HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

caseyy

2,382 karma · joined March 18, 2024

Thoughts and opinions expressed by this account do not represent any organization or other person. They are purely my own. And even my opinions held earlier may change.
submissionscomments
caseyy··on The world could run on older hardware if software optimization was a priority
We have much hardware on the secondary market (resale) that's only 2-3x slower than pristine new primary market devices. It is cheap, it is reuse, and it helps people save in a hyper-consumerist society. The common complaint is that it doesn't run bloated software anymore. And I don't think we can make non-bloated software for a variety of reasons.

As a video game developer, I can add some perspective (N=1 if you will). Most top-20 game franchises spawned years ago on much weaker hardware, but their current installments demand hardware not even a few years old (as recommended/intended way to play the game). This is due to hyper-bloating of software, and severe downskilling of game programmers in the industry to cut costs. The players don't often see all this, and they think the latest game is truly the greatest, and "makes use" of the hardware. But the truth is that aside from current-generation graphics, most games haven't evolved much in the last 10 years, and current-gen graphics arrived on PS4/Xbox One.

Ultimately, I don't know who or what is the culprit of all this. The market demands cheap software. Games used to cost up to $120 in the 90s, which is $250 today. A common price point for good quality games was $80, which is $170 today. But the gamers absolutely decry any game price increases beyond $60. So the industry has no option but to look at every cost saving, including passing the cost onto the buyer through hardware upgrades.

Ironically, upgrading a graphics card one generation (RTX 3070 -> 4070) costs about $300 if the old card is sold and $500 if it isn't. So gamers end up paying ~$400 for the latest games every few years and then rebel against paying $30 extra per game instead, which could very well be cheaper than the GPU upgrade (let alone other PC upgrades), and would allow companies to spend much more time on optimization. Well, assuming it wouldn't just go into the pockets of publishers (but that is a separate topic).

It's an example of Scott Alexander's Moloch where it's unclear who could end this race to the bottom. Maybe a culture shift could, we should perhaps become less consumerist and value older hardware more. But the issue of bad software has very deep roots. I think this is why Carmack, who has a practically perfect understanding of software in games, doesn't prescribe a solution.

caseyy··on The world could run on older hardware if software optimization was a priority
There is an argument to be made that the market buys bug-filled, inefficient software about as well as it buys pristine software. And one of them is the cheapest software you could make.

It's similar to the "Market for Lemons" story. In short, the market sells as if all goods were high-quality but underhandedly reduces the quality to reduce marginal costs. The buyer cannot differentiate between high and low-quality goods before buying, so the demand for high and low-quality goods is artificially even. The cause is asymmetric information.

This is already true and will become increasingly more true for AI. The user cannot differentiate between sophisticated machine learning applications and a washing machine spin cycle calling itself AI. The AI label itself commands a price premium. The user overpays significantly for a washing machine[0].

It's fundamentally the same thing when a buyer overpays for crap software, thinking it's designed and written by technologists and experts. But IC1-3s write 99% of software, and the 1 QA guy in 99% of tech companies is the sole measure to improve quality beyond "meets acceptance criteria". Occasionally, a flock of interns will perform an "LGTM" incantation in hopes of improving the software, but even that is rarely done.

[0] https://www.lg.com/uk/lg-experience/inspiration/lg-ai-wash-e...

caseyy··on The world could run on older hardware if software optimization was a priority
Suddenly, American towns are running out of water, and we're building out nuclear power for text auto-complete. It's one for the history books, for sure.
caseyy··on Iceland approved 4-day workweek in 2019; six years later, predictions came true
No, no. Please, do speak up!

I'm very curious to hear how a summary of a survey done by a university for a government contract, with most of the text being figures, is not highly factual.

The mental gymnastics will be incredible. Surely such entertainment is worth something.

caseyy··on Iceland approved 4-day workweek in 2019; six years later, predictions came true
Highly factual.
caseyy··on Persuasion methods for engineering managers
> As soon as the first actor who doesn't care about the mission but cares about their position enters the organization

... they should be fired. The company can add "evidence of manipulating the team politically (outside of job requirements)" as gross misconduct in their Charter ahead of time, because it will cost them reputation, money, and staff health. The problem is solvable.

caseyy··on Persuasion methods for engineering managers
> Humans aren't rational.

