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btcindivist

9 karma · joined April 5, 2018

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btcindivist··on Why I've lost faith in p values
p-values that are not in the physics ranges are ridiculous.

It's a shame everyone started copying physics but decided for higher acceptance/rejection values.

I was a little bit disappointed when I realized that a bunch of valid modern science is just proper experiment design and number crunching. If it's not physics, there's no models of why things work, there's just a p-value on the correlation or some other comparison function.

Medicine has turned into a field where you can't know a thing.

http://www.cochrane.org/CD005427/BACK_combined-chiropractic-...

I love reading reports like the above:

> There is currently no evidence that supports or refutes that these interventions(chiropractic intervention) provide a clinically meaningful difference for pain or disability in people with [lower back pain] when compared to other interventions.

p-values really do not help that much.

btcindivist··on Gwynne Shotwell: SpaceX's Plan to Fly You Across the Globe in 30 Minutes [video]
What is not the case? 1-2% of total CO2 footprint? That flying a full plane is equivalent to months if not a year of driving a nontrivial distance every day?

I'm not saying cars are more efficient. It's just that the distance travelled is huge when one uses an airplane.

btcindivist··on Gwynne Shotwell: SpaceX's Plan to Fly You Across the Globe in 30 Minutes [video]
Depends on how many. Flying airplanes is around 1-2% of our total CO2 footprint. Of course, for an individual, doing 1 intercontinental flight with a full plane is equivalent to months if not a year of driving a car to work every day, but in total, not many people fly.

Depending on the efficiency of the rocket and the reduced number of people doing this, the numbers shouldn't be that much higher.

btcindivist··on Show HN: ReactCircle – Renders SVG circle and percentage
But there's only 3-4 DOM elements. I'm pretty sure doing this in canvas is not as trivial as this.
btcindivist··on Show HN: ReactCircle – Renders SVG circle and percentage
Given there's only a single svg element changing I'm not exactly sure you could have done it better.

It might just be that the ease-out transitions for the stroke are not efficiently implemented in whatever browser you're using.

If you've tried and check out and understand the code you'd see there's so little being done in JS that this stuff is surely not the bottleneck.

btcindivist··on I founded Happy Cow Milk to make a difference in dairying. I failed
Holocaust is a word that has its origin long before The Holocaust happened. [0]

I did not call the non-human animal holocaust as The Holocaust (committed by the nazis).

Here's a Jewish Holocaust survivor https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/2h8df0/i_am_an_80year... that gladly uses the word holocaust to talk about what is happening to docile, domesticated animals all over the world.

Here's a notable survivor too https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isaac_Bashevis_Singer#Vegetari...

[0]: https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/holocaust

btcindivist··on Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from the 1980s
I'm pretty sure SpaceX hired the old experts that are stuck in the past.

There's nothing stopping you from iterating after the experts gave you a perfect start.

btcindivist··on I founded Happy Cow Milk to make a difference in dairying. I failed
About a billion cows or so annually.
btcindivist··on I founded Happy Cow Milk to make a difference in dairying. I failed
Cage free is still factory farming, there's just no cages, but a huge big closed dark cage. I'm in no denial when I'm buying those eggs.
btcindivist··on I founded Happy Cow Milk to make a difference in dairying. I failed
The thing is, people don't really care about animals. Especially not the kind, calm and docile ones.

A holocaust is happening currently, 60 billion most docile and mostly female cows and fowls are eliminated every year. No one gives a damn.

Heck, even I don't. I drink my milk and eat my chicken. I consider those things mine and don't care if the milk is a product of forced selection that created a monster of a species, or that chicken is a flesh of an innocent animal.

I do not even care about what it does to the environment.

I'm voting with my money to have this practice continue.

The whole system is built for meat and milk to work. Yeah, it's some wierd suboptimal local minimum but that's what it is. I live in a meat culture and don't care if I can survive eating only plants.

btcindivist··on Experts say Tesla has repeated car industry mistakes from the 1980s
I'm confused that Tesla did not hire these experts. I see Munro & Associates dropping criticism, and am baffled, given so much expert knowledge available that no one hired these guys or their competition.
btcindivist··on Interview with Simon Peyton-Jones
I think C++ compiles down to a pure functional language that is then optimized into an efficient beast. So I'm not sure that pure code is hard to optimize.
btcindivist··on Many Bitcoin Miners Are at Risk of Turning Unprofitable
The rest of my comment explains that worrying about BTC CO2 impact is useless.

People do a bunch of stuff that has magnitudes bigger CO2 footprint.

Are we profiling CO2 usage? If so, what, we want to optimize the tiny footprints instead of the biggest?

