correlation with people sharing/liking/retweeting. I think this unfortunate fact is what is being born out in social media.

Smithsonian had a good short article on it: http://www.smithsonianmag.com/science-nature/what-emotion-go...

Research shows that amazing good news, like a huge leap forward in cancer research, is even more viral. But unfortunately those happen much more rarely up than someone saying something stupid and getting lambasted.

Ryan Holiday's book "Trust me I'm lying" also really opened my eyes to how a lot of this stuff works.