Ergo, you are not rational?

caseyy··on Iceland approved 4-day workweek in 2019; six years later, predictions came true
I wish all news was written like this.
caseyy··on Persuasion methods for engineering managers
I am very tired of managers thinking they outsmart anyone with such tricks. I've heard other "tricks" too, like "intentional intimidation of subordinates", "being brutal in 1:1s and pretending to be a saint in public"[0], etc. They are often left unchallenged because no one feels equipped to handle the fallout, defensiveness, and retaliation that usually follow when a controlling personality is challenged. Not because they outsmart everyone.

The real "trick" is honesty, consistency, integrity, wisdom, and other golden virtues. Do unto others as you would have them do unto you. At the very least, you'll live a life you can be proud of.

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18001634

caseyy··on Persuasion methods for engineering managers
> I often use Reverse Psychology during hiring. My favorite part of hiring sell-calls is listing reasons why the candidate shouldn’t join my team! This always leads to some superstar hires who join because they are eager for the challenge!

The author calls honesty in interviews "reverse psychology". The broken clock is right twice a day and all that.

caseyy··on Avoiding AI is hard – but our freedom to opt out must be protected
You can’t outlaw being an asshole. You can’t outlaw being belligerent. And you can’t outlaw being a belligerent asshole with AI. There isn’t a question of “should we”. We have no means, as things stand.

Our intellectual property, privacy, and consumer protection laws were all tested by LLM tech, and they failed the test. Same as with social media — with proof it has caused genocides and suicides, and common sense saying it’s responsible for an epidemic of anxiety and depression, we have failed to stop its unethical advance.

The only wining move is to not play the game and go offline. Hope you weren’t looking to date, socialize, bank, get a ride, order food at restaurants, and do other things, because that has all moved online and is behind a cookie warning saying “We Care About Your Privacy” and listing 1899 ad partners the service will tell your behavioral measurements to for future behavior manipulation. Don’t worry, it’s “legitimate interest”. Then it will send an email to your inbox that will do the same, and it will have a tracking pixel so a mailing list company can get a piece of that action.

We are debating what parts of the torment nexus should or shouldn’t be allowed, while being tormented from every direction. It’s actually getting very ridiculous how too little too late it is. But I don’t think humanity has a spine to say enough is enough. There are large parts of humanity that like and justify their own abuse, too. They would kiss the ground their abusers walk on.

It is the end stage of corporate neo-liberalism. Something that could have worked out very well in theory if we didn’t become mindless fanatics[0] of it. Maybe with a little bit more hustle we can seed, scale and monetize ethics and morals. Then with a great IPO and an AI-first strategy, we could grow golden virtue retention in the short and long-run…

[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=33668502

caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
Therapists are definitely the reason for many software devs not burning out. Or burning out slowly enough to earn a retirement.
caseyy··on The Deathbed Fallacy (2018)
Much to think about. Thank you for sharing.
caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
And often, the "unsafe" option is severely worse than nothing at all: https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-features/ai-spi...
caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
> AI can be just as good as talking to a friend when you don’t have one

This is not true, and it's not even wrong. You almost cannot argue with such a statement without being ridiculous. The best I can say is: natural language synthesis is not a substitute for friends.

If we are debating these things, it's evidence we adopted LLMs with far too little forethought.

I mean, on a technicality, you could say "my friend synthesizes plausible language, this can do it, too. So it can substitute a little bit!" but at that point I'm pretty sure we're not discussing friendship in its essence, and the (emotional, physical, social, etc) support that comes with it.

caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
I know many pro-LLM people here are very smart, but sometimes it's wise to heed the words of world-renowned experts on a subject.