BTC mining, just like Christmas lights, can work with solar. Then we are going to complain about electricity wasted.

btcindivist··on Decades-Old Graph Problem Yields to Amateur Mathematician
I'm not sure. Given that he was in a relationship with a professor there, he might have got an easy pass.
btcindivist··on Many Bitcoin Miners Are at Risk of Turning Unprofitable
Ton of CO2 is generated by christmas lights. It trumps BTC or is very close.

Yes, producing a lot of cheap energy is an opportunity to use more of it.

There's a bunch of stupid things people do with energy and increase their CO2 impact. Bitcoin is just one.

I'm pretty sure abstaining from flying planes throughout all your life is more CO2 not emitted than building a small mining operation and mining for life.

I'm pretty sure if we summed up the CO2 impact of increased dietary requirements of athletes and body builders and similar would get to huge numbers.

btcindivist··on Eminent Philosophers Name the Most Important Philosophy Books from 1950-2000
Weird, no Animal Liberation by Peter Singer, one of the best applications of utilitarianism.
btcindivist··on The Boring Company raises $112M from Musk, early employees
When profiling are we optimizing the fastest functions?
btcindivist··on The Boring Company raises $112M from Musk, early employees
Heating and cooling trumps the transport sector with 30%+. Globally, stuff does skew a lot from our first worldly habits.

If you do the calculations similar to those done in http://withouthotair.com/ you'd see your first worldly habits put your heating and cooling at the top, and probably your diet at the second place.

btcindivist··on The Boring Company raises $112M from Musk, early employees
The CO2 impact of your car driving is much less than impact from heating-cooling, and probably also from your diet. Cars are efficient machines. Houses are rarely built well, especially in the US, and the production of common US diet ingredients is ridiculously inefficient but heavily subsidized.
btcindivist··on Mark Zuckerberg is either lying, incompetent,or an inept CEO. What do you think?
There is deactivate and delete option for years now.

Zuckerberg stated that they delete all of the data after user deletes their account (not deactivate).

btcindivist··on Duolingo Suddenly Has Over Twice as Much Language Learning Material
Thing is, I do less than 1 lesson per day. Probably 3 lessons per two weeks. Meaning that I press Practice button about 100 times in that two week period.

After about 40 days, I went back to go through some of the previous lessons, given their new Crown update, and realized I haven't seen some of the words at all.

Despite having around 400 words learned so far.

btcindivist··on Duolingo Suddenly Has Over Twice as Much Language Learning Material
I still find their spaced repetition lacking. I never see some of the words again after seeing them for the first time.
btcindivist··on A school-based obesity prevention programme was ineffective
I'm pretty sure taxing by calorie density would make things better. There's no cost in doing that, it would just shift people to eat less calorie dense food like fruits, vegetables and leafy greens.

The main problem is that the current laws, taxes and infrastructure are heavily optimized to produce calorie dense foods. Another is that people like some of those foods on a regular basis in their diet, so they might complain.

I would say this would cost more in political points than in real money.

btcindivist··on A school-based obesity prevention programme was ineffective
For a country that is so weighed down by the health issues around obesity, it's quite weird taxes/incentives based on calorie per gram isn't anywhere in sight. The savings from not having to take care of so much sick people would be enormous.

It's clear from the situation that the free market choices are suboptimal. Who wants to suffer through most of their life and die early? Yet these choices are still made. If you can't educate, then tax fairly and force them to make the right choices.

btcindivist··on Differentiable Plasticity: A New Method Learning to Learn
You can use the same trick to make your models sparse. Less parameters means less flexibility to interpret output "correctly".
btcindivist··on Richest 1% on target to own two-thirds of all wealth by 2030
It is a common mistake to characterize communism as collectivist. Marxist notion of communism is brutally individualistic.
btcindivist··on A dozen black holes may lie at the centre of our galaxy
Antibiotics for human use are nothing. There's around 70 billion domesticated land animals being born and dying every year. That's 700 billion Petri dishes with varying antibiotic power in just 10 years, and that number is more than all of the humans that ever lived on Earth. More than enough for some massively superior bacteria to evolve.
btcindivist··on A dozen black holes may lie at the centre of our galaxy
Well, spinach E Coli is there because we use cattle poop all over it. Nothing better than fertilising our vegetables with manure rich in antibiotics resistant E Coli.
btcindivist··on A dozen black holes may lie at the centre of our galaxy
Are discoveries about black holes legit?

Isn't it still the case that they have not been experimentally confirmed to exist, and all talk of discoveries is just conceptual?

btcindivist··on A dozen black holes may lie at the centre of our galaxy
If only we didn't waste all of the antibiotics on non-human animals. Such a bad use of brilliant biotechnology.