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caseysoftware

12,970 karma · joined January 7, 2009

Currently: Working in critical infrastructure, lives in the forest

Formerly: Twilio, Okta, ngrok, Pangea Cyber, and lived in DC & Austin

My contact: keith @ (my username).com

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/caseysoftware; my proof: https://keybase.io/caseysoftware/sigs/MoF3-kI9MgdujWA933IcxPdYy7T-qs2bViw5BdQoepI ]

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caseysoftware··on Exit Tax: Leave Germany before your business gets big
> You need peace, law enforcement, trust in others to lower stress and increase creativity, good teachers and education.

This is a great point.

The flip side is that if a government fails to deliver those, they have failed their side of the social contract. Then ideally, the citizens they've failed should be able to opt out..

caseysoftware··on FCC abandons efforts to make U.S. broadband fast and affordable
Bug: Closed. Works as designed.
caseysoftware··on Scientific fraud has become an 'industry,' analysis finds
Individually, yes I've been there a LONG time.

Unfortunately, we have a media and political structure that uses the most recent study/model/whatever to advocate for, design, and enact policy before that review.

caseysoftware··on Scientific fraud has become an 'industry,' analysis finds
Maliciousness, incompetence, and accidents all look EXACTLY THE SAME from a replication perspective. We can't tell the researchers' intent.

Until the "industry" (defined vaguely as scientists, their institutions, universities, funding entities, etc, etc) cleans house and punishes those researchers, we're quickly approaching a time where we'll have to take EVERY study skeptically until it can be replicated.

* Punishment could range from "no, we won't publish your stuff without data+methodology" to ratcheting back funding to "we publicly document your lying/incompetence" (hardest and riskiest) to a variety of other things.

caseysoftware··on FCC abandons efforts to make U.S. broadband fast and affordable
> Sure, in a single person household with only a smart tv and laptop. Which is not the average person.

What is the average person/household? How many devices? What use cases (and therefore bandwidth) meet their needs?

caseysoftware··on FCC abandons efforts to make U.S. broadband fast and affordable
We got an overview of those "efforts" a few months back and it was both comical and enraging to hear how much money and time was wasted. And this was a law+process crafted by Democrats, signed by a Democrat President, and presided over by a Democrat Administration.. they had all the pieces in place to accomplish their goals.

Ref: https://youtu.be/NcZxaFfxloo?t=990

When you have tons of paperwork and ZERO deployments (not exaggerating), there's nothing to revert.. just a lot to be disappointed by.

caseysoftware··on UN report finds UN reports are not widely read
I'm quite confident on why they don't want to share their data and/or methodology but there could be legitimate reasons and I want to be open to those.

Regardless, without that information, we can only evaluate them based on how rigorus they've been in the past:

Are the researchers and organizations involved known for effective data collection and solid analysis?

caseysoftware··on UN report finds UN reports are not widely read
When they don't release the data and/or methodolgy, you have to treat the result the same: garbage.

They could be completely making up data or demonstrating the gold standard example of pristine data collection and brilliant analysis but we'd never know.. and for some reason, they don't want to tell us.

caseysoftware··on Windsurf employee #2: I was given a payout of only 1% what my shares where worth
Some of the mechanics on this one..

Generally, when a startup is acquired, people get paid in a number of tranches:

- First, debts get cleared in order according to debt types. This could be cloud providers, lawyers, employees who deferred salary, etc, etc. If there's still cash left..

- Then preferred (generally earliest) investors get paid back. Some investors will have liquidation preferences where they get 2-5X their initial investment. If there's still cash left..

- Then execs get their preferred shares cashed out. Depending on how many rounds they'd raised, they may own less than you think. If there's still cash left..

- Finally, general stockholders get paid. This is where most employees may actually get cash.

To further complicate things, some people could be in multiple places here. A founding exec may have lent the company money to get started, have preferred shares, and have common shares so they could get paid out in early levels but not at the end.

*There are WAY MORE nuances in this but the point is: You don't just say "total price divided by shares times number of shares = the cash you get"

caseysoftware··on Employee – CEO pay gap historically wide
I think you're off by about 80 years:

> Twenty-five years ago, Bill Clinton campaigned on an idea for limiting excessive pay for American CEOs: Cap the tax deductibility of top executives' compensation at $1 million, and companies, not wanting bigger tax bills, might reel in their pay. In his 1993 budget, advisers suggested a compromise: Companies couldn't deduct CEO pay over $1 million unless it was "performance-based."

> But many believe the loophole had the opposite effect, driving companies instead to pay more in stock options and certain performance-based bonuses, which actually supercharged the growth in CEO pay. In 1989, according to the left-leaning Economic Policy Institute, the median value of annual CEO compensation was $2.7 million. By 1995 it was $6.6 million, and it reached $13 million in 2016.

Ref: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/on-leadership/wp/2017/11...

caseysoftware··on What will become of the CIA?
> To add on, the Court has also allowed the executive branch to essentially shutter federal departments that were created by Congress, such as the Department of Education.

The Dept of Ed had ~4200 employees and they laid of ~1400. It is not "essentially shuttered" currently regardless of the goal.

Ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Department_of_Ed...

The important question is: "Can they fulfill their legally mandated obligations with the smaller staff?"

If the answer is "yes" then we saved money and still did the job. If the answer is "no" then we have a problem.