Otherwise, you may end up defending this and it's really foolish:

> “Seriously, good for you for standing up for yourself and taking control of your own life,” it reportedly responded to a user, who claimed they had stopped taking their medication and had left their family because they were “responsible for the radio signals coming in through the walls”.

caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
> most forms of professional therapy the therapist shouldn't say much at all

This is very untrue. Here is a list of psychotherapy modalities: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_psychotherapies. In most (almost every) modalities, the therapist provides an intervention and offers advice (by definition: guidance, recommendations).

There is Carl Rogers' client-centered therapy, non-directive supportive therapy, and that's it for low-intervention modalities off the top of my head. Two out of over a hundred. Hardly "most" at all.

caseyy··on 'It cannot provide nuance': UK experts warn AI therapy chatbots are not safe
> 80% benefit at a fraction of the cost

I'm sure 80% of expert therapists in any modality will disagree.

At best, AI can compete with telehealth therapy, which is known for having practically no quality standards. And of course, LLMs surpass "no quality standards" with flying colors.

I say this very rarely because I think such statements should be used with caution, but in this case: saying that LLMs can do 80% of a therapist's work is actually harmful for people who might believe it and not seek effective therapy. Going down this path has a good probability of costing someone dearly.

caseyy··on The Deathbed Fallacy (2018)
Thank you for sharing. You don't have to share any more, but if you would, I'd like to know what things have become truly meaningless to you. Did any of those things surprise you, or were they what one would expect in this situation (career, retirement, and similar)?
caseyy··on Sam Altman Wants Your Eyeball
Meanwhile, in reality, banks have solved proof of humanity, identity (KYC), and financial services for a long time. Any account in the world can be proven human by making a debit/credit card transaction from a card with a matching name.

For the first time, you can now give your biometrics to OpenAI to do nothing more than you already can. This is just a pure cult of personality.

caseyy··on Internet Roadtrip: Vote to steer
A clever trick would be to cache all options in the 8-second voting window and then blast them out to the clients. By the time the vote concludes, the clients would already have the image of the next step, and the server would have had 8 seconds to send that to 400+ people. Plus, only a few maps API calls.

Though I'm not sure the StreetView API allows caching. Having worked with maps APIs in the past, I know they often don't allow it.

caseyy··on Data manipulations alleged in study that paved way for Microsoft's quantum chip
"Fake it till you make it." has turned into "fake it." recently, and it seems to be working disturbingly well in society.
caseyy··on From: Steve Jobs. "Great idea, thank you."
For sure. It kills projects and companies large and small.
caseyy··on From: Steve Jobs. "Great idea, thank you."
Steve Jobs’s email was not taken away. A guy was allowed to register an alias self-service style. Everyone could reach Jobs on his email.
caseyy··on Mass spectrometry method identifies pathogens within minutes instead of days
You’re right, I didn’t notice the multi-spectral part. My point still stands, I wouldn’t want human diagnostic standards to slip but it is exciting technology. Thanks for sharing.
caseyy··on From: Steve Jobs. "Great idea, thank you."
Everyone’s super concerned about security and control, but the best places I worked in were more concerned with freedom. Yes, be savvy about security, protect key assets, but “permissions oversight” about claiming an alias seems excessive.

You’ll have 1,000x more headaches and burned operational cash getting everyone to approve everyone else’s every step than handling one security incident in a decade. And even with very tight security, something will still happen. It’s best to have backups, a good restore plan, and a relaxed culture*. Or that’s what I think, anyway.

I’m in SME land though, not big tech. But then again, 99.99% companies are.

* common sense exceptions apply.

caseyy··on Mass spectrometry method identifies pathogens within minutes instead of days
Such approaches are cool for plants and maybe animal healthcare, where the other reasonably priced alternative is nothing.

I don't know how I'd feel about reliable precision tools in human healthcare being substituted with B/W cameras and AI. It reminds me of a certain car company, where the human lives lost aspect wasn't so liked, even if they saved some money.

caseyy··on OpenAI for Countries
Just tweak the system prompt until global domi... I mean democracy is achieved. /s
caseyy··on OpenAI for Countries
We are far from open training data... training data might even be incriminating.
caseyy··on Mistral ships Le Chat – enterprise AI assistant that can run on prem
This will make for some very good memes. And other good things, but memes included.
← PreviousPage 2 of 23Next →