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bumbledraven

6,311 karma · joined February 24, 2008

bumbledraven@gmail.com
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bumbledraven··on Butlerian Jihad
Herbert seemed to think that to be human is to be essentially 'open-ended', capable of undiscovered, indeterminate evolution, both personally and as a species.

Indeed.

bumbledraven··on What mathematicians should know about the Lean Theorem Prover: reliability & AI
> I guess [the term “autoformalization”] came from a chatbot?

The term dates back at least to 2020, years before the release of ChatGPT.

https://research.google/pubs/a-promising-path-towards-autofo...

bumbledraven··on What mathematicians should know about the Lean Theorem Prover: reliability & AI
Did anyone consider keeping the current name but changing the pronunciation to “coke”?
bumbledraven··on Ask HN: What are you reading?
I tried multiple English translations of The Count of Monte Cristo, and the Robin Buss translation was the only one I enjoyed. (Unfortunately, there is no audiobook of this translation, but I had Codex create one for me.

If you're unconvinced, try comparing a few random passages to see which one you prefer, or just check the beginning of Chapter 1. You could also show a few translations of a passage to an LLM and ask it which one best conveys the nuance of the original French.

bumbledraven··on Stockfish 19
Compared to chess, Magic: The Gathering ability transfers much better to real life. MtG has:

- dealing with imperfect information

- bluffing

- thinking ahead with an enormous number of possible moves (especially when you consider deck construction)

- tracking board state

- mentally implementing "triggers"

bumbledraven··on Go grandmaster Shin defeats AI KataGo with a two-stone handicap
Deep Blue vs Garry Kasparov (1997) and AlphaGo vs Lee Sedol (2016) marked the first defeats of a world champion by a machine in a chess or Go match. Coincidentally, both machines played an iconic move on Move 37 of Game 2:

• Deep Blue played Be4, declining a pawn capture to achieve a long-term positional advantage and fueling Kasparov’s suspicions of human intervention.

• AlphaGo played P10, a brilliant 5th-line shoulder hit that live commentators initially dismissed as a blunder or misclick.

https://franky07724-57962.medium.com/amazing-coincidence-in-...

bumbledraven··on Tailscale didn't stop the Hugging Face intrusion
Does Tailscale offer a "security checkup" function? Best practices evolve over time, and it would be nice to know if I'm using the recommended configuration.
bumbledraven··on The Home-Insurance Coin Flip: Nearly Half of Claims Result in Zero Payout
https://archive.ph/NLgU9
bumbledraven··on Moving away from Tailwind, and learning to structure my CSS
TFA links to https://joshcollinsworth.com/blog/tailwind-is-smart-steering, which is about Tailwind, but makes multiple distinctions and points that could just as well apply to LLMs, e.g.:

> Builders value getting the work done as quickly and efficiently as possible. They are making something—likely something with parts beyond the frontend—and are often eager to see it through to completion. This means Builders may prize that initial execution over other long-term factors.

> Crafters are more likely to value long-term factors like ease of maintainability, legibility, and accessibility, and may not consider the project finished until those have also been accounted for.

> In my view, the more you optimize for building quickly, the more you optimize for homogeneity.

bumbledraven··on The agent principal-agent problem
800-word response by https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Lucovsky, who was on the team that built Windows NT: https://nitter.net/marklucovsky/status/2052828852490285390#m.

It begins:

> In David Crawshaw’s recent post “The agent principal-agent problem” there’s a lot of insight beneath the headline “Code review is broken.” Worth reading carefully.

> Toward the end, David reflects on what he calls the old “cowboy” development culture at Microsoft in the 80s/90s. Not much has been written about that era, mostly because there was no social media, no laptops everywhere, no phones recording daily engineering life.

> A few thoughts from someone who lived it.

Conclusion:

> A lot of software quality did not come from pre-commit review gates.

> It came from tight teams, deep ownership, brutal integration pressure, system-wide stress, and developers who fully understood the machinery they were standing on.

bumbledraven··on Google has a secret reference desk
This article has one neat Google search trick I hadn't known about: `AROUND(#)`. But I am skeptical of much of the rest of it.

Searching for `“can anyone recommend”` to get unfiltered recommendations is an interesting hack, but I feel it's not too reliable. At reddit, you could ask this, and an unknown percentage of responses could be shills or bots.

I'm also skeptical of how much the suggested `@reddit` differs from just `reddit`. The description says it's for social media handles, but reddit is a platform, not an individual user's handle. I suspect google looks for the user's intent to see results from a particular site or social media platform and uses that signal to influence the ranking, and I doubt '@' has much of an effect on that process.

> The results Google omits tend to be less trafficked and less search-optimized, which frequently means they’re more substantive and written for readers rather than algorithms

Really? I call BS. Every time I've looked at the omitted results they've been very similar to ones I've already seen.

I stopped reading after that.

bumbledraven··on Man beats machine at Go (2023)
Details on the strategy employed by the human are at https://goattack.far.ai:

> We discovered simple adversarial strategies that beat superhuman Go AIs, and find that adding defenses helps but does not eliminate the problem. Our cyclic adversary beats the state-of-the-art KataGo AI more than 97% of the time at superhuman settings. This strategy is simple enough to be replicated by an amateur human player and transfers to other superhuman Go AIs.

bumbledraven··on Man beats machine at Go (2023)
https://archive.is/EBcVa
bumbledraven··on How do you capture WHY engineering decisions were made, not just what?
A design doc with a robust "alternatives considered" section.
bumbledraven··on Optimizing our way through Metroid
It would be neat if a fuzzer could help set a new tool-assisted speedrun (TAS) record.
bumbledraven··on Stanford to continue legacy admissions and withdraw from Cal Grants
> You fill Harvard of Stanford with only people with 1600 SATs will turn them into places you dont really want to go to.