So far I haven't seen anyone identify "here are the legally mandated obligations that won't be fulfilled any longer" which would be useful and could be compelling.

caseysoftware··on What will become of the CIA?
> "Very soon after Trump took power, they ruled that courts cannot challenge the constitutionality of Trump's orders"

No, specifically they said district judges couldn't write rulings that applied to other districts.

Your local city council would hit the same limitation if they attempted to write laws for other cities.

caseysoftware··on What will become of the CIA?
Which cases do you mean specifically?
caseysoftware··on What will become of the CIA?
Is this a defense of the CIA? The first half of the article catalogs decades of failures ranging from comical to catastrophic.

"There was a time when the C.I.A.’s existential fear was of losing its adversary. In Al Qaeda, it found a new one; in Iraq, it created others. In Trump, it faces an adversary of a different kind."

Further, calling the Commander in Chief its "adversary" is terrible framing.. if they're working against the elected leadership of the US, who are they working FOR?

caseysoftware··on The IRS Is Building a System to Share Taxpayers' Data with ICE
What are the categories you're thinking of and what % fit into each?
caseysoftware··on The IRS Is Building a System to Share Taxpayers' Data with ICE
US Code appears to disagree:

8 U.S. Code § 1325 - Improper entry by alien

(a)Improper time or place; avoidance of examination or inspection; misrepresentation and concealment of facts

Any alien who (1) enters or attempts to enter the United States at any time or place other than as designated by immigration officers, or (2) eludes examination or inspection by immigration officers, or (3) attempts to enter or obtains entry to the United States by a willfully false or misleading representation or the willful concealment of a material fact, shall, for the first commission of any such offense, be fined under title 18 or imprisoned not more than 6 months, or both, and, for a subsequent commission of any such offense, be fined under title 18, or imprisoned not more than 2 years, or both.

Ref: https://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/text/8/1325

caseysoftware··on The Moat of Low Status
Good lessons.

Over the past few years, I've managed to convince (and occasionally demonstrate) to my kids that "you'll be bad at anything new" and that they only way to get better is practice.

As a result, when other kids have made fun of them for failing, they rebut with "I've never done this before! I'll get better!" which is awesome.. being able to handle failure, acknowledge it as failure, and then figure out how to get better.

If you can get and hold onto that mindset, it's kinda awesome.

caseysoftware··on Puerto Rico's Solar Microgrids Beat Blackout
I have a massive array+battery (20kWh generation, 19kWh storage) and while it's great, some things to pay consider:

- if you need roof repair/replacement, do it before you get solar. Alternatively, make your array free standing

- prioritize the circuits you want to cover. Not every one is critical but health & safety (water, fridge, cooking capabilities) are key

- MOST jurisdictions won't require permitting for the grid (especially if it's not connected to your house) but MOST will require an inspection if you want to connect to the grid

- if you connect to the grid, make sure you understand how your electricity provider addresses net metering. I wrote about it here: https://geekamongthetrees.com/what-is-solar-net-metering-or-...

caseysoftware··on National Archives at College Park, MD, will become a restricted federal facility
Everything is "unprecedented" when you don't know history.
caseysoftware··on National Archives at College Park, MD, will become a restricted federal facility
It's normal in the US too.. the Library of Congress has required it for certain collections for decades (that I know of):

https://www.loc.gov/research-centers/use-the-library/researc...

caseysoftware··on U.S. Chemical Safety Board could be eliminated
Got it. Found the EPA reporting on the trail derailment too.

It looks like the distinction is whether the potential source is stationary or not.

Which reinforces the "duplication" point. Remove the distinction for the EPA and you have the need covered.

caseysoftware··on U.S. Chemical Safety Board could be eliminated
Admittedly, I'd never heard of the CSB until this article but their mission - from their "About Us" page - seems important:

"The CSB is an independent federal agency charged with investigating chemical incidents to determine the cause or probable cause."

Out of curiosity, I looked up the East Palestine, Ohio train derailment in 2023 and can't find their investigation on their site in either the active or completed investigation sections. Looking elsewhere, I'm only finding FEMA's concerns about cancer clusters, nothing from the CSB. Can anyone else find it?

caseysoftware··on Why don't Americans trust experts? Just ask a paranormal investigator
> To rebuild public trust. Hongoltz-Hetling argues that institutions must respectfully engage with unconventional beliefs and offer inclusive frameworks instead of dismissive critiques.

No, we don't need "inclusive frameworks" because some beliefs are idiotic.

We need experts who put reason and data before political agendas and they need to be able to say "I don't know" instead of lying.

caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
> The FDA adopted a stricter “vaccination regulatory framework” requiring randomized controlled trials for new boosters aimed at low-risk populations.

Do the previous randomized controlled trials meet the new criteria?

caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
Aren't the vaccines updated regularly? Isn't that the point of the boosters?
caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
Thank you, I wasn't aware of that definition.
caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
Lots of "probably" in there.

Instead of spreading misinformation and being rude to strangers, you could check.

caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
There's no "clamping down", it's just not a recommendation for some groups anymore.
caseysoftware··on Long Covid destroys teenage lungs in ways doctors never saw
Did you skip the vaccine?
caseysoftware··on Show HN: Kan.bn – An open-source alterative to Trello
Congrats, strong start.

What are you doing (plan to do) that is more interesting/compelling/useful than anyone else?

Also, what have you learned so far? What surprised you?

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