Isn’t that basically Caltech? They had a 3% acceptance rate in 2023, the lowest in the nation. https://www.usnews.com/best-colleges/rankings/lowest-accepta...

bumbledraven··on Century-old stone “tsunami stones” dot Japan's coastline (2015)
Do you have a citation for this? The most Gemini could say is: "While research has not identified a specific tsunami stone located at the Fukushima Daiichi site that was directly violated, the spirit of these ancient warnings was undeniably ignored." (https://aistudio.google.com/app/prompts?state=%7B%22ids%22:%...)
bumbledraven··on Nerve pain drug gabapentin linked to increased dementia, cognitive impairment
Absolutely no causal link was shown. Maybe the nerve pains for which doctors prescribe gabapentin increase the risk of dementia on their own, or maybe there is some third factor that causes both nerve pain and dementia.
bumbledraven··on Learnings from Building AI Agents
What model were they using?
bumbledraven··on Why Arabs Lose Wars (1999)
Yes they do, but keep in mind the distinction between "armies" and "irregulars". The first two sentences in the article are:

> Arabic-speaking armies have been generally ineffective in the modern era. Egyptian regular forces did poorly against Yemeni irregulars in the 1960s.

bumbledraven··on The Lost Art of Logarithms
I have been writing the same thing by (ab)using the existing unit of measurement known as a bel (B), which is most commonly seen with the SI prefix “deci” (d) as dB or decibel. I write the speed of light as 8.5 Bm/s (“8.5 bel meters per second”), which resembles the expression 20 dBV (“20 decibel volts”) shown at https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decibel.
bumbledraven··on Dario Amodei: "In 12 months, nearly all code may be generated by AI."
Full interview: https://www.youtube.com/live/esCSpbDPJik
bumbledraven··on Kidnapping of Ledger co-founder sparks major investigation in France
Translation via Gemini (2.0 Experimental Advanced)

Kidnapping of One of the Co-founders of the Startup Ledger: Major Investigation in the Cher Region

As part of the investigation into the disappearance of a businessman, numerous gendarmes and police officers were deployed in the Vierzon area on Wednesday, January 22nd. According to our information, they are investigating the kidnapping of one of the co-founders of the startup Ledger, David Balland.

By Antoine Bailleron and Geoffroy Jeay

Published on January 22, 2025 at 11:00 PM

David Balland created, in Vierzon, in 2014, with four other partners, Ledger, a startup specializing in ultra-secure cryptocurrency wallets, notably for Bitcoin.

The significant deployment of gendarmes in a street in Méreau on Tuesday, which surprised the local population, moved to the Vierzon area on Wednesday. Numerous gendarmes and police officers were visible on the roads leading to Vierzon, and even in the sub-prefecture of Cher. A gendarmerie helicopter was seen at low altitude. In the afternoon, gendarmes even intervened on the Quai de l'Yèvre in Vierzon, breaking a window and the door of an apartment.

[image]

Gendarmes intervened on the Quai de l'Yèvre in Vierzon, breaking a window and the door of an apartment.

According to our information, they are investigating the disappearance of a businessman, one of the co-founders of the startup Ledger, David Balland. The man was reportedly kidnapped. With a view to a ransom demand? Nothing has been revealed.

bumbledraven··on Who Can Understand the Proof? A Window on Formalized Mathematics
> as we’ll discuss, it’s a basic metamathematical fact that out of all possible theorems almost none have short proofs

Where in the article is this discussed?

bumbledraven··on Sora is here
"More human than human" is our motto. https://youtu.be/ZbgmYhqFO-4?t=30
bumbledraven··on "BGP at home": getting a DIA circuit installed at home
I’m astonished that Verizon didn’t charge separately for installation. Seems like it would take many years months of service to recoup the cost.
bumbledraven··on Honeycrisp apples went from marvel to mediocre
While defining x/0 = 0 is sound, it has tradeoffs, as OP acknowledges. In "Papers with computer-checked proofs" (2024), D. J. Bernstien wrote:

> There is a claim ... that “dividing by 0 is not allowed in mathematics, and hence this cannot be relevant to their work”, but in fact a mathematician is permitted to deduce b ≠ 0 from c = a/b, since a/b is undefined for b = 0. Redefining the notation to allow b = 0 breaks this. Unless it occurs to the author to state a conclusion c = a/b and a conclusion b ≠ 0, the proof assistant won’t check that b ≠ 0, whereas the reader will think that this has been checked.

https://cr.yp.to/papers/pwccp-20240727.pdf

bumbledraven··on The scary sound of Aztec skull whistles
https://x.com/esrtweet/status/1859556171918479626 (2024-11-21):

> Evil has a sound. It's the sound of humans screaming in agony as they die. Aztecs made implements to simulate this sound. They have been found in the hands of sacrificial victims… the Aztecs considered the ceremonial experience incomplete without the screaming, and built death whistles to simulate the proper sound of agony.

bumbledraven··on TSMC will stop making 7 nm chips for Chinese customers
Only if they have — or can reasonably develop — the means to produce cutting-edge chips on their own, which is (arguably) not the case.
bumbledraven··on Math and puzzle fans find magic in Martin Gardner's legacy
In the Gregorian calendar, January 1 falls on a Saturday in any year that is a multiple of 400. (This follows from any correct day-of-the-week algorithm, such as https://firstsundaydoomsday.blogspot.com/2009/12/quick-start....) Since each 400-year cycle begins on the same day, rather than balancing out, any imbalances would actually accumulate.

To check, see this 5-line brute-force calculation in JavaScript: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=42024474

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